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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Jakub Dobes

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Dobes +11.6.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Dobes has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project DeSmith for 2.4 ESPN points to Dobes's 1.4.

Casey DeSmith has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Goals against 71, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.58, Goals-against average 2.43.

Dobes's biggest edges: Wins 29, Saves 1,070, Games started 42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Jakub Dobes

2.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithDobes
Wins (+4)2.002.70
Goals against (-2)-4.73-5.44
Saves (+0.2)4.594.98
Shutouts (+3)0.100.00
OT losses (+1)0.200.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Dobes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithDobes
2Team record in 3 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Jakub Dobes
DateScoreDeSmithDobes
2025-11-13DAL 7–0 MTL24/24 SV8/13 SV
2025-01-16DAL 1–3 MTL0/0 SV32/33 SV
2025-01-11DAL 2–1 MTL0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithDobes

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B88% to start2.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Jakub Dobes

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT89% to start1.4 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Jakub Dobes?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Jakub Dobes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Casey DeSmith leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Dobes done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 2–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →