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Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Bussi vs Connor Hellebuyck

Brandon BussiBrandon BussiHurricanes · GoalievsConnor HellebuyckConnor HellebuyckJets · Goalie

In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to Connor Hellebuyck's .895.

Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Hellebuyck +1.1.

This week Bussi has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Hellebuyck has 1 left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Hellebuyck for 0.5 ESPN points to Bussi's 0.4.

Brandon Bussi has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Bussi's biggest edges: Shutouts 2, Goals against 97, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.19.

Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Saves 1,385, Games started 57.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 W, .872 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Bussi

2.59

fantasy points per game

Connor Hellebuyck

0.98

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Bussi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBussiHellebuyck
Wins (+4)3.181.61
Goals against (-2)-4.97-5.68
Saves (+0.2)4.184.86
Shutouts (+3)0.150.00
OT losses (+1)0.050.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Brandon Bussi and Connor Hellebuyck have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BussiHellebuyck

Goaltending

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Bussi

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B14% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Connor Hellebuyck

2games (1 left)

0.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET20% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Bussi or Connor Hellebuyck?
In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to Connor Hellebuyck's .895. Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Hellebuyck +1.1. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Brandon Bussi or Connor Hellebuyck?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Bussi leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →