Who to start · 2025-26
John Gibson vs Lukas Dostal
In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888.
Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Dostal −3.6.
This week Gibson has 2 games left (about 1.8 expected starts); Dostal has 2 left (about 1.8 expected starts). We project Gibson for 3.4 ESPN points to Dostal's 2.5.
John Gibson has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Gibson's biggest edges: Shutouts 5, Goals saved above expected +13.8, Goals-against average 2.72.
Dostal's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.51, High-danger save % .816, Saves 1,344.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Gibson
1.94
fantasy points per game
Lukas Dostal
0.98
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Gibson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Gibson | Dostal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.04 | 2.14 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.05 | -6.04 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.62 | 4.80 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.26 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Gibson vs Dostal
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Gibson | Dostal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | DET 6–3 ANA | 15/17 SV | 27/32 SV |
| 2025-10-31 | DET 2–5 ANA | 27/31 SV | 28/30 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Gibson
2games
3.4proj. ESPN pts
About 1.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR97% to start2.0 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG80% to start1.4 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Lukas Dostal
2games
2.5proj. ESPN pts
About 1.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK97% to start1.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to Gvs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA83% to start1.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Gibson or Lukas Dostal?
- In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888. Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Dostal −3.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, John Gibson or Lukas Dostal?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Gibson and Dostal done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Gibson's team went 1–1.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →