Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Hellebuyck vs Dustin Wolf
In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Dustin Wolf's .899.
Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Wolf +0.8.
This week Hellebuyck has 2 games left (about 0.3 expected starts); Wolf has 2 left (about 1.4 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups. We project Wolf for 1.1 ESPN points to Hellebuyck's 0.6.
They split the 11 stats both are ranked on 5–5.
Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, High-danger save % .809, Goals-against average 2.86.
Wolf's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.70, Shutouts 2, Save % .899.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Hellebuyck
0.98
fantasy points per game
Dustin Wolf
1.14
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dustin Wolf has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hellebuyck | Wolf |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.61 | 1.61 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.68 | -5.54 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.86 | 4.92 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hellebuyck vs Wolf
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hellebuyck | Wolf |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | WPG 4–3 CGY | 31/34 SV | 20/23 SV |
| 2025-10-24 | WPG 5–3 CGY | 0/0 SV | 27/31 SV |
| 2025-10-20 | WPG 2–1 CGY | 32/33 SV | 25/27 SV |
| 2025-01-26 | WPG 5–2 CGY | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-01-18 | WPG 1–3 CGY | 0/0 SV | 38/39 SV |
| 2024-10-26 | WPG 5–3 CGY | 0/0 SV | 30/34 SV |
| 2024-04-04 | WPG 5–2 CGY | 31/33 SV | 40/44 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Hellebuyck
2games
0.6proj. ESPN pts
About 0.3 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS3% to start0.1 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET26% to start0.6 ptsLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Dustin Wolf
3games (2 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
About 1.4 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN77% to start0.6 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B64% to start0.5 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Hellebuyck or Dustin Wolf?
- In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Dustin Wolf's .899. Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Wolf +0.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Connor Hellebuyck or Dustin Wolf?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 5–5 across 11 stats where both qualify.
- How have Hellebuyck and Wolf done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Hellebuyck's team went 6–1.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →