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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Dan Vladar

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Dan Vladar's .906.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Vladar +8.1.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Vladar has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project DeSmith for 2.4 ESPN points to Vladar's 1.7.

Dan Vladar has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Goals against 71, Shutouts 1, High-danger save % .830.

Vladar's biggest edges: Wins 29, Saves 1,162, Games started 51.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .816 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Dan Vladar

2.18

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dan Vladar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithVladar
Wins (+4)2.002.23
Goals against (-2)-4.73-4.65
Saves (+0.2)4.594.47
Shutouts (+3)0.100.00
OT losses (+1)0.200.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Vladar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithVladar
8Team record in 16 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Dan Vladar
DateScoreDeSmithVladar
2026-03-29DAL 1–2 PHI28/30 SV0/0 SV
2025-11-15DAL 5–1 PHI0/0 SV23/28 SV
2025-03-27DAL 5–2 CGY46/48 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-06DAL 3–2 CGY0/0 SV24/27 SV
2024-12-08DAL 6–2 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-02VAN 4–3 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-11-16VAN 2–5 CGY34/38 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-23PIT 2–1 CGY0/0 SV38/39 SV
2022-10-25PIT 1–4 CGY32/36 SV0/0 SV
2021-11-29PIT 1–2 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2021-10-28PIT 0–4 CGY31/35 SV0/0 SV
2021-04-03PIT 5–7 BOS21/27 SV0/0 SV

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithVladar

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B88% to start2.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Dan Vladar

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR88% to start1.7 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Dan Vladar?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Dan Vladar's .906. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Vladar +8.1. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Dan Vladar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dan Vladar leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Vladar done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 8–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →