New York Islanders at Tampa Bay LightningMar 13, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Mar 13, 2027

away

New York IslandersNYI

at

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TBL +12.1 pts

NYIaway−12.1 pts

Back-to-back · 289 km travel

B2B vs rested TBL −9.3 pts
Backup likely (69%) −2.8 pts

TBLhome+12.2 pts

1 day rest

NYI on a B2B +9.3 pts
NYI backup likely (69%) +2.9 pts

TBL has the schedule edge (+12.1 pts net win probability): nyi on a b2b, nyi backup likely (69%), b2b vs rested tbl, backup likely (69%).

· Every game this week →

New York Islanders

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Semyon Varlamov69%
Ilya Sorokin31%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–2 at TOR · Sep 30

L1Palmieri – Horvat – Holmstrom
7:16
L2Pageau – Heineman – Eklund
4:50
L3Schenn – Maccelli – Ritchie
4:40
L4Cizikas – Palat – Duclair
4:40
D1Pelech – Schaefer
9:56
D2Pulock – Romanov
9:41
D3DeAngelo – Stanley
5:26
PP1Palmieri – Schenn – Horvat – Maccelli – Schaefer
5:08

Projected NYI lines →·NYI goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy83%
Dennis Hildeby17%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Mar 13.

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.