Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas StarsMar 4, 2023

FinalSaturday, Mar 4, 2023· American Airlines Center

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Dallas StarsDAL

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	2	3		COL	11	10	14	35
DAL	3	2	2	7		DAL	12	10	7	29

: COL 64DAL 58
: COL 2.77DAL 3.03
PP goals: COL 1DAL 0
Hits: COL 19DAL 23
Blocks: COL 17DAL 20
PIM: COL 10DAL 8
: COL 44%DAL 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars rout Colorado Avalanche 7–3

Dallas Stars beat Colorado Avalanche 7–3 at home. Jason Robertson (DAL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. DAL scored 7 goals on 3.03 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Jason Robertson had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 14:41.Robertson
Points
Samuel Girard had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 20:05.Girard
Points
Joe Pavelski had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:22.Pavelski
Points
Alex Newhook had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:26.Newhook
Points
Roope Hintz had 2 assists (2 points) in 14:44.Hintz
Luck
DAL scored 7 goals on 3.03 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for DAL: Faksa–Olofsson–Dellandrea skated 10:10 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Faksa Olofsson Dellandrea
New line
New look for COL: Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Malgin skated 5:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lehkonen MacKinnon Malgin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · DAL 58 · COL 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 33% of the game, DAL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	DAL
	61	61
	2.39	2.51
	2.31	2.40
	10	11
	4	4
	13	13
	−0.054	+0.055
	33%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Cogliano – Eller – O'Connor
8:4850% CF
L2Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Malgin
5:2955% CF
L3Compher – Rantanen – Newhook
5:1050% CF
L4Nieto – Rodrigues – Meyers
1:5025% CF
D1Girard – Byram
11:0067% CF
D2Toews – Makar
10:2640% CF
D3Johnson – Hunt
10:1041% CF

PP1Compher – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
1:24100% CF
PP2Toews – Rodrigues – Girard – Byram – Newhook
1:23100% CF
PK1FCompher – Lehkonen
1:00
PK2FCogliano – O'Connor
0:54
PK1DToews – Makar
2:49
PK2DJohnson – Girard
1:56

Current COL line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Faksa – Olofsson – Dellandrea
10:1050% CF
L2Seguin – Domi – Marchment
10:0354% CF
L3Benn – Dadonov – Johnston
9:4755% CF
L4Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson
8:2853% CF
D1Hakanpää – Lindell
16:5538% CF
D2Miller – Heiskanen
13:1065% CF
D3Suter – Lundkvist
11:3650% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
2:4167% CF
PP2Suter – Dadonov – Seguin – Domi – Johnston
2:3650% CF
PK1FFaksa – Dellandrea
1:06
PK2FHintz – Johnston
0:42
PK1DHakanpää – Lindell
1:56
PK2DSuter – Miller
0:48

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:33
DALJason Robertson (Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Nieto, Hunt, Rodrigues, Byram, MeyersDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
COL 0 – 1 DAL
10:09
DALMiro Heiskanen (Jamie Benn)wrist0.03 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram, NewhookDAL: Benn, Dadonov, Miller, Heiskanen, Johnston
COL 0 – 2 DAL
16:03
COLSamuel Girard (Alex Newhook)slap0.03 xG
COL: Compher, Toews, Rantanen, Girard, NewhookDAL: Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Domi, Marchment
COL 1 – 2 DAL
17:42
DALJoe Pavelski (Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Cogliano, Eller, Toews, Girard, O'ConnorDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
COL 1 – 3 DAL

2nd period

5:25
DALMason Marchment (Ryan Suter, Tyler Seguin)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Compher, Rantanen, Girard, Byram, NewhookDAL: Suter, Seguin, Domi, Marchment, Lundkvist
COL 1 – 4 DAL
11:39
DALRadek Faksa (Esa Lindell)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, MalginDAL: Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Olofsson, Dellandrea
COL 1 – 5 DAL

3rd period

4:15
DALWyatt Johnstonsnap0.31 xG
COL: Johnson, Nieto, Hunt, Malgin, MeyersDAL: Dadonov, Hakanpää, Marchment, Heiskanen, Johnston
COL 1 – 6 DAL
11:49
COLAndrew Cogliano (Samuel Girard, Logan O'Connor)backhand0.21 xG
COL: Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor, ByramDAL: Suter, Seguin, Faksa, Marchment, Lundkvist
COL 2 – 6 DAL
16:19
COLEvan RodriguesPP (Alex Newhook, Samuel Girard)slap0.10 xG
COL: Toews, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram, NewhookDAL: Suter, Seguin, Miller, Hintz
COL 3 – 6 DAL
16:53
DALJason RobertsonENwrist0.53 xG
COL: Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, NewhookDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
COL 3 – 7 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Cogliano C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.32	2	1	0	14:52	—	—	48	57
Lars Eller C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	2	14:43	—	—	43	50
Logan O'Connor R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	2	1	2	13:14	—	—	50	58
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	0	0	0	-3	6	0.31	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	69	65
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	2	1	0	17:46	—	—	58	61
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	1	2	0	14:37	—	—	52	36
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	18:48	—	—	54	42
Mikko Rantanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	0	6	17:26	—	—	61	65
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	2	2	-2	2	0.22	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	50	34
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	1	0	1	-2	2	0.26	1	1	0	12:24	—	—	35	35
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	0	10:55	—	—	29	23
Ben Meyers C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:54	—	—	37	38
Bowen Byram D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.38	2	2	0	21:07	—	—	61	74
Samuel Girard D	D1	1	2	3	-1	2	0.06	4	1	0	20:05	—	—	69	71
Cale Makar D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	2	0	22:27	—	—	53	46
Devon Toews D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	0	2	0	21:38	—	—	33	15
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	1	0	18:33	—	—	44	47
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	39	30

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	L	19	14	5	.737	1.36	31:39
Keith Kinkaid	—	9	8	1	.889	1.14	27:57

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ty Dellandrea C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	5	0	0	15:57	—	—	45	30
Radek Faksa C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	1	2	0	15:25	—	—	50	28
Fredrik Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	11:30	—	—	48	27
Max Domi C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	1	0	2	16:12	—	—	44	38
Mason Marchment L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	16:08	—	—	46	43
Tyler Seguin C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	1	1	0	15:57	—	—	50	41
Wyatt Johnston C	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.31	1	1	0	17:53	—	—	52	61
Evgenii Dadonov L	L3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.43	0	1	0	16:20	—	—	56	66
Jamie Benn L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	4	13:45	—	—	55	60
Roope Hintz C	L4	0	2	2	+3	0	0.14	1	0	0	14:44	—	—	56	76
Jason Robertson L	L4	2	1	3	+3	5	0.87	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	58	77
Joe Pavelski C	L4	1	1	2	+3	3	0.41	0	1	0	14:22	—	—	50	55
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	5	0	20:45	—	—	38	47
Jani Hakanpää D	D1	0	0	0	+4	1	0.04	5	1	2	20:10	—	—	43	58
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.09	0	1	0	22:13	—	—	62	63
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	16:44	—	—	65	56
Ryan Suter D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	19:22	—	—	52	37
Nils Lundkvist D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	15:09	—	—	45	39

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	2.77	59:56

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.