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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Allen vs Philipp Grubauer

In 2025-26, Jake Allen posted a .904 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909.

Against our expected-goals model, Allen saved +9.9 goals and Grubauer +8.5.

This week Allen has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Grubauer has 2 left (about 0.5 expected starts) with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Grubauer for 1.0 ESPN points to Allen's 0.1.

Philipp Grubauer has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Allen's biggest edges: Shutouts 1, Wins 17, Games started 36.

Grubauer's biggest edges: Overtime losses 4, Goals against 79, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.78.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .920 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Allen

1.61

fantasy points per game

Philipp Grubauer

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Philipp Grubauer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAllenGrubauer
Wins (+4)1.841.63
Goals against (-2)-5.41-4.94
Saves (+0.2)5.044.92
Shutouts (+3)0.080.00
OT losses (+1)0.050.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Allen vs Grubauer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AllenGrubauer
11Team record in 17 meetings6

Games against each other

Games between Jake Allen and Philipp Grubauer
DateScoreAllenGrubauer
2026-01-25NJD 2–4 SEA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-14NJD 3–2 SEA0/0 SV23/26 SV
2025-01-06NJD 3–2 SEA0/0 SV26/29 SV
2024-12-06NJD 3–2 SEA0/0 SV33/36 SV
2023-12-04MTL 4–2 SEA0/0 SV26/29 SV
2022-12-06MTL 4–2 SEA31/33 SV0/0 SV
2021-10-26MTL 1–5 SEA21/26 SV23/24 SV
2020-01-18STL 3–5 COL6/6 SV21/24 SV
2020-01-02STL 3–7 COL1/1 SV24/27 SV
2019-12-16STL 5–2 COL0/0 SV30/34 SV
2019-10-21STL 3–1 COL0/0 SV22/25 SV
2019-04-01STL 3–2 COL0/0 SV25/27 SV

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AllenGrubauer

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Allen

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Philipp Grubauer

3games (2 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM11% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B43% to start0.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Allen or Philipp Grubauer?
In 2025-26, Jake Allen posted a .904 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909. Against our expected-goals model, Allen saved +9.9 goals and Grubauer +8.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jake Allen or Philipp Grubauer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Philipp Grubauer leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Allen and Grubauer done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Allen's team went 11–6.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →