Vegas Golden Knights vs. Nashville PredatorsNov 27, 2019

Final / OTWednesday, Nov 27, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

away

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
VGK	1	1	1	1	4		VGK	8	9	11	2	30
NSH	0	2	1	0	3		NSH	12	10	12	0	34

: VGK 58NSH 56
: VGK 1.88NSH 2.84
PP goals: VGK 0NSH 0
Hits: VGK 18NSH 14
Blocks: VGK 13NSH 18
PIM: VGK 4NSH 4
: VGK 48%NSH 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights edge Nashville Predators 4–3 (OT)

Vegas Golden Knights beat Nashville Predators 4–3 in overtime at NSH. Max Pacioretty (VGK) led the scoring with 1G 1A. VGK scored 4 goals on 1.88 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Mark Stone had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:27.Stone
Points
Matt Duchene had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:15.Duchene
Points
Max Pacioretty had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:47.Pacioretty
Points
Mikael Granlund had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:17.Granlund
Points
Reilly Smith had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:26.Smith
Points
Nate Schmidt had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 25:36.Schmidt
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 27:06.Josi
Luck
VGK scored 4 goals on 1.88 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · NSH 56 · VGK 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 30% of the game, NSH 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	NSH
	52	64
	1.82	2.82
	1.79	2.73
	7	11
	6	5
	19	16
	−0.030	+0.030
	30%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone
14:4631% CF
L2Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
13:0159% CF
L3Eakin – Tuch – Glass
10:0450% CF
L4Reaves – Carrier – Nosek
8:4347% CF
D1McNabb – Schmidt
16:2945% CF
D2Theodore – Hague
14:3050% CF
D3Engelland – Merrill
14:1943% CF

PP1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore – Tuch
1:10100% CF
PP2Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone – Theodore – Glass
0:55100% CF
PK1FEakin – Stone
0:49
PK2FStastny – Nosek
0:35
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
1:33
PK2DMerrill – Schmidt
0:45

Current VGK line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
12:2565% CF
L2Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
10:5167% CF
L3Duchene – Granlund – Carr
10:2659% CF
L4Watson – Sissons – Olivier
8:0122% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
18:5666% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
18:4551% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
9:2848% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
1:4233% CF
PP2Bonino – Ellis – Ekholm – Smith – Jarnkrok
0:51100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
0:37
PK2FWatson – Johansen
0:18
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:54
PK2DJosi – Ellis
0:50

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:33
VGKMark Stone (Max Pacioretty)slap0.11 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Stone, Theodore, HagueNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Carr
VGK 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

6:22
VGKReilly Smith (Nate Schmidt)backhand0.16 xG
VGK: McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, SchmidtNSH: Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg, Fabbro
VGK 2 – 0 NSH
7:01
NSHMikael Granlund (Roman Josi, Matt Duchene)snap0.17 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Stone, Theodore, HagueNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Carr
VGK 2 – 1 NSH
11:25
NSHRyan Ellis (Roman Josi, Ryan Johansen)backhand0.18 xG
VGK: Eakin, Theodore, Tuch, Hague, GlassNSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg
VGK 2 – 2 NSH

3rd period

1:23
NSHMatt Duchene (Mikael Granlund, Rocco Grimaldi)snap0.11 xG
VGK: Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, HagueNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Grimaldi, Fabbro
VGK 2 – 3 NSH
19:59
VGKMax Pacioretty (Mark Stone, Reilly Smith)wrist0.18 xG
VGK: Reaves, Pacioretty, Smith, Stone, Karlsson, MarchessaultNSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Johansen, Sissons
VGK 3 – 3 NSH

OT period

1:52
VGKPaul Stastny (Nate Schmidt)wrist0.00 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, SchmidtNSH: Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen
VGK 4 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Max Pacioretty L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.27	1	0	0	19:47	—	—	29	31
Mark Stone R	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.34	0	1	0	19:27	—	—	31	40
Paul Stastny C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.00	1	0	0	17:47	—	—	31	40
William Karlsson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	2	0	19:26	—	—	55	38
Reilly Smith R	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.27	0	0	0	18:26	—	—	52	33
Jonathan Marchessault R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:28	—	—	63	51
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	1	1	2	15:18	—	—	45	36
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	50	54
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	12:42	—	—	53	50
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	11:50	—	—	41	34
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:12	—	—	45	34
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	0	0	9:02	—	—	47	40
Nate Schmidt D	D1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.09	0	2	0	25:36	—	—	37	30
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	2	0	0	19:01	—	—	48	45
Shea Theodore D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	0	2	21:35	—	—	49	38
Nicolas Hague D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	2	0	16:10	—	—	52	38
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	4	0	18:32	—	—	43	52
Deryk Engelland D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	1	0	17:04	—	—	41	40

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Malcolm Subban(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	2.44	60:43

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.18	3	0	0	18:23	—	—	61	67
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	1	1	-2	0	0.02	1	3	0	17:51	—	—	61	61
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	1	0	17:21	—	—	64	67
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	0	0	2	17:40	—	—	57	64
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	56	71
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	13:59	—	—	63	77
Mikael Granlund C	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.17	1	1	0	18:17	—	—	57	65
Matt Duchene C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.34	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	55	64
Daniel Carr L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:45	—	—	54	60
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	3	1	0	12:26	—	—	30	30
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:32	—	—	25	27
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	9:29	—	—	33	30
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.28	0	3	0	25:23	—	—	65	64
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	1	2	20:19	—	—	66	62
Roman Josi D	D2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.03	1	1	0	27:06	—	—	50	69
Ryan Ellis D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.22	0	1	0	22:36	—	—	53	70
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.42	0	3	0	14:42	—	—	50	53
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	3	0	10:29	—	—	44	44

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	30	26	4	.867	1.88	61:52

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.