Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas StarsMar 21, 2019

FinalThursday, Mar 21, 2019· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	2	3		COL	13	8	11	32
DAL	0	0	1	1		DAL	9	12	24	45

: COL 54DAL 81
: COL 3.36DAL 5.29
PP goals: COL 0DAL 0
Hits: COL 17DAL 27
Blocks: COL 25DAL 12
PIM: COL 4DAL 6
: COL 42%DAL 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Dallas Stars 3–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Dallas Stars 3–1 at DAL. Samuel Girard (COL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. DAL scored 1 goal on 5.29 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Samuel Girard had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:00.Girard
Luck
DAL scored 1 goal on 5.29 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 45 shots and stopped 44 (.978), +16 against a season average of 28.9; the win.Grubauer
Usage
Carl Soderberg (COL) played 20:50, +3:26 up on his 17:24 season average over 81 games.Soderberg
Usage
Jason Spezza (DAL) played 7:07, −6:14 down on his 13:21 season average over 75 games.Spezza
Luck
Jamie Benn (DAL) generated 1.61 xG on 9 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Benn
Usage
Ryan Graves (COL) played 6:19, −4:59 down on his 11:18 season average over 25 games.Graves
Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (COL) played 18:55, +4:05 up on his 14:50 season average over 77 games.Kerfoot

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · DAL 81 · COL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 35% of the game, DAL 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	DAL
	58	77
	3.20	4.46
	3.09	4.15
	17	22
	5	4
	17	16
	−0.086	+0.086
	35%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Soderberg – Wilson – Rantanen
5:0867% CF
L2Calvert – Bourque – Jost
2:00100% CF
L3Kerfoot – Compher – MacKinnon
1:51100% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
8:1750% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
6:5728% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
5:0156% CF

PP1Brassard – Barrie – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:0783% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost – Girard
2:23
PK1FBourque – Compher
1:16
PK2FSoderberg – Calvert
0:44
PK1DJohnson – Cole
1:51
PK2DNemeth – Graves
1:03

Current COL line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Comeau – Faksa – Janmark
9:1838% CF
L2Radulov – Seguin – Hintz
8:0670% CF
L3Benn – Dickinson – L'Esperance
4:2870% CF
L4Spezza – Cogliano – Ritchie
3:2625% CF
D1Klingberg – Heiskanen
11:4366% CF
D2Polak – Lindell
10:2635% CF
D3Lovejoy – Fedun
7:2757% CF

PP1Radulov – Benn – Seguin – Klingberg – Hintz
3:18100% CF
PP2Spezza – Radulov – Lindell – Heiskanen – L'Esperance
0:42100% CF
PK1FCogliano – Janmark
1:14
PK2FComeau – Faksa
1:07
PK1DPolak – Lindell
2:36
PK2DLovejoy – Heiskanen
1:01

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

17:20
COLErik Johnson (Samuel Girard, Colin Wilson)slap0.04 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Brassard, Wilson, GirardDAL: Radulov, Lovejoy, Seguin, Fedun, Hintz
COL 1 – 0 DAL

3rd period

5:19
COLTyson Barrie (Samuel Girard)wrist0.03 xG
COL: Barrie, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardDAL: Comeau, Lovejoy, Benn, Dickinson, Heiskanen
COL 2 – 0 DAL
14:59
DALTyler Seguin (John Klingberg, Miro Heiskanen)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Kerfoot, Compher, GirardDAL: Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Heiskanen
COL 2 – 1 DAL
19:11
COLCarl SoderbergENsnap0.24 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Brassard, Cole, CompherDAL: Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Hintz, Heiskanen
COL 3 – 1 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Carl Soderberg C	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.39	0	1	0	20:50	—	—	41	40
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:37	—	—	59	71
Colin Wilson C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.93	0	1	0	16:28	—	—	36	47
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	2	14:59	—	—	46	26
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	1	0	0	12:26	—	—	36	33
Gabriel Bourque L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	9:39	—	—	39	26
Nathan MacKinnon C	L3	0	0	0	+1	9	0.77	1	2	0	23:13	—	—	50	54
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	33	20
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.26	0	1	0	18:55	—	—	59	71
Erik Johnson D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.05	2	2	0	20:36	—	—	42	63
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.02	0	1	0	18:00	—	—	52	70
Tyson Barrie D	D2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.13	1	8	0	19:53	—	—	42	38
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	2	2	0	15:56	—	—	42	44
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	3	2	2	18:42	—	—	37	21
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	14:09	—	—	50	24
Derick Brassard C	—	0	0	0	+2	0	0.08	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	18	15
Sven Andrighetto R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:28	—	—	41	22
Ryan Graves D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	6:19	—	—	28	2

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	45	44	1	.978	5.29	60:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.65	4	0	0	17:51	—	—	43	52
Mattias Janmark C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	50	58
Radek Faksa C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	2	14:35	—	—	50	56
Alexander Radulov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.76	1	1	0	20:48	—	—	63	63
Tyler Seguin C	L2	1	0	1	-1	10	0.70	1	0	0	20:15	—	—	66	64
Roope Hintz C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.48	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	61	66
Jamie Benn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	9	1.61	1	4	0	19:32	—	—	61	56
Jason Dickinson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	4	2	0	16:41	—	—	57	55
Joel L'Esperance R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	0	2	11:47	—	—	68	59
Andrew Cogliano C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:54	—	—	73	89
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	7:07	—	—	30	28
Brett Ritchie R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	6:24	—	—	54	66
John Klingberg D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	0	1	0	25:51	—	—	61	72
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	22:13	—	—	62	65
Esa Lindell D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	3	0	24:56	—	—	47	42
Roman Polak D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	19:07	—	—	50	32
Ben Lovejoy D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	2	13:38	—	—	52	67
Taylor Fedun D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	0	0	12:15	—	—	68	77

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ben Bishop(start)	L	31	29	2	.935	3.12	58:48

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.