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Who to start · 2025-26

Akira Schmid vs Frederik Andersen

In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874.

Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Andersen −1.2.

This week Schmid has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Andersen has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Schmid for 0.5 ESPN points to Andersen's 0.2.

Akira Schmid has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Schmid's biggest edges: Shutouts 2, Goals-against average 2.59, Save % .892.

Andersen's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected −1.2, High-danger save % .797, Games started 35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Akira Schmid

1.39

fantasy points per game

Frederik Andersen

0.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Akira Schmid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchmidAndersen
Wins (+4)1.881.83
Goals against (-2)-5.00-6.11
Saves (+0.2)4.154.24
Shutouts (+3)0.180.00
OT losses (+1)0.180.14

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schmid vs Andersen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchmidAndersen
4Team record in 9 meetings5

Games against each other

Games between Akira Schmid and Frederik Andersen
DateScoreSchmidAndersen
2025-10-28VGK 6–3 CAR21/24 SV29/34 SV
2025-10-20VGK 4–1 CAR22/23 SV22/25 SV
2023-05-11 · PONJD 2–3 CAR36/39 SV27/29 SV
2023-05-09 · PONJD 1–6 CAR11/12 SV21/22 SV
2023-05-07 · PONJD 8–4 CAR0/0 SV8/12 SV
2023-05-05 · PONJD 1–6 CAR21/25 SV28/29 SV
2023-05-03 · PONJD 1–5 CAR8/11 SV17/18 SV
2023-03-12NJD 3–0 CAR0/0 SV0/0 SV
2022-01-29NJD 1–2 CAR0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchmidAndersen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Akira Schmid

3games (1 left)

0.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA24% to start0.5 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Frederik Andersen

3games (1 left)

0.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B8% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Akira Schmid or Frederik Andersen?
In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874. Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Andersen −1.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Akira Schmid or Frederik Andersen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Akira Schmid leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schmid and Andersen done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Schmid's team went 4–5.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →