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Who to start · 2025-26

Joel Hofer vs Jordan Binnington

Joel HoferJoel HoferBlues · GoalievsJordan BinningtonJordan BinningtonBlues · Goalie

In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873.

Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Binnington −25.5.

This week Hofer has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Binnington has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Binnington for 0.9 ESPN points to Hofer's 0.1.

Joel Hofer has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Hofer's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +15.2, Save % .910, Rebounds prevented /100 +2.70.

Binnington's biggest edges: Overtime losses 7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Joel Hofer

2.57

fantasy points per game

Jordan Binnington

-0.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Joel Hofer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHoferBinnington
Wins (+4)2.091.27
Goals against (-2)-4.96-6.24
Saves (+0.2)4.944.30
Shutouts (+3)0.390.07
OT losses (+1)0.110.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Joel Hofer and Jordan Binnington have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HoferBinnington

Goaltending

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Joel Hofer

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B3% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Jordan Binnington

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B97% to start0.9 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Joel Hofer or Jordan Binnington?
In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Jordan Binnington's .873. Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Binnington −25.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Joel Hofer or Jordan Binnington?
On 2025-26 numbers, Joel Hofer leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →