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Who to start · 2025-26

Darcy Kuemper vs Dustin Wolf

In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Dustin Wolf's .899.

Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Wolf +0.8.

This week Kuemper has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Wolf has 2 left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups. We project Wolf for 1.2 ESPN points to Kuemper's 0.3.

Dustin Wolf has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Kuemper's biggest edges: Overtime losses 15, Goals against 134, High-danger save % .812.

Wolf's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +0.8, Saves 1,401, Save % .899.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .724 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darcy Kuemper

0.27

fantasy points per game

Dustin Wolf

0.66

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dustin Wolf has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKuemperWolf
Wins (+4)1.431.51
Goals against (-2)-6.03-5.95
Saves (+0.2)4.394.93
Shutouts (+3)0.180.11
OT losses (+1)0.300.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kuemper vs Wolf

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KuemperWolf
2Team record in 8 meetings6

Games against each other

Games between Darcy Kuemper and Dustin Wolf
DateScoreKuemperWolf
2026-04-16LAK 1–3 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-03-24LAK 2–3 CGY21/23 SV23/25 SV
2026-02-28LAK 2–0 CGY0/0 SV35/36 SV
2025-12-13LAK 1–2 CGY36/38 SV21/22 SV
2025-01-11LAK 1–2 CGY0/0 SV31/32 SV
2025-04-17LAK 1–5 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-11LAK 1–3 CGY25/27 SV28/29 SV
2024-03-18WSH 5–2 CGY0/0 SV28/32 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KuemperWolf

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darcy Kuemper

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS22% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Dustin Wolf

3games (2 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN89% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B58% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Darcy Kuemper or Dustin Wolf?
In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Dustin Wolf's .899. Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Wolf +0.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Darcy Kuemper or Dustin Wolf?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dustin Wolf leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kuemper and Wolf done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Kuemper's team went 2–6.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →