Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresMar 14, 2026

Final / SOSaturday, Mar 14, 2026· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	1	1	0	0	0	2		TOR	9	6	2	1	18
BUF	1	1	0	0	1	3		BUF	10	12	10	1	33

: TOR 38BUF 81
: TOR 2.19BUF 3.94
PP goals: TOR 0BUF 1
Hits: TOR 35BUF 21
Blocks: TOR 22BUF 9
PIM: TOR 19BUF 15
: TOR 53%BUF 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 in a shootout at home. Jack Quinn (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for TOR: Domi–Knies–Cowan skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (23.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for TOR: Domi–Knies–Cowan skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (23.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Domi Knies Cowan
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.94 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Joshua–Groulx–Robertson skated 8:00 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Joshua Groulx Robertson
Usage
Matias Maccelli (TOR) played 19:25, +4:55 up on his 14:30 season average over 70 games.Maccelli
Usage
Zach Metsa (BUF) played 15:32, +4:40 up on his 10:52 season average over 42 games.Metsa
Usage
Jake McCabe (TOR) played 26:19, +3:58 up on his 22:21 season average over 79 games.McCabe
Usage
Bo Groulx (TOR) played 19:08, +3:44 up on his 15:24 season average over 12 games.Groulx
Usage
Bowen Byram (BUF) played 25:35, +3:17 up on his 22:18 season average over 81 games.Byram

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · BUF 81 · TOR 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 16% of the game, BUF 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

BUF skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the BUF side.

Matchup matrix

BUF xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	40	76
	2.22	3.29
	2.13	3.13
	5	14
	5	4
	22	28
	+0.021	−0.021
	16%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Nylander – Maccelli
13:0838% CF
L2Domi – Knies – Cowan
8:4724% CF
L3Joshua – Groulx – Robertson
8:0030% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Pezzetta – Quillan
3:0550% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – McCabe
13:2828% CF
D2Myers – Benoit
11:1527% CF
D3Rielly – Carlo
10:3741% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Maccelli – Knies
2:23100% CF
PP2Rielly – Domi – Joshua – Robertson – Cowan
1:03100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Groulx
2:28
PK2FKnies – Quillan
1:52
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
3:24
PK2DMyers – Benoit
3:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Norris – Doan – Ostlund
10:0778% CF
L2Zucker – McLeod – Quinn
8:2953% CF
L3Tuch – Thompson – Benson
7:0578% CF
L4Carrick – Malenstyn – Krebs
4:5650% CF
D1Byram – Power
14:3271% CF
D2Dahlin – Metsa
11:2574% CF
D3Schenn – Stanley
9:1662% CF

PP1Zucker – Thompson – Norris – Dahlin – Doan
5:5191% CF
PP2Tuch – McLeod – Byram – Quinn – Ostlund
1:25100% CF
PK1FTuch – McLeod
2:17
PK2FMalenstyn – Benson
1:16
PK1DSchenn – Byram
1:14
PK2DStanley – Power
0:54

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:01
BUFOwen Power (Zach Benson, Sam Carrick)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, MaccelliBUF: Carrick, Malenstyn, Byram, Power, Benson
TOR 0 – 1 BUF
6:09
TORDakota Joshua (Nick Robertson)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Joshua, Myers, Groulx, Benoit, RobertsonBUF: Schenn, Tuch, Stanley, Thompson, Krebs
TOR 1 – 1 BUF

2nd period

0:53
TORMax Domi (William Nylander, Matthew Knies)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Carlo, KniesBUF: Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn
TOR 2 – 1 BUF
11:21
BUFJack QuinnPP (Noah Ostlund, Ryan McLeod)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Myers, Benoit, KniesBUF: Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Ostlund
TOR 2 – 2 BUF

Decided in the shootout: TOR 2 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	21:18	—	—	43	42
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.35	1	0	2	19:50	—	—	40	30
Matias Maccelli L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	4	0	0	19:25	—	—	37	29
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	2	20:09	—	—	21	36
Max Domi C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	1	1	0	16:47	—	—	28	44
Easton Cowan R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	2	1	0	15:07	—	—	26	38
Bo Groulx C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.26	5	1	0	19:08	—	—	27	34
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	34	28
Dakota Joshua C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	6	0	5	11:58	—	—	35	38
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:38	—	—	27	44
Jacob Quillan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	0	10:10	—	—	60	90
Michael Pezzetta L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.32	3	1	4	6:29	—	—	50	85
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	4	0	26:19	—	—	24	30
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	6	21:59	—	—	40	46
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	3	5	0	17:05	—	—	31	32
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	1	0	16:53	—	—	39	35
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	19:33	—	—	38	45
Brandon Carlo D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:18	—	—	35	45

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	O	33	31	2	.939	3.94	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Josh Norris C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.78	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	74	84
Josh Doan R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	77	84
Noah Ostlund C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	15:46	—	—	71	67
Ryan McLeod C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	17:56	—	—	63	29
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	1	0	16:24	—	—	53	21
Jack Quinn R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	13:42	—	—	52	20
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	1	0	0	21:19	—	—	69	67
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.50	1	0	0	20:52	—	—	73	66
Zach Benson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.59	1	0	0	14:43	—	—	73	69
Beck Malenstyn L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	5	0	0	11:27	—	—	57	55
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	3	1	0	11:13	—	—	60	60
Sam Carrick C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	10:34	—	—	55	56
Bowen Byram D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	2	25:35	—	—	65	54
Owen Power D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.26	0	0	0	23:50	—	—	68	53
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	2	3	2	26:12	—	—	63	63
Zach Metsa D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	76	80
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:49	—	—	62	43
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	3	1	9	11:02	—	—	59	35

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Lyon(start)	W	18	16	2	.889	2.19	65:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Owen Power (BUF) 1st 2:01 · assists Zach Benson, Sam Carrick · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 66.2 mph shot · 6.0 s from entry to goal.

Owen Power · 1st 2:01 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 66.2 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 6.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dakota Joshua · 1st 6:09 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 57.0 mph
Distance: 24 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Max Domi · 2nd 0:53 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 39.6 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Quinn · 2nd 11:21 · BUF PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.0 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.