Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple LeafsMar 28, 2027

Time TBDSunday, Mar 28, 2027

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

at

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: WSH +11.9 pts

WSHaway+12.0 pts

1 day rest · 563 km travel

TOR on a B2B +9.3 pts
TOR backup likely (64%) +2.7 pts

TORhome−11.9 pts

Back-to-back

B2B vs rested WSH −9.3 pts
Backup likely (64%) −2.6 pts

WSH has the schedule edge (+11.9 pts net win probability): tor on a b2b, tor backup likely (64%), b2b vs rested wsh, backup likely (64%).

· Every game this week →

Washington Capitals

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Logan Thompson68%
Charlie Lindgren33%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 5–2 at CAR · Oct 2

L1Jenner – Beauvillier – Sourdif
9:20
L2Kyrou – Protas – Protas
8:28
L3Ovechkin – Strome – Leonard
6:22
L4Wilson – Tuch – Dubois
5:59
D1Roy – Chychrun
10:48
D2Desharnais – Hutson
9:27
D3Liljegren – Fehérváry
7:08
PP1Ovechkin – Wilson – Strome – Chychrun – Dubois
1:50

Projected WSH lines →·WSH goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Sergei Bobrovsky36%
Anthony Stolarz34%
Elvis Merzlikins30%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Mar 28.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.