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Who to start · 2025-26

Daniil Tarasov vs Jakub Dobes

In 2025-26, Daniil Tarasov posted a .895 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Tarasov saved −3.3 goals and Dobes +11.6.

This week Tarasov has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Dobes has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobes for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasov's 0.2.

Jakub Dobes has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Tarasov's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 −0.38, High-danger save % .835, Goals against 97.

Dobes's biggest edges: Wins 29, Goals saved above expected +11.6, Saves 1,070.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Daniil Tarasov

0.81

fantasy points per game

Jakub Dobes

2.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTarasovDobes
Wins (+4)1.582.70
Goals against (-2)-5.88-5.44
Saves (+0.2)5.024.98
Shutouts (+3)0.000.00
OT losses (+1)0.090.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tarasov vs Dobes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TarasovDobes
0Team record in 3 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Daniil Tarasov and Jakub Dobes
DateScoreTarasovDobes
2026-04-07FLA 3–4 MTL29/32 SV30/33 SV
2026-01-08FLA 2–6 MTL0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-12-30FLA 2–3 MTL26/29 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TarasovDobes

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Daniil Tarasov

2games (1 left)

0.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG19% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Jakub Dobes

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT97% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to Gvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Daniil Tarasov or Jakub Dobes?
In 2025-26, Daniil Tarasov posted a .895 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Tarasov saved −3.3 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Daniil Tarasov or Jakub Dobes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jakub Dobes leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tarasov and Dobes done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Tarasov's team went 0–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →