Who to start · 2025-26
Stuart Skinner vs Tristan Jarry
In 2025-26, Stuart Skinner posted a .888 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882.
Against our expected-goals model, Skinner saved +5.4 goals and Jarry −4.0.
This week Skinner has 1 game left; Jarry has 1 left.
Stuart Skinner has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Skinner's biggest edges: Overtime losses 9, Saves 1,125, Goals saved above expected +5.4.
Jarry's biggest edges: High-danger save % .825, Goals against 98, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .867 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .739 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Stuart Skinner
0.74
fantasy points per game
Tristan Jarry
0.38
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Stuart Skinner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Skinner | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.82 | -6.32 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.54 | 4.38 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Skinner vs Jarry
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Skinner | Jarry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | PIT 6–2 EDM | 0/0 SV | 17/23 SV |
| 2025-12-16 | PIT 4–6 EDM | 17/22 SV | 26/30 SV |
| 2025-01-09 | EDM 3–5 PIT | 21/26 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-03-10 | EDM 4–0 PIT | 0/0 SV | 38/42 SV |
| 2024-03-03 | EDM 6–1 PIT | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-02-23 | EDM 7–2 PIT | 22/24 SV | 23/29 SV |
| 2022-10-24 | EDM 6–3 PIT | 0/0 SV | 41/47 SV |
| 2021-12-01 | EDM 5–2 PIT | 0/0 SV | 17/21 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Stuart Skinner
2games (1 left)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET
Tristan Jarry
3games (1 left)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Stuart Skinner or Tristan Jarry?
- In 2025-26, Stuart Skinner posted a .888 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882. Against our expected-goals model, Skinner saved +5.4 goals and Jarry −4.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Stuart Skinner or Tristan Jarry?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Stuart Skinner leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Skinner and Jarry done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Skinner's team went 6–2.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →