Vegas Golden Knights vs. Buffalo SabresMar 10, 2022

FinalThursday, Mar 10, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
VGK	0	0	1	1		VGK	7	15	9	31
BUF	1	0	2	3		BUF	11	3	10	24

: VGK 55BUF 49
: VGK 2.93BUF 2.95
PP goals: VGK 0BUF 1
Hits: VGK 14BUF 11
Blocks: VGK 14BUF 13
PIM: VGK 20BUF 20
: VGK 66%BUF 34%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Vegas Golden Knights 3–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Vegas Golden Knights 3–1 at home. Victor Olofsson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Olofsson–Mittelstadt skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Olofsson–Mittelstadt skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Olofsson Mittelstadt
New line
New look for VGK: Pacioretty–Marchessault–Eichel skated 10:38 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pacioretty Marchessault Eichel
Usage
Casey Fitzgerald (BUF) played 6:34, −10:36 down on his 17:10 season average over 35 games.Fitzgerald
New line
New look for VGK: Stephenson–Carrier–Roy skated 7:46 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stephenson Carrier Roy
Usage
Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 4:14, −10:10 down on his 14:24 season average over 79 games.Asplund
New line
New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Krebs–Cozens skated 4:12 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hinostroza Krebs Cozens
New line
New look for VGK: Dadonov–Karlsson–Amadio skated 7:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Dadonov Karlsson Amadio
Luck
VGK scored 1 goal on 2.93 expected goals (55 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · BUF 49 · VGK 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 42% of the game, BUF 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	BUF
	55	42
	2.91	2.11
	2.65	2.10
	12	8
	2	4
	8	7
	+0.122	−0.122
	42%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Pacioretty – Marchessault – Eichel
10:3867% CF
L2Stephenson – Carrier – Roy
7:4650% CF
L3Dadonov – Karlsson – Amadio
7:3852% CF
L4Kolesar – Leschyshyn – Rondbjerg
5:0457% CF
D1Theodore – Whitecloud
13:1954% CF
D2Pietrangelo – Hague
12:5150% CF
D3Hutton – Coghlan
6:4667% CF

PP1Dadonov – Pacioretty – Marchessault – Theodore – Eichel
4:57100% CF
PP2Pietrangelo – Karlsson – Stephenson – Roy – Coghlan
2:32100% CF
PK1FKarlsson – Amadio
1:31
PK2FStephenson – Roy
1:28
PK1DPietrangelo – Hague
4:36
PK2DHutton – Whitecloud
1:55

Current VGK line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt
7:0253% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
6:4320% CF
L3Hinostroza – Krebs – Cozens
4:1243% CF
L4Eakin – Hayden – Asplund
2:1333% CF
D1Bryson – Dahlin
7:1723% CF
D2Hagg – Samuelsson
5:0867% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Jokiharju
0:00

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
3:58100% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Jokiharju – Cozens
2:04100% CF
PK1FTuch – Thompson
1:52
PK2FOkposo – Eakin
1:21
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
3:50
PK2DHagg – Fitzgerald
1:59

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:53
BUFPeyton Krebs (Vinnie Hinostroza, Dylan Cozens)tip-in0.09 xG
VGK: Dadonov, Karlsson, Theodore, Amadio, WhitecloudBUF: Hinostroza, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens
VGK 0 – 1 BUF

3rd period

12:01
VGKBen Huttonwrist0.01 xG
VGK: Pietrangelo, Stephenson, Hutton, Carrier, RoyBUF: Hinostroza, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens
VGK 1 – 1 BUF
16:16
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Kyle Okposo, Henri Jokiharju)wrist0.02 xG
VGK: Pietrangelo, Karlsson, Amadio, HagueBUF: Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens
VGK 1 – 2 BUF
19:24
BUFAlex TuchENwrist0.56 xG
VGK: Dadonov, Pacioretty, Pietrangelo, Marchessault, Stephenson, EichelBUF: Eakin, Skinner, Tuch, Jokiharju, Samuelsson
VGK 1 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Max Pacioretty L	L1	0	0	-1	4	0.48	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	64	67
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	2	18:39	—	—	64	72
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	1	0	17:50	—	—	64	67
Chandler Stephenson C	L2	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	19:29	—	—	54	49
Nicolas Roy C	L2	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	0	2	16:10	—	—	52	32
William Carrier L	L2	0	0	+1	2	0.24	3	1	0	11:53	—	—	48	37
William Karlsson C	L3	0	0	-1	0	0.10	0	1	2	19:08	—	—	56	57
Evgenii Dadonov L	L3	0	0	-2	4	0.43	1	0	0	15:31	—	—	52	57
Michael Amadio R	L3	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	0	2	12:38	—	—	58	61
Jake Leschyshyn C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	10:44	—	—	55	39
Keegan Kolesar R	L4	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	7	9:25	—	—	46	39
Jonas Rondbjerg R	L4	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	8:58	—	—	70	93
Shea Theodore D	D1	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	1	0	23:51	—	—	54	54
Zach Whitecloud D	D1	0	0	-1	3	0.58	0	5	0	19:55	—	—	57	63
Alex Pietrangelo D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	22:27	—	—	54	34
Nicolas Hague D	D2	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	3	0	20:14	—	—	52	46
Dylan Coghlan D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.31	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	64	46
Ben Hutton D	D3	1	1	+1	2	0.05	1	1	5	12:30	—	—	63	93

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Laurent Brossoit(start)	L	23	21	2	.913	2.40	58:38

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.22	0	0	2	17:57	—	—	50	43
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	43	54
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.53	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	60	76
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	0	19:50	—	—	28	16
Alex Tuch R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	1.22	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	38	30
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	32	27
Peyton Krebs C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.24	0	0	4	15:44	—	—	29	24
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	53	30
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	12:49	—	—	48	61
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	13:10	—	—	50	63
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	5	7:49	—	—	50	58
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	4:14	—	—	25	69
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	2	0	4	25:03	—	—	29	48
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	1	0	19:33	—	—	33	37
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	0	23:47	—	—	51	40
Robert Hagg D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	4	0	18:04	—	—	53	39
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:33	—	—	32	40
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	5	6:34	—	—	64	69

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.93	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.