Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 24, 2021

FinalWednesday, Feb 24, 2021· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	0	0		CAR	8	8	9	25
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	12	11	5	28

: CAR 45TBL 38
: CAR 2.79TBL 4.22
PP goals: CAR 0TBL 1
Hits: CAR 21TBL 31
Blocks: CAR 6TBL 13
PIM: CAR 2TBL 4
: CAR 64%TBL 36%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 at home. Alex Killorn (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for TBL: Goodrow–Gourde–Joseph skated 13:20 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Alex Killorn had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:29.Killorn
New line
New look for TBL: Goodrow–Gourde–Joseph skated 13:20 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Goodrow Gourde Joseph
Luck
CAR scored 0 goals on 2.79 expected goals (45 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Stamkos–Johnson skated 12:55 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Stamkos Johnson
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Colton–Volkov skated 7:18 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Colton Volkov
Usage
Brady Skjei (CAR) played 16:03, −4:46 down on his 20:49 season average over 51 games.Skjei
Usage
Alexander Volkov (TBL) played 8:32, −3:12 down on his 11:44 season average over 36 games.Volkov
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 19:46, −3:05 down on his 22:51 season average over 54 games.Pesce

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 83 of 83 attempts · TBL 38 · CAR 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 28% of the game, TBL 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TBL
	44	38
	2.55	3.30
	2.37	3.12
	7	10
	1	4
	5	1
	+0.070	−0.070
	28%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1McGinn – Aho – Svechnikov
8:5238% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Foegele
7:2257% CF
L3Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
7:2138% CF
L4Martinook – Paquette – Lorentz
6:1356% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
18:3364% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
10:2527% CF
D3Gardiner – Bean
8:3350% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
2:2975% CF
PP2Gardiner – Niederreiter – Fast – Bean – Necas
1:310% CF
PK1FStaal – Fast
0:55
PK2FAho – Necas
0:13
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
0:55
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
0:13

Current CAR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Coleman – Point
13:5548% CF
L2Goodrow – Gourde – Joseph
13:2053% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Johnson
12:5556% CF
L4Maroon – Colton – Volkov
7:1825% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
15:4950% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
12:3033% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
8:5322% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
0:56100% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Coleman – Gourde – Sergachev
0:12100% CF
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
1:23
PK2FKillorn – Gourde
1:04
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:37
PK2DHedman – Rutta
0:37

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:43
TBLRoss Colton (Victor Hedman, Alex Killorn)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Niederreiter, Trocheck, Slavin, NecasTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Colton, Rutta
CAR 0 – 1 TBL
17:27
TBLBlake ColemanPP (Yanni Gourde, Patrick Maroon)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, NecasTBL: Maroon, Johnson, Coleman, Gourde, Sergachev
CAR 0 – 2 TBL

3rd period

19:25
TBLBarclay GoodrowEN (Alex Killorn)wrist0.93 xG
CAR: Staal, Trocheck, Pesce, Aho, Bean, SvechnikovTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Goodrow, Gourde, Rutta
CAR 0 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	-1	4	0.42	5	0	0	19:04	—	—	50	37
Sebastian Aho C	L1	-1	3	0.43	0	1	0	18:54	—	—	46	40
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	1	0.07	0	0	2	16:01	—	—	35	18
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	1	0.20	1	0	0	17:50	—	—	63	42
Jordan Staal C	L2	-1	2	0.23	4	0	0	16:56	—	—	46	10
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	75	68
Martin Necas C	L3	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	17:57	—	—	55	58
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	-2	2	0.55	3	0	0	17:19	—	—	67	57
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:12	—	—	42	21
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:46	—	—	56	66
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	1	0.18	2	2	0	11:31	—	—	56	65
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	2	0.29	2	0	0	11:10	—	—	56	55
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	24:08	—	—	64	68
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	-1	5	0.12	0	1	0	23:18	—	—	58	43
Brett Pesce D	D2	-1	0	0.09	1	0	0	19:46	—	—	50	44
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	31	25
Jake Bean D	D3	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	17:29	—	—	44	33
Jake Gardiner D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	65	50

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	3.29	57:14

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Blake Coleman L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.42	2	1	0	18:18	—	—	48	72
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:03	—	—	42	58
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	2	1	0	17:03	—	—	46	65
Barclay Goodrow C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	1.57	3	1	0	17:43	—	—	50	64
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.55	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	50	64
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	2	1	0	13:33	—	—	53	69
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.11	3	1	0	18:29	—	—	50	48
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.29	2	2	0	16:31	—	—	50	44
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	0	0	13:55	—	—	55	52
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:15	—	—	25	7
Alexander Volkov R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:32	—	—	25	7
Ross Colton C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	7:52	—	—	33	32
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	24:01	—	—	63	85
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	3	0	21:36	—	—	52	75
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.22	3	1	0	25:34	—	—	38	35
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:34	—	—	31	25
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	1	2	20:29	—	—	33	34
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	2	12:03	—	—	56	70

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	25	25	0	.1000	2.79	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.