Colorado Avalanche vs. Vegas Golden KnightsDec 27, 2018

FinalThursday, Dec 27, 2018· T-Mobile Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	0	1		COL	12	7	13	32
VGK	1	0	1	2		VGK	16	15	12	43

: COL 58VGK 79
: COL 2.30VGK 3.14
PP goals: COL 1VGK 0
Hits: COL 23VGK 32
Blocks: COL 23VGK 16
PIM: COL 8VGK 8
: COL 44%VGK 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights edge Colorado Avalanche 2–1

Vegas Golden Knights beat Colorado Avalanche 2–1 at home. Paul Stastny (VGK) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +14 against a season average of 28.9; the loss.

Points
Paul Stastny had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:55.Stastny
Goalie
Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +14 against a season average of 28.9; the loss.Grubauer
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Andrighetto–Dries skated 4:37 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Andrighetto Dries
New line
New look for COL: Kerfoot–Compher–Jost skated 8:16 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (28% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Compher Jost
New line
New look for VGK: Reaves–Carrier–Nosek skated 5:43 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Reaves Carrier Nosek
Usage
Jon Merrill (VGK) played 14:11, −3:46 down on his 17:57 season average over 56 games.Merrill
Usage
Sheldon Dries (COL) played 5:11, −3:59 down on his 9:10 season average over 39 games.Dries
Usage
Cody Eakin (VGK) played 18:42, +3:23 up on his 15:19 season average over 77 games.Eakin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)VGK attacks right (top on phones) →

VGK
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 137 of 137 attempts · VGK 79 · COL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VGK
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VGK pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 27% of the game, VGK 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VGK

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	VGK
	55	71
	1.94	2.65
	1.72	2.41
	8	17
	4	5
	18	24
	−0.051	+0.051
	27%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:1640% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
9:1531% CF
L3Kerfoot – Compher – Jost
8:1628% CF
L4Bourque – Andrighetto – Dries
4:3767% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
9:2128% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
9:1330% CF
D3Nemeth – Graves
2:5467% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
4:00100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Jost – Girard
1:1733% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
1:48
PK2FBourque – Compher
1:42
PK1DCole – Nemeth
3:55
PK2DJohnson – Graves
0:22

Current COL line combinations →

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
10:5750% CF
L2Eakin – Lindberg – Carpenter
10:1841% CF
L3Stastny – Pirri – Tuch
8:3974% CF
L4Reaves – Carrier – Nosek
5:4364% CF
D1McNabb – Schmidt
16:2757% CF
D2Engelland – Theodore
13:0357% CF
D3Holden – Merrill
11:1560% CF

PP1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore – Tuch
4:10100% CF
PP2Stastny – Reaves – Pirri – Eakin – Schmidt
1:410% CF
PK1FSmith – Karlsson
2:33
PK2FStastny – Nosek
1:25
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
4:09
PK2DHolden – Merrill
1:17

Current VGK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:42
COLJ.T. CompherPP (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.08 xG
COL: Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardVGK: Engelland, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson
COL 1 – 0 VGK
11:40
VGKPaul Stastny (Alex Tuch, Nate Schmidt)backhand0.03 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardVGK: Stastny, McNabb, Pirri, Schmidt, Tuch
COL 1 – 1 VGK

3rd period

10:11
VGKBrandon Pirri (Paul Stastny)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, GirardVGK: Stastny, Holden, Pirri, Merrill, Tuch
COL 1 – 2 VGK

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-1	7	0.49	1	0	0	23:15	—	—	50	50
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.52	0	0	2	21:46	—	—	47	47
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	1	0	0	21:21	—	—	40	36
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	3	2	0	16:13	—	—	42	32
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:44	—	—	39	9
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	0	12:28	—	—	29	8
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.10	1	1	0	19:43	—	—	33	45
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	2	2	15:06	—	—	33	45
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:22	—	—	31	21
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.47	0	0	0	10:22	—	—	70	68
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	3	0	9:16	—	—	67	48
Sheldon Dries C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	5	0	2	5:11	—	—	69	45
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	4	0	23:12	—	—	43	47
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:52	—	—	40	42
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	3	0	23:16	—	—	45	43
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	2	23:11	—	—	38	44
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	5	0	18:08	—	—	54	31
Ryan Graves D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	8:26	—	—	47	37

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	L	43	41	2	.953	3.14	58:08

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Reilly Smith R	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.46	0	2	0	20:45	—	—	58	76
William Karlsson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	19:39	—	—	48	59
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.48	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	56	75
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	18:42	—	—	43	50
Ryan Carpenter C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.43	5	1	0	15:07	—	—	43	52
Oscar Lindberg L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	1	4	12:52	—	—	41	53
Paul Stastny C	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.26	0	0	0	18:55	—	—	67	73
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	1	1	0	14:54	—	—	68	64
Brandon Pirri C	L3	1	0	1	+2	4	0.21	1	0	0	13:03	—	—	67	68
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	10:36	—	—	60	28
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	2	10:31	—	—	60	41
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	6:38	—	—	71	31
Nate Schmidt D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	0	1	0	23:11	—	—	53	48
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	4	4	0	21:45	—	—	52	53
Shea Theodore D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.59	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	57	69
Deryk Engelland D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	5	0	0	18:21	—	—	55	75
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	3	0	15:10	—	—	57	50
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	2	0	2	14:11	—	—	63	55

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.30	59:43

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.