Who to start · 2025-26
Frederik Andersen vs Jakub Dobes
In 2025-26, Frederik Andersen posted a .874 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.
Against our expected-goals model, Andersen saved −1.2 goals and Dobes +11.6.
This week Andersen has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Dobes has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobes for 1.2 ESPN points to Andersen's 0.3.
Jakub Dobes has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Andersen's biggest edges: Overtime losses 5, Goals against 107.
Dobes's biggest edges: Save % .901, Goals saved above expected +11.6, Wins 29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Frederik Andersen
0.10
fantasy points per game
Jakub Dobes
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Andersen | Dobes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.83 | 2.70 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.11 | -5.44 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.24 | 4.98 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Andersen vs Dobes
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Andersen | Dobes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 · PO | CAR 6–1 MTL | 23/24 SV | 24/29 SV |
| 2026-05-27 · PO | CAR 4–0 MTL | 18/18 SV | 40/43 SV |
| 2026-05-25 · PO | CAR 3–2 MTL | 11/13 SV | 36/39 SV |
| 2026-05-23 · PO | CAR 3–2 MTL | 10/12 SV | 23/26 SV |
| 2026-05-21 · PO | CAR 2–6 MTL | 16/21 SV | 26/28 SV |
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1–3 MTL | 15/18 SV | 34/35 SV |
| 2026-03-24 | CAR 2–5 MTL | 14/18 SV | 41/43 SV |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5–7 MTL | 0/0 SV | 20/25 SV |
| 2025-04-16 | CAR 2–4 MTL | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4–1 MTL | 14/15 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-02-25 | CAR 0–4 MTL | 14/18 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Frederik Andersen
3games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B18% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Jakub Dobes
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT78% to start1.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Frederik Andersen or Jakub Dobes?
- In 2025-26, Frederik Andersen posted a .874 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Andersen saved −1.2 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Frederik Andersen or Jakub Dobes?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jakub Dobes leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Andersen and Dobes done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Andersen's team went 5–6.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →