Who to start · 2025-26
Ilya Sorokin vs Jake Oettinger
In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Jake Oettinger's .899.
Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Oettinger +2.7.
This week Sorokin has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Oettinger has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts). We project Sorokin for 2.2 ESPN points to Oettinger's 0.3.
They split the 11 stats both are ranked on 5–5.
Sorokin's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +24.4, High-danger save % .864, Save % .906.
Oettinger's biggest edges: Overtime losses 6, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.36, Goals-against average 2.59.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .909 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ilya Sorokin
2.26
fantasy points per game
Jake Oettinger
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ilya Sorokin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Sorokin | Oettinger |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.98 | 2.43 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.16 | -5.04 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.03 | 4.53 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Sorokin vs Oettinger
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Sorokin | Oettinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | NYI 2–1 DAL | 26/27 SV | 23/25 SV |
| 2025-11-18 | NYI 3–2 DAL | 0/0 SV | 19/22 SV |
| 2025-02-23 | NYI 3–4 DAL | 25/29 SV | 34/37 SV |
| 2024-10-12 | NYI 0–3 DAL | 0/0 SV | 34/34 SV |
| 2024-02-26 | NYI 3–2 DAL | 30/32 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-21 | NYI 3–2 DAL | 41/43 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-01-10 | NYI 1–2 DAL | 25/26 SV | 27/28 SV |
| 2022-11-19 | NYI 2–5 DAL | 0/0 SV | 27/29 SV |
| 2022-04-05 | NYI 2–3 DAL | 0/0 SV | 19/21 SV |
| 2022-03-19 | NYI 4–2 DAL | 0/0 SV | 21/24 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ilya Sorokin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to GLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
Jake Oettinger
2games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B12% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ilya Sorokin or Jake Oettinger?
- In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Jake Oettinger's .899. Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Oettinger +2.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Ilya Sorokin or Jake Oettinger?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 5–5 across 11 stats where both qualify.
- How have Sorokin and Oettinger done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Sorokin's team went 5–5.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →