Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsMay 21, 2021

Final / OTPlayoffsFriday, May 21, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	2OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	2OT	T
CAR	1	2	1	0	0	4		CAR	9	16	10	13	8	56
NSH	2	1	1	0	1	5		NSH	11	13	10	10	10	54

: CAR 91NSH 102
: CAR 3.73NSH 5.24
PP goals: CAR 1NSH 1
Hits: CAR 32NSH 33
Blocks: CAR 21NSH 20
PIM: CAR 14NSH 6
: CAR 50%NSH 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Carolina Hurricanes 5–4 (OT)

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–4 in overtime at home. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Alex Nedeljkovic (CAR) faced 54 shots and stopped 49 (.907), +23 against a season average of 30.6; the loss.

Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 7 shots in 28:32.Aho
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 26:55.Forsberg
Points
Ryan Ellis had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 32:16.Ellis
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 36:54.Josi
Goalie
Alex Nedeljkovic (CAR) faced 54 shots and stopped 49 (.907), +23 against a season average of 30.6; the loss.Nedeljkovic
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 39:27, +13:43 up on his 25:44 season average over 10 games.Pesce
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 56 shots and stopped 52 (.929), +14 against a season average of 42.0; the win.Saros
Usage
Roman Josi (NSH) played 36:54, +11:57 up on his 24:57 season average over 5 games.Josi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 193 of 193 attempts · NSH 102 · CAR 91

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 23% of the game, NSH 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	98	89
	3.91	3.84
	3.69	3.64
	14	13
	2	1
	31	22
	+0.046	−0.046
	23%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
18:2381% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Foegele
16:4763% CF
L3Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
14:0040% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Lorentz
13:3030% CF
D1Hamilton – Skjei
23:4847% CF
D2Pesce – Bean
23:0248% CF
D3Hakanpää – Lajoie
13:3273% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
2:3486% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Teravainen – Bean – Necas
1:3950% CF
PK1FStaal – Trocheck
3:58
PK2FAho – Necas
2:33
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
5:26
PK2DHakanpää – Hamilton
3:18

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Granlund – Kunin – Tolvanen
16:3431% CF
L2Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
16:0263% CF
L3Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins
15:2556% CF
L4Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
14:3335% CF
D1Josi – Carrier
25:1362% CF
D2Ellis – Ekholm
23:4636% CF
D3Benning – Harpur
18:0655% CF

PP1Josi – Granlund – Carrier – Kunin – Tolvanen
6:2392% CF
PP2Ekholm – Haula – Jarnkrok – Cousins – Forsberg
5:1390% CF
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
1:23
PK2FHaula – Jarnkrok
0:38
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
1:28
PK2DBenning – Carrier
0:39

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:35
NSHRyan Ellis (Tanner Jeannot, Colton Sissons)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Trocheck, Hamilton, Skjei, NecasNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Jeannot
CAR 0 – 1 NSH
15:44
CARSebastian Ahowrist0.01 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier
CAR 1 – 1 NSH
19:35
NSHFilip Forsberg (Mattias Ekholm, Juuse Saros)backhand0.16 xG
CAR: Staal, Hamilton, Skjei, Martinook, LorentzNSH: Duchene, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg
CAR 1 – 2 NSH

2nd period

3:31
CARJordan Staal (Warren Foegele)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Staal, Fast, Foegele, Lajoie, BeanNSH: Sissons, Benning, Harpur, Trenin, Jeannot
CAR 2 – 2 NSH
12:46
CARVincent TrocheckPP (Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Staal, Trocheck, Hamilton, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Ellis, Haula, Jarnkrok, Harpur
CAR 3 – 2 NSH
14:42
NSHMikael GranlundPP (Erik Haula, Roman Josi)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Skjei, Pesce, AhoNSH: Josi, Haula, Granlund, Forsberg, Tolvanen
CAR 3 – 3 NSH

3rd period

5:01
NSHRyan Johansen (Ryan Ellis, Filip Forsberg)deflected0.08 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Hakanpää, Trocheck, Lajoie, NecasNSH: Duchene, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Harpur
CAR 3 – 4 NSH
16:39
CARBrett Pesce (Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho)snap0.04 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Jeannot
CAR 4 – 4 NSH

2OT period

14:54
NSHMatt Duchene (Roman Josi, Alexandre Carrier)wrist0.19 xG
CAR: Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho, Bean, NecasNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier
CAR 4 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	2	3	+1	7	0.43	2	1	2	28:32	—	—	69	58
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.14	1	0	0	26:28	—	—	69	72
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	1	1	+2	6	0.66	1	0	0	23:31	—	—	76	85
Jordan Staal C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.33	2	1	2	29:33	—	—	58	72
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.62	0	3	0	22:06	—	—	67	86
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	3	2	2	20:26	—	—	62	78
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.15	1	0	0	24:35	—	—	33	28
Martin Necas C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.09	0	2	0	23:13	—	—	31	19
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.20	3	0	0	19:39	—	—	33	20
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	1	0	20:16	—	—	30	38
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	2	1	0	19:51	—	—	41	37
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	3	2	17:25	—	—	30	21
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	1	3	0	37:59	—	—	43	24
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	0	7	0.18	1	2	0	36:56	—	—	55	39
Brett Pesce D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	2	0	0	39:27	—	—	49	58
Jake Bean D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	2	27:19	—	—	51	63
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	7	0	2	27:13	—	—	60	63
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	1	2	16:54	—	—	67	74

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	54	49	5	.907	5.24	94:54

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.57	4	1	0	30:21	—	—	33	29
Eeli Tolvanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.47	0	1	0	26:52	—	—	30	26
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	5	3	0	26:05	—	—	33	34
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	1	2	+2	6	0.42	1	0	0	26:55	—	—	64	77
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.81	4	1	0	22:16	—	—	64	77
Matt Duchene C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.44	0	0	0	22:01	—	—	63	77
Erik Haula L	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.63	0	0	0	27:05	—	—	59	40
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	25:10	—	—	59	43
Nick Cousins C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	2	1	0	22:48	—	—	63	42
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.14	4	3	0	20:42	—	—	39	36
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	1	0	18:54	—	—	39	36
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	16:58	—	—	35	22
Roman Josi D	D1	0	2	2	0	7	0.38	0	0	0	36:54	—	—	56	66
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	1	1	0	6	0.27	1	1	0	35:01	—	—	61	67
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	1	2	4	33:06	—	—	37	31
Ryan Ellis D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.27	1	4	0	32:16	—	—	31	28
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	1	0	23:52	—	—	47	46
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	4	0	0	23:01	—	—	51	48

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	56	52	4	.929	3.73	94:54

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.