Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 16, 2019

FinalSaturday, Nov 16, 2019· PPG Paints Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

1

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	0	1		TOR	16	6	11	33
PIT	2	3	1	6		PIT	19	13	6	38

: TOR 65PIT 50
: TOR 2.34PIT 3.14
PP goals: TOR 0PIT 1
Hits: TOR 36PIT 33
Blocks: TOR 5PIT 17
PIM: TOR 2PIT 4
: TOR 68%PIT 32%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–1

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–1 at home. Dominik Kahun (PIT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for PIT: Blueger–Lafferty–Aston-Reese skated 12:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dominik Kahun had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 11:16.Kahun
Points
Bryan Rust had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 16:47.Rust
Points
Evgeni Malkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:37.Malkin
Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:39.Guentzel
Points
Brandon Tanev had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:51.Tanev
New line
New look for PIT: Blueger–Lafferty–Aston-Reese skated 12:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Blueger Lafferty Aston-Reese
Luck
PIT scored 6 goals on 3.14 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Kasimir Kaskisuo (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 32 (.842); the loss.Kaskisuo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · PIT 50 · TOR 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 41% of the game, PIT 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	70	46
	2.21	3.06
	2.15	2.92
	5	11
	11	8
	10	17
	+0.143	−0.143
	41%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Kapanen
14:3354% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
11:2555% CF
L3Spezza – Petan – Mikheyev
10:3074% CF
L4Shore – Gauthier – Timashov
9:2867% CF
D1Holl – Dermott
14:3160% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
13:5355% CF
D3Muzzin – Barrie
13:0164% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
2:05100% CF
PP2Spezza – Barrie – Hyman – Petan – Kapanen
1:110% CF
PK1FHyman – Mikheyev
0:55
PK2FShore – Kapanen
0:51
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
1:22
PK2DHoll – Rielly
0:24

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Blueger – Lafferty – Aston-Reese
12:5050% CF
L2Malkin – Rust – Guentzel
12:4338% CF
L3Galchenyuk – Blandisi – Simon
9:4936% CF
L4McCann – Tanev – Kahun
8:5147% CF
D1Dumoulin – Marino
16:3844% CF
D2Schultz – Pettersson
16:1143% CF
D3Johnson – Riikola
11:5230% CF

PP1McCann – Pettersson – Simon – Aston-Reese – Riikola
0:56100% CF
PP2Malkin – Schultz – Rust – Galchenyuk – Guentzel
0:4488% CF
PK1FBlueger – Tanev
1:29
PK2FRust – McCann
0:31
PK1DDumoulin – Marino
2:25
PK2DJohnson – Pettersson
1:01

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:38
PITJake GuentzelPP (Alex Galchenyuk, Evgeni Malkin)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Shore, Ceci, KapanenPIT: Malkin, Schultz, Rust, Galchenyuk, Guentzel
TOR 0 – 1 PIT
8:44
PITEvgeni Malkin (Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust)snap0.17 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, MatthewsPIT: Malkin, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel, Marino
TOR 0 – 2 PIT

2nd period

0:52
PITDominik Kahun (John Marino, Bryan Rust)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, KapanenPIT: Dumoulin, Rust, McCann, Marino, Kahun
TOR 0 – 3 PIT
4:32
PITDominik Kahun (Brandon Tanev, Jack Johnson)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, MatthewsPIT: Dumoulin, McCann, Marino, Tanev, Kahun
TOR 0 – 4 PIT
7:28
PITJared McCann (Dominik Kahun, Brandon Tanev)snap0.03 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, KapanenPIT: Dumoulin, McCann, Marino, Tanev, Kahun
TOR 0 – 5 PIT
14:49
TORJason Spezza (Nic Petan, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Petan, MikheyevPIT: Malkin, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel, Marino
TOR 1 – 5 PIT

3rd period

3:54
PITBryan RustSH (Teddy Blueger)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Spezza, Barrie, Hyman, Petan, KapanenPIT: Dumoulin, Rust, Blueger, Marino
TOR 1 – 6 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.64	1	0	0	18:19	—	—	54	35
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.18	2	0	0	17:35	—	—	56	39
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:30	—	—	54	35
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	4	0	0	17:17	—	—	58	24
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.25	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	55	19
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	54	22
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	+1	7	0.37	0	0	0	15:16	—	—	72	71
Nic Petan C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	69	72
Jason Spezza C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	13:58	—	—	68	84
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	3	0	0	12:58	—	—	58	43
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	2	11:28	—	—	65	48
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	5	0	0	11:18	—	—	65	61
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	18:35	—	—	63	55
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	0	16:14	—	—	60	51
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	21:35	—	—	53	22
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	19:56	—	—	54	25
Jake Muzzin D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.02	3	1	0	22:53	—	—	69	54
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	-4	3	0.06	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	62	48

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kasimir Kaskisuo(start)	L	38	32	6	.842	3.14	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Teddy Blueger C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	1	0	0	16:44	—	—	48	55
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	6	2	0	16:20	—	—	48	54
Sam Lafferty C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	3	1	0	16:20	—	—	50	55
Bryan Rust R	L2	1	2	3	+2	5	0.94	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	37	73
Jake Guentzel C	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.15	0	2	0	16:39	—	—	33	73
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	1	1	2	0	4	0.38	0	1	2	15:37	—	—	37	73
Dominik Simon C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	1	2	13:32	—	—	26	31
Joseph Blandisi C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	12:58	—	—	26	24
Alex Galchenyuk C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:54	—	—	33	34
Brandon Tanev L	L4	0	2	2	+2	3	0.17	4	0	0	13:51	—	—	41	55
Jared McCann L	L4	1	0	1	+3	1	0.03	4	1	0	13:51	—	—	42	74
Dominik Kahun C	L4	2	1	3	+3	2	0.19	0	0	0	11:16	—	—	42	55
John Marino D	D1	0	1	1	+4	2	0.02	0	3	0	22:04	—	—	44	77
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+4	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:44	—	—	44	81
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	3	2	0	21:58	—	—	48	60
Justin Schultz D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	21:11	—	—	40	56
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:31	—	—	29	24
Juuso Riikola D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	4	1	0	15:48	—	—	27	25

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.34	59:55

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.