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Who to start · 2025-26

Dustin Wolf vs Frederik Andersen

In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874.

Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Andersen −1.2.

This week Wolf has 2 games left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups; Andersen has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Wolf for 1.2 ESPN points to Andersen's 0.1.

Dustin Wolf has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Wolf's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.70, Save % .899, Saves 1,401.

Andersen's biggest edges: Goals against 107, Overtime losses 5, High-danger save % .797.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dustin Wolf

1.14

fantasy points per game

Frederik Andersen

0.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dustin Wolf has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWolfAndersen
Wins (+4)1.611.83
Goals against (-2)-5.54-6.11
Saves (+0.2)4.924.24
Shutouts (+3)0.110.00
OT losses (+1)0.050.14

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wolf vs Andersen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WolfAndersen
1Team record in 4 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Dustin Wolf and Frederik Andersen
DateScoreWolfAndersen
2026-03-07CGY 5–4 CAR25/29 SV0/0 SV
2025-11-30CGY 0–1 CAR0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-02CGY 1–2 CAR31/33 SV0/0 SV
2024-10-24CGY 2–4 CAR0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WolfAndersen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dustin Wolf

3games (2 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN89% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B58% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Frederik Andersen

3games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA8% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Dustin Wolf or Frederik Andersen?
In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Frederik Andersen's .874. Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Andersen −1.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Dustin Wolf or Frederik Andersen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dustin Wolf leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wolf and Andersen done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Wolf's team went 1–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →