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Who to start · 2025-26

Darcy Kuemper vs Tristan Jarry

In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882.

Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Jarry −4.0.

This week Kuemper has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Jarry has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Jarry for 0.4 ESPN points to Kuemper's 0.3.

Darcy Kuemper has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Kuemper's biggest edges: Overtime losses 15, Goals-against average 2.78, Saves 1,100.

Jarry's biggest edges: Goals against 98, High-danger save % .825, Goals saved above expected −4.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .724 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .739 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darcy Kuemper

0.27

fantasy points per game

Tristan Jarry

0.38

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tristan Jarry has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKuemperJarry
Wins (+4)1.432.05
Goals against (-2)-6.03-6.32
Saves (+0.2)4.394.38
Shutouts (+3)0.180.18
OT losses (+1)0.300.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kuemper vs Jarry

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KuemperJarry
4Team record in 12 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Darcy Kuemper and Tristan Jarry
DateScoreKuemperJarry
2026-04-11LAK 1–0 EDM0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-02-26LAK 1–8 EDM11/15 SV0/0 SV
2024-12-17LAK 2–3 PIT28/31 SV0/0 SV
2024-04-04WSH 1–4 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-02WSH 4–3 PIT32/35 SV4/7 SV
2023-03-25WSH 3–4 PIT36/40 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-09WSH 1–4 PIT24/27 SV0/0 SV
2022-04-05COL 6–4 PIT41/45 SV26/31 SV
2022-04-02COL 3–2 PIT38/40 SV35/38 SV
2019-12-06ARI 0–2 PIT0/0 SV33/33 SV
2018-02-15LAK 1–3 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV
2018-01-18LAK 1–3 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KuemperJarry

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darcy Kuemper

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS22% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Tristan Jarry

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA86% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Darcy Kuemper or Tristan Jarry?
In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882. Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Jarry −4.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Darcy Kuemper or Tristan Jarry?
On 2025-26 numbers, Darcy Kuemper leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kuemper and Jarry done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Kuemper's team went 4–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →