Vegas Golden Knights vs. Buffalo SabresMar 10, 2018

Final / SOSaturday, Mar 10, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	2OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	2OT	T
VGK	0	0	1	0	0	1	2		VGK	11	7	13	3	0	34
BUF	0	0	1	0	0	0	1		BUF	7	15	9	1	0	32

: VGK 58BUF 58
: VGK 2.48BUF 3.00
PP goals: VGK 0BUF 0
Hits: VGK 19BUF 13
Blocks: VGK 7BUF 15
PIM: VGK 4BUF 4
: VGK 32%BUF 68%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (SO)

Vegas Golden Knights beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 in a shootout at BUF. Justin Bailey (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Scott Wilson (BUF) played 22:23, +10:20 up on his 12:03 season average over 68 games.

Usage
Scott Wilson (BUF) played 22:23, +10:20 up on his 12:03 season average over 68 games.Wilson
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons skated 11:54 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (81% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Larsson Girgensons
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.01 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Josefson–Nolan–Baptiste skated 6:49 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Josefson Nolan Baptiste
New line
New look for BUF: Pouliot–O'Regan–Bailey skated 6:12 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pouliot O'Regan Bailey
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 23:47, +6:46 up on his 17:01 season average over 81 games.Reinhart
Usage
David Perron (VGK) played 20:57, +3:11 up on his 17:46 season average over 69 games.Perron
Usage
Ryan O'Reilly (BUF) played 25:36, +4:51 up on his 20:45 season average over 80 games.O'Reilly

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · BUF 58 · VGK 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 25% of the game, BUF 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	BUF
	53	55
	1.99	2.81
	1.89	2.66
	7	10
	8	6
	12	19
	−0.193	+0.193
	25%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Eakin – Carpenter – Tuch
11:1167% CF
L2Reaves – Bellemare – Nosek
8:3457% CF
L3Tatar – Karlsson – Marchessault
6:3436% CF
L4Perron – Haula – Hyka
5:5963% CF
D1McNabb – Schmidt
18:1750% CF
D2Engelland – Theodore
17:4956% CF
D3Miller – Hunt
12:0045% CF

PP1Tatar – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore – Tuch
2:2180% CF
PP2Perron – Tatar – Haula – Miller – Hunt
1:3067% CF
PK1FBellemare – Nosek
1:24
PK2FPerron – Haula
0:49
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
1:44
PK2DMiller – Schmidt
1:24

Current VGK line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
15:2841% CF
L2Pominville – Larsson – Girgensons
11:5481% CF
L3Josefson – Nolan – Baptiste
6:4953% CF
L4Pouliot – O'Regan – Bailey
6:1230% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:5444% CF
D2Guhle – Nelson
14:4476% CF
D3Gorges – Beaulieu
12:0235% CF

PP1Pominville – O'Reilly – Wilson – Ristolainen – Reinhart
2:25100% CF
PP2Pouliot – Scandella – O'Regan – Baptiste – Guhle
1:1950% CF
PK1FPouliot – Girgensons
0:51
PK2FO'Reilly – Larsson
0:42
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
3:03
PK2DGorges – Nelson
0:51

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

2:47
BUFJustin Bailey (Benoit Pouliot)backhand0.14 xG
VGK: Engelland, Eakin, Theodore, Carpenter, TuchBUF: Pouliot, O'Regan, Bailey, Guhle, Nelson
VGK 0 – 1 BUF
15:46
VGKDeryk Engelland (David Perron, William Karlsson)wrist0.14 xG
VGK: Engelland, Perron, Tatar, Karlsson, TheodoreBUF: Scandella, O'Reilly, Wilson, Ristolainen, Reinhart
VGK 1 – 1 BUF

Decided in the shootout: VGK 2 – 1 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	1	0	0	17:36	—	—	61	53
Cody Eakin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	61	33
Ryan Carpenter C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	0	0	15:03	—	—	66	59
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	0	0	11:04	—	—	70	85
Tomas Nosek L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	50	36
Ryan Reaves R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:05	—	—	56	42
William Karlsson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	2	0	2	21:19	—	—	38	27
Jonathan Marchessault R	L3	0	0	0	0	6	0.42	0	0	0	19:34	—	—	41	17
Tomas Tatar L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	1	1	0	16:17	—	—	32	39
David Perron L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.16	1	0	0	20:57	—	—	46	32
Erik Haula L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	2	16:56	—	—	43	45
Tomas Hyka R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	0	12:44	—	—	36	36
Nate Schmidt D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	0	0	25:02	—	—	45	31
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	0	21:05	—	—	52	34
Shea Theodore D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	22:31	—	—	54	45
Deryk Engelland D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.14	0	3	0	21:38	—	—	56	49
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	1	0	17:59	—	—	44	42
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	15:18	—	—	39	40

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	3.00	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.06	0	1	0	25:36	—	—	46	60
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.68	1	0	0	23:47	—	—	44	50
Scott Wilson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	3	1	0	22:23	—	—	39	44
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	17:13	—	—	75	95
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	1	0	0	16:51	—	—	82	95
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	82	96
Jacob Josefson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	1	1	0	13:09	—	—	48	37
Nick Baptiste R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	12:56	—	—	40	33
Jordan Nolan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:22	—	—	46	55
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	21	43
Danny O'Regan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:19	—	—	20	58
Justin Bailey R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.39	2	1	0	8:39	—	—	31	64
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	2	0	29:20	—	—	44	59
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	26:01	—	—	41	50
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	2	2	2	20:03	—	—	75	87
Brendan Guhle D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.17	0	1	0	17:50	—	—	73	81
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	0	14:46	—	—	38	35
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	14:35	—	—	36	42

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	O	34	33	1	.971	2.48	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.