Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas StarsMar 2, 2021

FinalTuesday, Mar 2, 2021· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	1	2		TBL	5	8	6	19
DAL	0	0	0	0		DAL	11	7	10	28

: TBL 54DAL 57
: TBL 3.70DAL 2.68
PP goals: TBL 1DAL 0
Hits: TBL 21DAL 26
Blocks: TBL 15DAL 14
PIM: TBL 11DAL 15
: TBL 59%DAL 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Dallas Stars 2–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Dallas Stars 2–0 at DAL. Yanni Gourde (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:57 together.

PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:57 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
New line
New look for DAL: Pavelski–Benn–Dickinson skated 9:57 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pavelski Benn Dickinson
Luck
DAL scored 0 goals on 2.68 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Joseph–Colton skated 5:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Joseph Colton
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 3.70 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Yanni Gourde (TBL) played 20:42, +3:42 up on his 17:00 season average over 55 games.Gourde
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 7:41, −5:22 down on his 13:03 season average over 34 games.Foote
Usage
Mark Pysyk (DAL) played 7:46, −4:03 down on his 11:49 season average over 35 games.Pysyk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · DAL 57 · TBL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, DAL 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DAL
	41	60
	1.14	2.85
	1.08	2.73
	5	16
	2	2
	17	16
	+0.043	−0.043
	27%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
10:2133% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
7:5050% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
7:1236% CF
L4Maroon – Joseph – Colton
5:2963% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
16:4239% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
10:3148% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
5:4817% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
4:5789% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:50100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:42
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
1:08
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:34
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
2:24

Current TBL line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Pavelski – Benn – Dickinson
9:5780% CF
L2Hintz – Gurianov – Robertson
9:1348% CF
L3Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa
8:0450% CF
L4Dowling – Kero – Caamano
2:3925% CF
D1Klingberg – Lindell
10:2867% CF
D2Oleksiak – Heiskanen
9:0931% CF
D3Pysyk – Hanley
3:5664% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Klingberg – Hintz – Gurianov
3:17100% CF
PP2Dowling – Faksa – Kero – Robertson – Heiskanen
2:3467% CF
PK1FComeau – Faksa
1:48
PK2FPavelski – Hintz
1:27
PK1DLindell – Heiskanen
4:43
PK2DOleksiak – Hanley
2:01

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:29
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)slap0.13 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, PointDAL: Faksa, Lindell, Dickinson, Heiskanen
TBL 1 – 0 DAL

3rd period

19:55
TBLYanni GourdeEN (Blake Coleman)wrist0.50 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, CernakDAL: Comeau, Klingberg, Faksa, Dickinson, Gurianov, Heiskanen
TBL 2 – 0 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	1.00	1	0	0	20:42	—	—	31	26
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	2	17:26	—	—	30	11
Barclay Goodrow C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	15:23	—	—	42	15
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	37	38
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.52	0	0	7	17:38	—	—	41	36
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	1	0	15:18	—	—	41	55
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.80	1	0	0	18:11	—	—	29	6
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	3	0	16:44	—	—	30	23
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	33	6
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	11:30	—	—	58	36
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	3	1	0	8:02	—	—	46	17
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	0	6:41	—	—	67	38
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	3	0	25:45	—	—	34	23
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	3	2	0	22:00	—	—	41	35
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	25:00	—	—	52	39
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	13:37	—	—	46	26
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	2	0	18:15	—	—	29	30
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	2	7:41	—	—	40	21

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	28	0	.1000	2.68	59:48

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joe Pavelski C	L1	0	3	0.22	1	2	0	18:57	—	—	83	88
Jason Dickinson C	L1	-1	2	0.24	1	0	2	18:26	—	—	73	77
Jamie Benn L	L1	0	3	0.21	2	0	0	16:15	—	—	85	92
Roope Hintz C	L2	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	17:19	—	—	59	91
Denis Gurianov R	L2	-1	3	0.41	1	1	0	16:22	—	—	48	78
Jason Robertson L	L2	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	52	89
Radek Faksa C	L3	-1	2	0.15	4	1	0	20:16	—	—	58	58
Blake Comeau L	L3	-1	0	0.03	5	0	2	18:50	—	—	62	66
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	1	0.40	1	0	5	13:27	—	—	44	48
Justin Dowling C	L4	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	8:46	—	—	33	55
Nick Caamano R	L4	0	1	0.02	1	0	6	8:33	—	—	47	64
Tanner Kero C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:19	—	—	29	37
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	0.00	4	2	0	23:49	—	—	64	81
John Klingberg D	D1	-1	2	0.13	0	1	0	22:58	—	—	72	85
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	-1	2	0.18	1	4	0	27:21	—	—	51	54
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	0	2	0.20	2	0	0	20:51	—	—	48	55
Joel Hanley D	D3	0	4	0.22	2	1	0	10:43	—	—	58	79
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:46	—	—	65	89

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Khudobin(start)	L	18	17	1	.944	2.41	58:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.