Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo SabresMar 31, 2021

FinalWednesday, Mar 31, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

Philadelphia FlyersPHI

1

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PHI	0	1	0	1		PHI	7	14	11	32
BUF	2	2	2	6		BUF	10	8	9	27

: PHI 61BUF 43
: PHI 2.74BUF 2.79
PP goals: PHI 0BUF 0
Hits: PHI 15BUF 13
Blocks: PHI 6BUF 13
PIM: PHI 0BUF 6
: PHI 58%BUF 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout Philadelphia Flyers 6–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Philadelphia Flyers 6–1 at home. Brandon Montour (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF scored 6 goals on 2.79 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Brandon Montour had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:11.Montour
Points
Steven Fogarty had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 10:58.Fogarty
Points
Jacob Bryson had 2 assists (2 points) in 22:31.Bryson
Points
Kyle Okposo had 2 assists (2 points) in 14:18.Okposo
Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:29.Ristolainen
Luck
BUF scored 6 goals on 2.79 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Reinhart–Olofsson skated 7:19 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Reinhart Olofsson
Usage
Curtis Lazar (BUF) played 7:43, −5:43 down on his 13:26 season average over 49 games.Lazar

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PHI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PHI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · BUF 43 · PHI 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PHI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PHI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PHI 38% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PHI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PHI	BUF
	59	47
	2.51	2.89
	2.41	2.66
	10	17
	1	1
	4	14
	+0.086	−0.086
	38%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Philadelphia Flyers

L1Giroux – Voracek – Couturier
11:4478% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Konecny
11:0765% CF
L3Laughton – Raffl – Aube-Kubel
4:0986% CF
L4Twarynski – Bunnaman – Farabee
3:5820% CF
D1Sanheim – Myers
14:1165% CF
D2Braun – Provorov
10:3044% CF

PP1Giroux – van Riemsdyk – Voracek – Couturier – Provorov
3:1889% CF
PP2Hayes – Gustafsson – Sanheim – Konecny – Farabee
1:35100% CF

Current PHI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hall – Thompson – Mittelstadt
10:0641% CF
L2Okposo – Reinhart – Olofsson
7:1955% CF
L3Eakin – Rieder – Fogarty
6:5222% CF
L4Sheahan – Skinner – Lazar
5:1533% CF
D1Ristolainen – Bryson
17:4748% CF
D2Miller – Montour
15:0642% CF
D3Jokiharju – Dahlin
14:0847% CF

PK1FOkposo – Sheahan
2:22
PK2FEakin – Rieder
1:54
PK1DRistolainen – Bryson
3:20
PK2DMiller – Montour
1:18

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:32
BUFSam Reinhart (Kyle Okposo, Rasmus Ristolainen)wrist0.06 xG
PHI: Braun, van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Konecny, ProvorovBUF: Okposo, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Bryson
PHI 0 – 1 BUF
11:59
BUFCurtis Lazar (Riley Sheahan)wrist0.13 xG
PHI: Giroux, Braun, Voracek, Couturier, ProvorovBUF: Sheahan, Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Bryson
PHI 0 – 2 BUF

2nd period

3:50
PHIIvan Provorov (Sean Couturier, Jakub Voracek)slap0.02 xG
PHI: Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gustafsson, ProvorovBUF: Okposo, Sheahan, Miller, Reinhart, Montour
PHI 1 – 2 BUF
9:42
BUFSteven Fogarty (Rasmus Ristolainen, Jacob Bryson)wrist0.05 xG
PHI: Gustafsson, Raffl, Morin, Twarynski, BunnamanBUF: Fogarty, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Bryson
PHI 1 – 3 BUF
15:39
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Steven Fogarty, Jacob Bryson)wrist0.36 xG
PHI: Braun, Raffl, Myers, Bunnaman, FarabeeBUF: Fogarty, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson
PHI 1 – 4 BUF

3rd period

14:53
BUFBrandon MontourENwrist0.24 xG
PHI: Hayes, Laughton, Gustafsson, Sanheim, Konecny, FarabeeBUF: Eakin, Rieder, Montour, Jokiharju
PHI 1 – 5 BUF
15:30
BUFBrandon MontourSH (Kyle Okposo)backhand0.04 xG
PHI: Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gustafsson, SanheimBUF: Okposo, Sheahan, Miller, Montour
PHI 1 – 6 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Couturier C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.42	0	0	0	21:35	—	—	77	52
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	81	54
Jakub Voracek R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	20:16	—	—	77	52
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.45	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	55	53
Travis Konecny R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.24	2	0	0	17:00	—	—	61	69
Kevin Hayes R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.70	0	0	0	15:47	—	—	68	69
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	46	29
Michael Raffl L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	2	0	0	12:51	—	—	47	14
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	10:57	—	—	44	21
Joel Farabee L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:05	—	—	28	44
Carsen Twarynski L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:57	—	—	15	20
Connor Bunnaman C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:43	—	—	14	9
Travis Sanheim D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	1	2	0	23:16	—	—	66	75
Philippe Myers D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	1	0	22:48	—	—	63	38
Ivan Provorov D	D2	1	0	1	-1	5	0.14	0	0	0	23:58	—	—	42	29
Justin Braun D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:12	—	—	55	37
Erik Gustafsson D	—	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	1	0	0	18:41	—	—	54	57
Samuel Morin L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	57	13

PHI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	16	12	4	.750	1.56	35:29
Alex Lyon	—	10	9	1	.900	0.99	24:08

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	1	4	16:22	—	—	49	36
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:25	—	—	52	48
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.36	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	50	61
Sam Reinhart C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.19	1	1	0	18:33	—	—	45	52
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	+3	2	0.28	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	55	79
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:18	—	—	50	54
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.13	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	36	44
Tobias Rieder L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	0	2	0	15:34	—	—	33	32
Steven Fogarty C	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.22	1	1	0	10:58	—	—	47	95
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	2	0	18:10	—	—	33	46
Jeff Skinner L	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.20	1	0	0	13:15	—	—	33	43
Curtis Lazar C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	7:43	—	—	30	62
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	2	2	+4	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:31	—	—	50	66
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	2	2	+4	4	0.07	6	4	0	22:29	—	—	47	64
Brandon Montour D	D2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.39	0	1	0	20:11	—	—	41	39
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	19:32	—	—	41	34
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	18:39	—	—	41	49
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	3	0	0	16:53	—	—	46	49

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.74	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.