Who to start · 2025-26
Akira Schmid vs Alex Lyon
In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Alex Lyon's .907.
Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Lyon +8.5.
This week Schmid has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Lyon has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Schmid for 0.5 ESPN points to Lyon's 0.2.
Alex Lyon has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Schmid's biggest edges: Overtime losses 6, Goals-against average 2.59, Goals against 85.
Lyon's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +8.5, High-danger save % .822, Save % .907.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Akira Schmid
1.39
fantasy points per game
Alex Lyon
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Lyon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schmid | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.88 | 2.22 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.00 | -5.11 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.15 | 4.93 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schmid vs Lyon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schmid | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | VGK 2–3 BUF | 25/28 SV | 27/29 SV |
| 2023-11-22 | NJD 0–4 DET | 0/0 SV | 16/16 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Akira Schmid
3games (1 left)
0.5proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA24% to start0.5 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Alex Lyon
2games (1 left)
0.2proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI8% to start0.2 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to GLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Akira Schmid or Alex Lyon?
- In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Alex Lyon's .907. Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Lyon +8.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Akira Schmid or Alex Lyon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Lyon leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schmid and Lyon done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Schmid's team went 0–2.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →