Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red WingsJan 27, 2027

Time TBDWednesday, Jan 27, 2027

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

at

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: DET +12.6 pts

TORaway−12.5 pts

Back-to-back · 332 km travel

B2B vs rested DET −9.3 pts
Backup likely (79%) −3.2 pts

DEThome+12.6 pts

1 day rest

TOR on a B2B +9.3 pts
TOR backup likely (79%) +3.3 pts

DET has the schedule edge (+12.6 pts net win probability): tor on a b2b, tor backup likely (79%), b2b vs rested det, backup likely (79%).

· Every game this week →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Anthony Stolarz40%
Elvis Merzlikins39%
Sergei Bobrovsky22%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Detroit Red Wings

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: John Gibson81%
Daniil Tarasov19%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 0–2 vs NYR · Oct 2

L1Copp – DeBrincat – Raymond
14:09
L2Compher – Arvidsson – Finnie
9:42
L3Kolesar – Rasmussen – Kasper
7:12
L4Appleton – Danielson – Brandsegg-Nygård
5:03
D1Faulk – Johansson
15:03
D2Seider – Johansson
12:37
D3Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka
10:20
PP1Copp – Arvidsson – DeBrincat – Seider – Raymond
2:03

Projected DET lines →·DET goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Jan 27.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.