Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 7, 2019

Final / OTThursday, Nov 7, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
VGK	0	0	1	0	1		VGK	7	14	15	2	38
TOR	0	0	1	1	2		TOR	13	10	12	2	37

: VGK 67TOR 71
: VGK 3.33TOR 3.46
PP goals: VGK 0TOR 1
Hits: VGK 29TOR 23
Blocks: VGK 20TOR 19
PIM: VGK 12TOR 8
: VGK 46%TOR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Vegas Golden Knights 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Vegas Golden Knights 2–1 in overtime at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 6:53 together.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:47.Tavares
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 6:53 together.Tavares Rielly Johnsson Marner Matthews
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 37 (.974), +8 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Andersen
Goalie
Malcolm Subban (VGK) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +10 against a season average of 27.3; the overtime loss.Subban
Usage
Travis Dermott (TOR) played 8:45, −8:43 down on his 17:28 season average over 55 games.Dermott
Luck
VGK scored 1 goal on 3.33 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Marner–Moore skated 5:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (29.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Marner Moore
Usage
Nate Schmidt (VGK) played 26:59, +5:24 up on his 21:35 season average over 58 games.Schmidt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 138 of 138 attempts · TOR 71 · VGK 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 29% of the game, TOR 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	TOR
	53	47
	2.41	1.85
	2.33	1.77
	8	7
	6	4
	25	17
	−0.031	+0.030
	29%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone
9:3167% CF
L2Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
9:2344% CF
L3Pirri – Eakin – Glass
5:5255% CF
L4Reaves – Carrier – Roy
3:5170% CF
D1McNabb – Schmidt
12:5153% CF
D2Holden – Merrill
12:0142% CF
D3Theodore – Hague
9:4263% CF

PP1Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone – Theodore – Glass
4:4789% CF
PP2Smith – Pirri – Karlsson – Marchessault – Schmidt
4:00100% CF
PK1FEakin – Stone
5:08
PK2FSmith – Karlsson
3:32
PK1DMcNabb – Schmidt
5:02
PK2DHolden – Merrill
2:59

Current VGK line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
10:3940% CF
L2Kerfoot – Kapanen – Mikheyev
6:2355% CF
L3Tavares – Marner – Moore
5:3829% CF
L4Shore – Gauthier – Timashov
3:5667% CF
D1Muzzin – Barrie
12:1543% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
8:5268% CF
D3Holl – Dermott
6:0243% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
6:5389% CF
PP2Barrie – Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen – Moore
4:20100% CF
PK1FMarner – Mikheyev
2:03
PK2FKapanen – Moore
1:53
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
4:06
PK2DHoll – Rielly
1:52

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

4:08
VGKMax Paciorettywrist0.19 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Holden, Merrill, StoneTOR: Muzzin, Ceci, Johnsson, Matthews, Mikheyev
VGK 1 – 0 TOR
8:14
TORAuston MatthewsPP (John Tavares, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.06 xG
VGK: McNabb, Eakin, Stone, SchmidtTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews
VGK 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

2:33
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner)slap0.11 xG
VGK: Karlsson, Marchessault, TheodoreTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Marner
VGK 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	0	+1	4	0.32	2	1	0	22:55	—	—	68	73
Paul Stastny C	L1	0	0	+1	2	0.24	3	0	4	19:20	—	—	66	77
Max Pacioretty L	L1	1	1	+1	5	0.52	2	0	0	18:25	—	—	66	74
William Karlsson C	L2	0	0	-1	2	0.17	3	1	0	21:51	—	—	31	19
Reilly Smith R	L2	0	0	0	1	0.19	2	2	0	21:49	—	—	35	21
Jonathan Marchessault R	L2	0	0	-1	2	0.19	4	0	0	18:24	—	—	42	28
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.26	0	0	0	15:09	—	—	59	62
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	3	0.31	1	0	0	14:34	—	—	53	56
Brandon Pirri C	L3	0	0	0	3	0.21	2	0	0	12:05	—	—	40	40
Nicolas Roy C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	8:14	—	—	57	86
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	0	5:47	—	—	57	78
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	3	0.32	0	0	2	4:28	—	—	73	94
Nate Schmidt D	D1	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	3	0	26:59	—	—	56	62
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.07	4	6	2	19:18	—	—	52	67
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	2	18:47	—	—	50	47
Jon Merrill D	D2	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:40	—	—	44	41
Shea Theodore D	D3	0	0	-1	4	0.31	0	0	0	19:43	—	—	61	77
Nicolas Hague D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	2	10:31	—	—	56	68

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Malcolm Subban(start)	O	37	35	2	.946	3.46	62:26

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	-1	6	0.39	2	0	0	22:39	—	—	52	57
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.61	2	1	0	19:44	—	—	47	55
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	0	0	2	18:40	—	—	54	55
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	16:40	—	—	60	43
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	2	0	0	14:42	—	—	42	15
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	0	1	0	13:20	—	—	57	48
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	24:09	—	—	39	42
John Tavares C	L3	1	1	2	+1	4	0.38	0	1	0	16:47	—	—	40	42
Trevor Moore L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	1	0	2	12:14	—	—	40	53
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	43	18
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	1	0	7:50	—	—	70	53
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	2	7:49	—	—	41	15
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.08	4	6	0	24:32	—	—	41	30
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	19:49	—	—	40	27
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	5	0.27	1	2	0	24:02	—	—	65	62
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	3	0	21:56	—	—	49	42
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	2	13:42	—	—	43	60
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:45	—	—	39	48

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	38	37	1	.974	3.33	62:31

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.