Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle KrakenJan 16, 2023

FinalMonday, Jan 16, 2023· Climate Pledge Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	3	4		TBL	15	8	8	31
SEA	0	0	1	1		SEA	6	6	11	23

: TBL 55SEA 47
: TBL 3.89SEA 1.29
PP goals: TBL 0SEA 0
Hits: TBL 18SEA 16
Blocks: TBL 13SEA 14
PIM: TBL 6SEA 4
: TBL 60%SEA 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Seattle Kraken 4–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Seattle Kraken 4–1 at SEA. Brandon Hagel (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Vladislav Namestnikov (TBL) played 8:32, −4:09 down on his 12:41 season average over 76 games.

Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:26.Hagel
Usage
Vladislav Namestnikov (TBL) played 8:32, −4:09 down on his 12:41 season average over 76 games.Namestnikov
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 16:52, −3:19 down on his 20:11 season average over 81 games.Kucherov
Usage
Brandon Tanev (SEA) played 11:07, −3:09 down on his 14:16 season average over 81 games.Tanev
Usage
Eeli Tolvanen (SEA) played 17:34, +3:06 up on his 14:28 season average over 60 games.Tolvanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)SEA attacks right (top on phones) →

SEA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 102 of 102 attempts · SEA 47 · TBL 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

SEA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

SEA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 45% of the game, SEA 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

SEA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	SEA
	54	46
	2.01	1.21
	1.92	1.15
	14	4
	5	5
	13	20
	+0.069	−0.069
	45%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
10:1860% CF
L2Maroon – Paul – Colton
9:4156% CF
L3Kucherov – Point – Hagel
9:3850% CF
L4Perry – Namestnikov – Bellemare
6:4960% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
15:4957% CF
D2Bogosian – Hedman
9:5859% CF
D3Fleury – Sergachev
8:1060% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
2:11100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
0:58100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
3:07
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:23
PK1DCole – Cernak
3:01
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:47

Current TBL line combinations →

Seattle Kraken

L1Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen
12:4379% CF
L2Eberle – Burakovsky – Beniers
10:4025% CF
L3Wennberg – McCann – Donato
6:5158% CF
L4Sprong – Tanev – Geekie
4:3050% CF
D1Larsson – Dunn
18:2655% CF
D2Schultz – Oleksiak
11:3842% CF
D3Soucy – Borgen
11:2845% CF

PP1Eberle – Schultz – Burakovsky – Sprong – Beniers
2:5983% CF
PP2Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – McCann – Dunn – Tolvanen
2:29100% CF
PK1FWennberg – Tanev
2:01
PK2FGourde – McCann
1:26
PK1DOleksiak – Borgen
1:05
PK2DSoucy – Dunn
0:39

Current SEA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:43
TBLPierre-Edouard Bellemare (Ian Cole, Corey Perry)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Bellemare, CernakSEA: Schultz, Oleksiak, Wennberg, McCann, Donato
TBL 1 – 0 SEA

3rd period

6:44
TBLNick Paulwrist0.03 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Paul, Cernak, ColtonSEA: Eberle, Larsson, Burakovsky, Dunn, Beniers
TBL 2 – 0 SEA
10:44
SEAVince Dunn (Adam Larsson)slap0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, CirelliSEA: Larsson, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Dunn, Tolvanen
TBL 2 – 1 SEA
18:21
TBLBrandon HagelEN (Alex Killorn, Erik Cernak)wrist0.96 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelSEA: Eberle, Schultz, Burakovsky, McCann, Sprong, Beniers
TBL 3 – 1 SEA
19:16
TBLVictor HedmanEN (Brandon Hagel, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.74 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sergachev, HagelSEA: Eberle, Burakovsky, McCann, Dunn, Sprong, Beniers
TBL 4 – 1 SEA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.39	1	0	0	19:11	—	—	57	74
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	0	0	2	18:35	—	—	65	77
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	2	1	0	16:21	—	—	65	74
Nick Paul L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	15:01	—	—	43	37
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	2	1	0	13:13	—	—	52	40
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	46	50
Brandon Hagel L	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	1.12	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	48	63
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	56	64
Nikita Kucherov R	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.31	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	41	52
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	58	76
Corey Perry R	L4	0	1	1	+1	5	0.53	0	0	0	9:56	—	—	62	65
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	8:32	—	—	59	73
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	2	0	21:24	—	—	58	88
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.04	3	2	0	20:43	—	—	60	89
Victor Hedman D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.80	0	3	0	26:09	—	—	51	71
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	12:57	—	—	52	71
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	2	2	2	24:47	—	—	54	50
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	10:47	—	—	54	38

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	23	22	1	.957	1.29	60:00

Seattle Kraken

SEA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	2	0	0	18:00	—	—	71	70
Eeli Tolvanen R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	75	79
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	0	2	17:20	—	—	71	59
Matty Beniers C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.17	0	2	0	17:33	—	—	28	18
Jordan Eberle R	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	23	20
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	1	0	16:15	—	—	24	18
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.14	1	1	0	18:03	—	—	43	26
Alexander Wennberg C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:55	—	—	50	35
Ryan Donato C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	62	55
Daniel Sprong R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	1	0	13:05	—	—	44	47
Brandon Tanev L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	1	0	11:07	—	—	46	44
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	7:31	—	—	47	54
Vince Dunn D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.14	3	0	0	24:02	—	—	57	50
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	4	1	2	22:50	—	—	50	48
Justin Schultz D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.05	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	39	47
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	3	0	17:41	—	—	42	46
Carson Soucy D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	15:58	—	—	45	14
Will Borgen D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	0	14:41	—	—	43	15

SEA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.19	59:39

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.