Vegas Golden Knights vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 27, 2019

FinalWednesday, Mar 27, 2019· Pepsi Center

away

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

3

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
VGK	0	2	1	3		VGK	8	14	15	37
COL	2	2	0	4		COL	12	11	7	30

: VGK 69COL 40
: VGK 3.63COL 1.58
PP goals: VGK 0COL 1
Hits: VGK 36COL 21
Blocks: VGK 5COL 18
PIM: VGK 8COL 10
: VGK 49%COL 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Vegas Golden Knights 4–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Vegas Golden Knights 4–3 at home. Tyson Barrie (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL's first power-play unit (Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher and MacKinnon) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:55 together.

Points
Tyson Barrie had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 22:24.Barrie
Points
Alex Tuch had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:06.Tuch
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:18.MacKinnon
Points
Paul Stastny had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:15.Stastny
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher and MacKinnon) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:55 together.Wilson Barrie Kerfoot Compher MacKinnon
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 1.58 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 37 shots and stopped 34 (.919), +8 against a season average of 28.9; the win.Grubauer
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Agozzino–Nieto skated 4:57 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Agozzino Nieto

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · COL 40 · VGK 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 39% of the game, COL 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	COL
	66	41
	3.43	1.32
	3.19	1.31
	10	5
	2	1
	16	11
	+0.038	−0.038
	39%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
13:2775% CF
L2Stastny – Stone – Tuch
6:0685% CF
L3Reaves – Carrier – Bellemare
5:2433% CF
L4Eakin – Carpenter – Nosek
4:2843% CF
D1Merrill – Miller
14:5871% CF
D2Engelland – Schmidt
13:5363% CF
D3McNabb – Theodore
13:2948% CF

PP1Smith – Stone – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore
2:4680% CF
PP2Stastny – Eakin – Miller – Schmidt – Tuch
1:14
PK1FBellemare – Nosek
1:31
PK2FSmith – Karlsson
0:38
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
1:43
PK2DMerrill – Miller
0:48

Current VGK line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Kerfoot – Compher – MacKinnon
13:3129% CF
L2Brassard – Calvert – Jost
9:4721% CF
L3Soderberg – Wilson – Andrighetto
9:0867% CF
L4Bourque – Agozzino – Nieto
4:5757% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
15:1619% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
12:3430% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
10:1561% CF

PP1Wilson – Barrie – Kerfoot – Compher – MacKinnon
2:5580% CF
PP2Soderberg – Brassard – Andrighetto – Jost – Girard
0:48100% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:09
PK2FSoderberg – Calvert
0:40
PK1DJohnson – Cole
2:02
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
0:59

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:39
COLMatt Calvert (Tyson Jost, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.12 xG
VGK: Stastny, McNabb, Theodore, Nosek, TuchCOL: Johnson, Brassard, Cole, Calvert, Jost
VGK 0 – 1 COL
8:37
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Tyson Barrie, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.08 xG
VGK: Engelland, McNabb, Smith, BellemareCOL: Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon
VGK 0 – 2 COL

2nd period

7:18
COLTyson Barrie (Carl Soderberg)wrist0.03 xG
VGK: Stastny, McNabb, Theodore, Nosek, TuchCOL: Soderberg, Wilson, Barrie, Andrighetto, Zadorov
VGK 0 – 3 COL
10:57
VGKPaul Stastny (Jon Merrill, Alex Tuch)backhand0.02 xG
VGK: Stastny, Merrill, Stone, Miller, TuchCOL: Johnson, Brassard, Calvert, Jost, Girard
VGK 1 – 3 COL
14:47
VGKReilly Smith (William Karlsson, Jonathan Marchessault)wrist0.01 xG
VGK: Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, MarchessaultCOL: Brassard, Calvert, Nemeth, Zadorov, Jost
VGK 2 – 3 COL
17:10
COLGabriel Bourque (Nikita Zadorov, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.03 xG
VGK: Reaves, McNabb, Theodore, Carrier, BellemareCOL: Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, MacKinnon, Zadorov
VGK 2 – 4 COL

3rd period

16:37
VGKAlex Tuch (Paul Stastny, Mark Stone)wrist0.54 xG
VGK: Stastny, Merrill, Stone, Schmidt, TuchCOL: Cole, Calvert, Bourque, Nemeth, Jost
VGK 3 – 4 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Karlsson C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	21:24	—	—	74	86
Reilly Smith R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.47	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	76	83
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.42	1	1	4	18:54	—	—	72	81
Alex Tuch R	L2	1	1	2	0	5	0.97	3	0	0	18:06	—	—	71	90
Mark Stone R	L2	0	1	1	+2	6	0.18	1	0	0	18:00	—	—	77	88
Paul Stastny C	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.59	4	0	2	17:15	—	—	72	89
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:18	—	—	25	3
Ryan Reaves R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	2	0	0	8:32	—	—	33	46
William Carrier L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	8:20	—	—	39	48
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:46	—	—	50	31
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	53	25
Ryan Carpenter C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	0	0	12:43	—	—	38	19
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.08	6	0	0	19:57	—	—	73	68
Jon Merrill D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.03	1	0	0	18:56	—	—	79	87
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	21:16	—	—	65	91
Deryk Engelland D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	2	16:16	—	—	62	74
Shea Theodore D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.04	0	1	0	22:36	—	—	51	48
Brayden McNabb D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.30	3	0	0	16:45	—	—	48	46

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Malcolm Subban(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	1.58	58:48

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.15	0	0	2	21:18	—	—	38	19
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	20:14	—	—	28	14
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.27	0	1	2	19:07	—	—	31	16
Matt Calvert L	L2	1	0	1	-2	1	0.12	1	2	0	14:32	—	—	21	9
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.13	1	1	0	13:39	—	—	17	16
Derick Brassard C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	0	2	11:33	—	—	31	58
Carl Soderberg C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	1	0	18:21	—	—	48	48
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	50	54
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	1	0	4	11:57	—	—	70	94
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	2	2	0	15:37	—	—	39	23
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.05	2	0	0	9:11	—	—	40	11
Andrew Agozzino L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	0	0	5:46	—	—	63	79
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4	0	22:39	—	—	29	26
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:56	—	—	27	29
Tyson Barrie D	D2	1	2	3	+1	2	0.09	0	2	0	22:24	—	—	40	24
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	1	0	20:35	—	—	33	14
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	1	0	16:36	—	—	57	48
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	2	0	14:59	—	—	48	28

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	37	34	3	.919	3.63	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.