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Who to start · 2025-26

Jakub Dobes vs Philipp Grubauer

In 2025-26, Jakub Dobes posted a .901 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909.

Against our expected-goals model, Dobes saved +11.6 goals and Grubauer +8.5.

This week Dobes has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Grubauer has 2 left (about 0.5 expected starts) with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Dobes for 1.5 ESPN points to Grubauer's 1.0.

Jakub Dobes has the better number in 5 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Dobes's biggest edges: Wins 29, Saves 1,070, High-danger save % .820.

Grubauer's biggest edges: Goals against 79, Save % .909, Goals-against average 2.65.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jakub Dobes

2.33

fantasy points per game

Philipp Grubauer

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobesGrubauer
Wins (+4)2.701.63
Goals against (-2)-5.44-4.94
Saves (+0.2)4.984.92
Shutouts (+3)0.000.00
OT losses (+1)0.090.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobes vs Grubauer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobesGrubauer
2Team record in 3 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Jakub Dobes and Philipp Grubauer
DateScoreDobesGrubauer
2025-10-28MTL 4–3 SEA18/21 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-14MTL 5–4 SEA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-12MTL 4–5 SEA30/35 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobesGrubauer

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jakub Dobes

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT97% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to Gvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Philipp Grubauer

3games (2 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM11% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B43% to start0.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Jakub Dobes or Philipp Grubauer?
In 2025-26, Jakub Dobes posted a .901 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909. Against our expected-goals model, Dobes saved +11.6 goals and Grubauer +8.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jakub Dobes or Philipp Grubauer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jakub Dobes leads in 5 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobes and Grubauer done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Dobes's team went 2–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →