Who to start · 2025-26
Jakub Dobes vs Linus Ullmark
In 2025-26, Jakub Dobes posted a .901 save percentage to Linus Ullmark's .891.
Against our expected-goals model, Dobes saved +11.6 goals and Ullmark −7.5.
This week Dobes has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Ullmark has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts). We project Ullmark for 2.2 ESPN points to Dobes's 1.5.
Jakub Dobes has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Dobes's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +11.6, High-danger save % .820, Save % .901.
Ullmark's biggest edges: Shutouts 3, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.28, Overtime losses 8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jakub Dobes
2.33
fantasy points per game
Linus Ullmark
1.64
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dobes | Ullmark |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.70 | 2.29 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.44 | -5.35 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.98 | 4.36 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dobes vs Ullmark
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dobes | Ullmark |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | MTL 3–2 OTT | 0/0 SV | 20/23 SV |
| 2025-12-02 | MTL 2–5 OTT | 0/0 SV | 20/22 SV |
| 2025-11-01 | MTL 4–3 OTT | 0/0 SV | 23/27 SV |
| 2025-04-11 | MTL 2–5 OTT | 0/0 SV | 20/22 SV |
| 2025-03-18 | MTL 6–3 OTT | 0/0 SV | 27/31 SV |
| 2025-02-22 | MTL 5–2 OTT | 0/0 SV | 10/15 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jakub Dobes
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT97% to start1.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to Gvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Linus Ullmark
1games
2.2proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR97% to start2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jakub Dobes or Linus Ullmark?
- In 2025-26, Jakub Dobes posted a .901 save percentage to Linus Ullmark's .891. Against our expected-goals model, Dobes saved +11.6 goals and Ullmark −7.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Jakub Dobes or Linus Ullmark?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jakub Dobes leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dobes and Ullmark done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Dobes's team went 4–2.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →