Carolina Hurricanes vs. Calgary FlamesOct 19, 2017

FinalThursday, Oct 19, 2017· Scotiabank Saddledome

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	1	2		CAR	8	15	10	33
CGY	0	0	1	1		CGY	9	6	11	26

: CAR 68CGY 44
: CAR 3.29CGY 2.17
PP goals: CAR 1CGY 0
Hits: CAR 4CGY 14
Blocks: CAR 7CGY 22
PIM: CAR 2CGY 12
: CAR 54%CGY 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Calgary Flames 2–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Calgary Flames 2–1 at CGY. Jeff Skinner (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for CAR: Skinner–McGinn–Ryan skated 10:45 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:07.Skinner
New line
New look for CAR: Skinner–McGinn–Ryan skated 10:45 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner McGinn Ryan
New line
New look for CGY: Versteeg–Ferland–Bennett skated 7:43 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (21.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Versteeg Ferland Bennett
Usage
Haydn Fleury (CAR) played 10:19, −6:35 down on his 16:54 season average over 66 games.Fleury
Usage
Matthew Tkachuk (CGY) played 13:00, −4:19 down on his 17:19 season average over 67 games.Tkachuk
Usage
Kris Versteeg (CGY) played 9:24, −3:57 down on his 13:21 season average over 23 games.Versteeg
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 23:58, +3:07 up on his 20:51 season average over 64 games.Pesce
Usage
Micheal Ferland (CGY) played 11:57, −3:07 down on his 15:04 season average over 76 games.Ferland

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · CGY 44 · CAR 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 43% of the game, CGY 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	CGY
	61	44
	2.29	1.91
	2.17	1.87
	5	8
	5	6
	17	4
	+0.017	−0.017
	43%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Skinner – McGinn – Ryan
10:4574% CF
L2Kruger – Nordstrom – Jooris
10:2279% CF
L3Williams – Staal – Teravainen
10:1335% CF
L4Rask – Lindholm – Aho
8:0444% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
20:1161% CF
D2Faulk – Hanifin
10:5573% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
9:2150% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
5:0388% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
4:49100% CF
PK1FStaal – Lindholm
0:57
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
0:57

Current CAR line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Jagr – Gaudreau – Monahan
13:0362% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
10:3361% CF
L3Versteeg – Ferland – Bennett
7:4321% CF
L4Stajan – Glass – Brouwer
5:5620% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
17:3149% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
15:1956% CF
D3Stone – Bartkowski
9:097% CF

PP1Giordano – Frolik – Backlund – Hamilton – Tkachuk
0:50100% CF
PK1FFrolik – Backlund
4:49
PK2FStajan – Brouwer
2:48
PK1DGiordano – Stone
7:37
PK2DHamonic – Brodie
1:47

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:48
CARJeff Skinner (Derek Ryan, Brock McGinn)slap0.09 xG
CAR: Skinner, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, RyanCGY: Stone, Bartkowski, Ferland, Gaudreau, Bennett
CAR 1 – 0 CGY

3rd period

1:09
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Jeff Skinner, Noah Hanifin)wrist0.10 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, RyanCGY: Stajan, Giordano, Brouwer, Stone
CAR 2 – 0 CGY
16:32
CGYSean Monahan (Johnny Gaudreau, Jaromir Jagr)snap0.07 xG
CAR: Williams, Rask, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, AhoCGY: Jagr, Hamonic, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan
CAR 2 – 1 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.37	0	0	0	18:07	—	—	67	57
Derek Ryan C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.71	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	72	66
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	68	53
Marcus Kruger C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	0	12:45	—	—	83	61
Josh Jooris R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	12:34	—	—	75	57
Joakim Nordstrom C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	11:47	—	—	79	57
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	39	33
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	38	38
Justin Williams R	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.20	0	0	2	16:25	—	—	36	35
Sebastian Aho C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	54	64
Elias Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	2	0	16:47	—	—	55	71
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.57	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	41	61
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	24:53	—	—	60	53
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	0	1	0	23:58	—	—	61	51
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	0	1	0	20:31	—	—	62	67
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	71	80
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	14:05	—	—	45	20
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	10:19	—	—	46	29

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.17	59:59

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	56	61
Sean Monahan C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.42	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	59	69
Jaromir Jagr R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.39	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	59	71
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	1	2	20:50	—	—	50	58
Michael Frolik R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	2	0	19:13	—	—	55	64
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	4	13:00	—	—	60	70
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	2	14:26	—	—	21	9
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	0	0	11:57	—	—	20	6
Kris Versteeg R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	9:24	—	—	23	12
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:58	—	—	25	9
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:07	—	—	31	17
Tanner Glass L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	8:06	—	—	20	8
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.34	0	3	0	21:56	—	—	50	62
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	4	2	21:34	—	—	50	61
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	26:34	—	—	50	50
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	1	0	2	20:29	—	—	52	48
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:14	—	—	6	0
Matt Bartkowski D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	11:30	—	—	11	6

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	3.29	58:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.