Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 10, 2019

FinalSunday, Feb 10, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	1	2	3		WPG	11	9	9	29
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	14	13	9	36

: WPG 51BUF 66
: WPG 3.02BUF 3.03
PP goals: WPG 0BUF 0
Hits: WPG 23BUF 15
Blocks: WPG 17BUF 10
PIM: WPG 10BUF 2
: WPG 43%BUF 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at BUF. Mark Scheifele (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +3 against a season average of 32.6; the win.

Points
Blake Wheeler had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:10.Wheeler
Points
Mark Scheifele had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:24.Scheifele
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +3 against a season average of 32.6; the win.Hellebuyck
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.03 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Patrik Laine (WPG) played 10:56, −6:23 down on his 17:19 season average over 81 games.Laine
Usage
Jack Roslovic (WPG) played 15:07, +5:27 up on his 9:40 season average over 76 games.Roslovic
Usage
Jeff Skinner (BUF) played 21:37, +3:08 up on his 18:29 season average over 81 games.Skinner
Usage
Vladimir Sobotka (BUF) played 10:57, −3:17 down on his 14:14 season average over 68 games.Sobotka

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · BUF 66 · WPG 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 21% of the game, BUF 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	BUF
	52	58
	1.51	2.44
	1.43	2.13
	2	13
	0	4
	8	13
	−0.057	+0.058
	21%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor
14:0850% CF
L2Little – Roslovic – Laine
10:1238% CF
L3Perreault – Lowry – Tanev
8:0756% CF
L4Copp – Lemieux – Appleton
6:3360% CF
D1Trouba – Morrissey
15:5465% CF
D2Byfuglien – Chiarot
14:1057% CF
D3Myers – Morrow
11:5130% CF

PP1Byfuglien – Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Roslovic
1:33
PK1FLowry – Tanev
4:19
PK2FWheeler – Scheifele
1:46
PK1DTrouba – Morrissey
5:13
PK2DByfuglien – Myers
3:33

Current WPG line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Skinner – Eichel
10:0341% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
8:5457% CF
L3Sheary – Reinhart – Mittelstadt
8:4744% CF
L4Sobotka – Rodrigues – Thompson
7:3365% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
15:2261% CF
D2McCabe – Pilut
14:2250% CF
D3Hunwick – Dahlin
12:1436% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
5:5088% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Rodrigues
2:11100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:00
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
0:11
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:18
PK2DHunwick – McCabe
0:11

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:01
WPGAndrew CoppSH (Bryan Little, Tyler Myers)wrist0.04 xG
WPG: Byfuglien, Little, Myers, CoppBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
WPG 1 – 0 BUF
12:01
BUFJack Eichel (Rasmus Dahlin, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.03 xG
WPG: Little, Trouba, Copp, Morrissey, ConnorBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
WPG 1 – 1 BUF

3rd period

16:05
WPGBlake Wheeler (Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele)tip-in0.08 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey, ConnorBUF: Hunwick, Okposo, Skinner, Eichel, Dahlin
WPG 2 – 1 BUF
19:53
WPGMark ScheifeleEN (Blake Wheeler, Jacob Trouba)wrist0.70 xG
WPG: Byfuglien, Wheeler, Lowry, Scheifele, TroubaBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
WPG 3 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.79	0	1	0	22:22	—	—	44	38
Mark Scheifele C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.76	0	1	2	21:24	—	—	47	31
Blake Wheeler R	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.23	1	1	0	19:10	—	—	51	43
Bryan Little C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	1	1	2	15:52	—	—	32	22
Jack Roslovic C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	35	26
Patrik Laine L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	10:56	—	—	39	31
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.33	3	2	0	15:39	—	—	50	37
Brandon Tanev L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	48	36
Mathieu Perreault C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	1	0	9:15	—	—	50	38
Andrew Copp C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:55	—	—	56	59
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	0	0	7:57	—	—	64	54
Brendan Lemieux L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	7:31	—	—	67	53
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:52	—	—	65	72
Jacob Trouba D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	3	4	0	22:42	—	—	60	62
Dustin Byfuglien D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.09	2	1	2	23:29	—	—	46	22
Ben Chiarot D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	3	0	2	16:04	—	—	52	30
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	4	0	20:02	—	—	25	20
Joe Morrow D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:37	—	—	27	32

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	36	35	1	.972	3.03	59:59

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	-2	4	0.34	0	2	0	22:15	—	—	34	38
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.32	0	0	0	21:37	—	—	35	35
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	2	0	14:31	—	—	40	62
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.17	1	0	0	14:54	—	—	47	64
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	2	0	0	14:17	—	—	67	85
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	3	0	0	12:26	—	—	63	83
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	3	0	0	19:53	—	—	52	48
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	58	70
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	2	0	15:05	—	—	44	69
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	61	61
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	11:05	—	—	73	78
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	10:57	—	—	71	66
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	2	2	0	24:06	—	—	62	63
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:46	—	—	60	53
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	16:43	—	—	52	60
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	16:14	—	—	59	62
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.08	0	0	0	20:25	—	—	39	65
Matt Hunwick D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	39	61

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	1.89	58:23

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.