Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 20, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Feb 20, 2027

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

at

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

No schedule edge

TORaway±0.0 pts

1 day rest · 1,000 km travel · +1 h

TBLhome±0.0 pts

1 day rest

No meaningful schedule edge: TOR (1 day rest) at TBL (1 day rest).

· Every game this week →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Sergei Bobrovsky63%
Anthony Stolarz20%
Elvis Merzlikins17%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy85%
Dennis Hildeby16%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Feb 20.

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.