Carolina Hurricanes vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 11, 2019

FinalMonday, Mar 11, 2019· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	2	3		CAR	9	14	10	33
COL	0	0	0	0		COL	14	11	13	38

: CAR 60COL 56
: CAR 3.09COL 2.42
PP goals: CAR 0COL 0
Hits: CAR 23COL 28
Blocks: CAR 10COL 15
PIM: CAR 6COL 2
: CAR 56%COL 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Colorado Avalanche 3–0

Carolina Hurricanes beat Colorado Avalanche 3–0 at COL. Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Petr Mrazek (CAR) faced 38 shots and stopped 38 (.1000), +10 against a season average of 27.6; the win.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 13:41.Svechnikov
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:13.Teravainen
Goalie
Petr Mrazek (CAR) faced 38 shots and stopped 38 (.1000), +10 against a season average of 27.6; the win.Mrazek
Luck
COL scored 0 goals on 2.42 expected goals (56 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 24:41, +4:15 up on his 20:26 season average over 72 games.Pesce
Usage
Dougie Hamilton (CAR) played 16:08, −3:35 down on his 19:43 season average over 81 games.Hamilton
Usage
Derick Brassard (COL) played 20:09, +5:14 up on his 14:55 season average over 69 games.Brassard
Usage
Calvin de Haan (CAR) played 14:49, −3:45 down on his 18:34 season average over 73 games.de Haan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · COL 56 · CAR 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 37% of the game, COL 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	COL
	62	56
	2.40	2.17
	2.33	2.10
	11	10
	4	5
	18	7
	+0.031	−0.031
	37%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
13:4161% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Wallmark
10:3947% CF
L3Staal – Teravainen – Svechnikov
10:3147% CF
L4McKegg – Maenalanen – Foegele
5:5542% CF
D1Faulk – Pesce
14:5548% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
12:5448% CF
D3de Haan – van Riemsdyk
11:1967% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:01100% CF
PP2Williams – Faulk – Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
0:59100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:32
PK2FTeravainen – Wallmark
0:54
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
3:53
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:12

Current CAR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Calvert – Kerfoot – Jost
7:4553% CF
L2Brassard – MacKinnon – Rantanen
7:0873% CF
L3Soderberg – Wilson – Compher
5:0450% CF
L4Bourque – Agozzino – Andrighetto
4:1240% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
11:1447% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
10:1154% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
6:1924% CF

PP1Brassard – Barrie – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:5475% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost – Girard
1:50100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Calvert
1:13
PK2FBourque – Compher
0:26
PK1DCole – Nemeth
1:27
PK2DJohnson – Zadorov
0:33

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:07
CARDougie Hamilton (Justin Williams, Andrei Svechnikov)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Hamilton, Pesce, SvechnikovCOL: Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Calvert, Nemeth
CAR 1 – 0 COL

3rd period

7:08
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Teuvo Teravainen, Justin Faulk)backhand0.14 xG
CAR: Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Pesce, SvechnikovCOL: Brassard, Cole, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen
CAR 2 – 0 COL
17:33
CARAndrei SvechnikovEN (Teuvo Teravainen, Brett Pesce)backhand0.85 xG
CAR: Faulk, Teravainen, Pesce, Wallmark, SvechnikovCOL: Soderberg, Brassard, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
CAR 3 – 0 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.19	0	0	2	19:09	—	—	61	70
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.69	2	0	0	17:51	—	—	56	62
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	16:17	—	—	63	68
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	2	17:30	—	—	45	44
Lucas Wallmark C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	44	40
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	2	1	0	15:04	—	—	52	56
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	57	33
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	52	38
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	2	1	3	+3	3	1.10	4	1	0	13:41	—	—	52	38
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:01	—	—	47	41
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	1	0	7:37	—	—	39	39
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:36	—	—	47	37
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.07	1	0	0	24:41	—	—	44	43
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.04	4	0	0	22:11	—	—	50	38
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	23:14	—	—	44	42
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.15	5	0	0	16:08	—	—	52	49
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	0	17:52	—	—	62	70
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	2	14:49	—	—	61	74

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	38	38	0	.1000	2.42	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	3	0.16	2	1	2	17:44	—	—	51	47
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	57	45
Matt Calvert L	L1	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	48	33
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	-2	7	0.44	0	0	0	21:54	—	—	48	39
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	-2	3	0.35	1	0	0	20:53	—	—	64	73
Derick Brassard C	L2	-2	2	0.03	3	0	0	20:09	—	—	48	39
J.T. Compher L	L3	-1	3	0.23	2	1	0	19:18	—	—	27	26
Carl Soderberg C	L3	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:50	—	—	42	54
Colin Wilson C	L3	-1	5	0.47	1	1	0	15:25	—	—	54	59
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	8:12	—	—	33	32
Andrew Agozzino L	L4	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:59	—	—	46	54
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	1	0.13	2	1	0	7:39	—	—	44	87
Erik Johnson D	D1	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:40	—	—	52	54
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	19:47	—	—	52	44
Tyson Barrie D	D2	-2	5	0.31	1	3	0	23:10	—	—	50	48
Ian Cole D	D2	-1	0	0.01	3	1	0	18:51	—	—	55	55
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0.03	3	3	0	16:17	—	—	42	49
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	-1	2	0.01	3	1	0	14:38	—	—	32	27

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	L	32	30	2	.938	2.24	58:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.