Colorado Avalanche vs. Winnipeg JetsFeb 14, 2019

FinalThursday, Feb 14, 2019· Bell MTS Place

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Winnipeg JetsWPG

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	2	1	1	4		COL	13	12	10	35
WPG	1	0	0	1		WPG	8	9	8	25

: COL 56WPG 60
: COL 2.88WPG 3.25
PP goals: COL 0WPG 0
Hits: COL 23WPG 18
Blocks: COL 19WPG 13
PIM: COL 15WPG 13
: COL 36%WPG 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1 at WPG. Matt Nieto (COL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. WPG scored 1 goal on 3.25 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Matt Nieto had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:51.Nieto
Luck
WPG scored 1 goal on 3.25 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 35 shots and stopped 31 (.886), +2 against a season average of 32.6; the loss.Hellebuyck
New line
New look for COL: Toninato–Andrighetto–Greer skated 5:13 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Toninato Andrighetto Greer
Usage
Matt Calvert (COL) played 17:32, +3:23 up on his 14:09 season average over 81 games.Calvert
Usage
Jack Roslovic (WPG) played 14:22, +4:41 up on his 9:41 season average over 76 games.Roslovic
Usage
Joe Morrow (WPG) played 10:26, −3:37 down on his 14:03 season average over 40 games.Morrow
Usage
Patrik Nemeth (COL) played 20:03, +3:37 up on his 16:26 season average over 73 games.Nemeth

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · WPG 60 · COL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 21% of the game, WPG 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	WPG
	50	60
	2.75	2.42
	2.66	2.33
	13	13
	4	2
	7	20
	−0.093	+0.093
	21%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:3164% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
9:4455% CF
L3Kerfoot – Compher – Jost
7:2529% CF
L4Toninato – Andrighetto – Greer
5:1338% CF
D1Nemeth – Zadorov
12:0732% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
11:4464% CF
D3Barrie – Graves
9:1542% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:36100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Johnson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Girard
0:50
PK1FCalvert – Nieto
1:30
PK2FSoderberg – Compher
0:51
PK1DNemeth – Zadorov
2:46
PK2DJohnson – Graves
0:34

Current COL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor
13:0554% CF
L2Little – Roslovic – Laine
9:3980% CF
L3Perreault – Lowry – Tanev
8:5644% CF
L4Copp – Lemieux – Appleton
6:4253% CF
D1Byfuglien – Chiarot
15:2077% CF
D2Trouba – Morrissey
15:1345% CF
D3Myers – Morrow
9:1943% CF

PP1Byfuglien – Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine
3:2480% CF
PP2Little – Perreault – Myers – Trouba – Laine
1:10100% CF
PK1FWheeler – Scheifele
1:35
PK2FLowry – Appleton
1:07
PK1DTrouba – Morrissey
2:46
PK2DByfuglien – Myers
1:20

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:21
COLDominic Toninato (A.J. Greer, Erik Johnson)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Johnson, Toninato, Andrighetto, Greer, GirardWPG: Myers, Morrow, Copp, Lemieux, Appleton
COL 1 – 0 WPG
10:29
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen)backhand0.14 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey, Connor
COL 2 – 0 WPG
10:53
WPGBrandon Tanevwrist0.02 xG
COL: Soderberg, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, GravesWPG: Byfuglien, Perreault, Chiarot, Lowry, Tanev
COL 2 – 1 WPG

2nd period

6:12
COLJ.T. CompherSH (Matt Nieto)wrist0.18 xG
COL: Johnson, Nieto, Graves, CompherWPG: Byfuglien, Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor, Laine
COL 3 – 1 WPG

3rd period

16:21
COLSven Andrighetto (Matt Nieto, Matt Calvert)slap0.11 xG
COL: Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Andrighetto, GravesWPG: Byfuglien, Wheeler, Scheifele, Connor, Laine
COL 4 – 1 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.32	1	0	0	22:07	—	—	57	53
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	+1	7	0.55	1	0	0	20:43	—	—	67	63
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	2	0	0	19:25	—	—	57	52
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	0	0	19:16	—	—	44	41
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	1	2	7	17:32	—	—	46	57
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.10	1	1	0	14:51	—	—	48	55
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	2	1	0	14:57	—	—	25	47
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	26	46
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	9:44	—	—	37	45
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.29	0	0	2	8:32	—	—	50	62
Dominic Toninato C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	0	1	0	7:33	—	—	30	50
A.J. Greer L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.38	2	2	2	6:54	—	—	39	56
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	20:03	—	—	38	38
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	2	0	19:22	—	—	38	46
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	1	1	+4	2	0.03	1	1	2	22:19	—	—	51	57
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	0	2	20:45	—	—	66	57
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	7	0	21:06	—	—	36	43
Ryan Graves D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:14	—	—	41	69

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	3.25	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.24	0	2	0	22:17	—	—	50	43
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.22	1	0	0	20:41	—	—	46	37
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.38	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	52	45
Bryan Little C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	80	59
Patrik Laine L	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.97	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	72	48
Jack Roslovic C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	78	60
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	2	1	0	13:22	—	—	44	49
Brandon Tanev L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.10	3	0	4	12:59	—	—	48	58
Mathieu Perreault C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:49	—	—	45	54
Andrew Copp C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	1	0	0	11:31	—	—	55	52
Brendan Lemieux L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	9:18	—	—	50	30
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	1	0	9:10	—	—	56	44
Dustin Byfuglien D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	2	0	0	24:16	—	—	71	77
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	0	4	2	17:10	—	—	75	95
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	0	2	0	22:42	—	—	43	42
Jacob Trouba D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	1	0	22:08	—	—	50	47
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	1	0	0	19:45	—	—	39	21
Joe Morrow D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	5	10:26	—	—	39	24

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	35	31	4	.886	2.88	59:48

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.