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Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Markstrom vs Kevin Lankinen

In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Kevin Lankinen's .875.

Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Lankinen −18.2.

This week Markstrom has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts); Lankinen has 2 left (about 1.4 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Markstrom for 1.4 ESPN points to Lankinen's 0.6.

Jacob Markstrom has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Markstrom's biggest edges: Wins 23, Rebounds prevented /100 +1.21, Goals-against average 3.07.

Lankinen's biggest edges: Overtime losses 5, Saves 1,125.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 W, .789 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Markstrom

1.14

fantasy points per game

Kevin Lankinen

-1.62

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jacob Markstrom has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarkstromLankinen
Wins (+4)2.211.06
Goals against (-2)-5.54-7.54
Saves (+0.2)4.384.75
Shutouts (+3)0.070.00
OT losses (+1)0.020.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Markstrom vs Lankinen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarkstromLankinen
6Team record in 11 meetings5

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Markstrom and Kevin Lankinen
DateScoreMarkstromLankinen
2026-01-23NJD 5–4 VAN21/25 SV19/24 SV
2025-12-14NJD 1–2 VAN13/15 SV0/0 SV
2024-10-30NJD 6–0 VAN20/20 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-04CGY 6–3 NSH0/0 SV13/14 SV
2023-11-22CGY 2–4 NSH41/45 SV0/0 SV
2023-11-07CGY 4–2 NSH16/18 SV0/0 SV
2023-04-10CGY 2–3 NSH27/29 SV0/0 SV
2023-01-16CGY 1–2 NSH27/29 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-03CGY 1–4 NSH28/31 SV29/30 SV
2022-04-18CGY 5–2 CHI22/24 SV30/33 SV
2021-11-23CGY 5–2 CHI19/21 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarkstromLankinen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Markstrom

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA76% to start1.4 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Kevin Lankinen

4games (2 left)

0.6proj. ESPN pts

About 1.4 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY75% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B61% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Markstrom or Kevin Lankinen?
In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Kevin Lankinen's .875. Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Lankinen −18.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jacob Markstrom or Kevin Lankinen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jacob Markstrom leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Markstrom and Lankinen done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Markstrom's team went 6–5.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →