C · BUF · NHL id 8483500
Noah Ostlund has played 2 games for the Buffalo Sabres in 2026-27, scoring 0 goals and 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots while averaging 17:03 a night (14:33 at even strength, 1:52 on the power play and 0:21 shorthanded). At 5v5 he has skated 94% of his 5v5 minutes with Zach Benson and 92% with Jack Quinn over the last 2 games, and the Sabres have controlled 71% of shot attempts with Ostlund on the ice (3-2 in goals, 100% offensive-zone starts). In the Sabres' most recent game against CHI he was on L1 with Jack Quinn and Zach Benson and on PP2. He is shooting 0.0% this season against 16.4% across the 73 games in our data.
Right now
From the Oct 3 game vs CHI, detected from shift data
- ixG/60 1.18 (was 0.44)
- +2:16 TOI a game
- 94% of 5v5 TOI with Benson (was 18%)
- Top-six in 2 of last 2 (was 12 of 20)
Deployment timeline
2026-27 · per-game ice time by strength, with line and power-play unit changes
Usage: 2 games, 16:46 average time on ice, PP1 in 0 games, 0 line changes.
- Even strength
- Power play
- Penalty kill
- 5-game average
- Did not play
- ▲ promoted · ▼ demoted
NHL EDGE tracking
2025-26 percentiles among skaters at his position
Only 2 GP in 2026-27; showing 2025-26 NHL EDGE data.
Season-level NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, refreshed nightly. The percentile is the league rank among skaters this season; the label at the right is the raw value.
Shot map
2026-27 · 8 attempts, 5 on goal, 0 goals
Shot map, OPP at BUF: 8 attempts, 5 on goal, 0 goals, 0.67 expected goals; best chance Noah Ostlund at 0.18 xG.
- Even strength
- Power play
- Penalty kill
- Goal
- Shot on goal
- Missed
- Blocked
Luck
2025-26 · 60 GP · 27 points vs 22.9 expected
Last 20 games: -3. Positive means running hot (sell), negative running cold (buy).
- 18.3%
- 103.0
- 60.0%
- G vs xG
- 11 / 7.8
- • Role rose over the last 10 games (TOI up 1:39 a game, 1 promotion event): some of the heat may be real.
- Actual goals
- Expected
- ±1σ
- Above expected
- Below expected
Player analytics
Compare with another player →2025-26 regular season. Rank is among all qualified players; the bar is his percentile among forwards. Each stat links to its explainer.
- 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy box score
- Games played60
- Goals11287th of 715
- Assists16328th of 715
- Points27322nd of 715
- Power-play points6237th of 715
- Shorthanded points0227th of 715
- Shots on goal60503rd of 715
- Hits5709th of 715
- Blocked shots30453rd of 715
- Plus/minus+11113th of 715
- Penalty minutes14548th of 715
- Faceoffs won86187th of 715
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
- Corsi (CF%)51.3%222nd of 719
- Fenwick (FF%)52.6%153rd of 719
- Expected goals (xGF%)53.6%153rd of 719
- Sequence xG (sxGF%)52.9%176th of 719
- High-danger chances (HDCF%)52.5%218th of 719
- Scoring chances (SCF%)51.3%242nd of 719
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
- Transition attempts /600.74415th of 719
- Turnover Ledger /60−0.041354th of 719
- Forecheck xG /60 (on-ice)0.18658th of 719
- Faceoff win %31.5%236th of 238
- Draw Equity /100−0.218236th of 238
Usage
- Ice time per game13:58484th of 715
- Power-play time per game1:20292nd of 715
- Offensive-zone start %63.2%104th of 719
Special teams & discipline
- Net penalties drawn /60+0.07244th of 719
Luck & trend
- On-ice PDO103088th of 719
- Goals above expected+3.264th of 715
- Luck Meter+4667th of 828
- Ascension score7225th of 561
NHL EDGE tracking
- Top skating speed21.9510th of 715
- 20+ mph bursts45428th of 715
- Hardest shot87.3399th of 715
- Offensive-zone time42.5%280th of 715
Unranked rows are below the sample minimum (20 GP, 200 five-on-five minutes, 100 draws or 10 goalie games).
Beyond the box score
2025-26 regular season · 60 of 60 games through the sequence engine
- −0.019
- Season net
- −0.23xG
5-on-5. Each takeaway is credited, and each giveaway charged, at the league xG value of the zone.
- Per 100 draws
- −0.218
- Season
- −0.59G
- 31.5%273 draws
Wins by zone: OZ 28-84 · NZ 46-69 · DZ 12-34
- Per 60
- 0.74
- Attempts
- 9
- 0.024
5-on-5 shots within 10 seconds of winning the puck outside the offensive zone.
Role changes
Notable promotions, demotions and ice-time swings from Line Watch
- Moved up to PP1Jan 17, 2026 alerts →
- Moved up to PP1Jan 15, 2026 alerts →
- Moved up to PP1 from PP2Nov 15, 2025 alerts →
- Moved up to PP1 from PP2Nov 13, 2025 alerts →
How the goals happened
12 goals since 2023-24 with NHL EDGE tracking: press Replay to watch the tracking animation
| Game | Play | Entry | Passes | Shot mph | Notes | Replay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 @ BOS | Dump and chase | dump | 0 | 16.9 | — | |
| Mar 19, 2026 @ SJS | Odd-man rush | carry | 4* | 22.1 | 3-on-2 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 vs MTL | Odd-man rush | carry | 0 | 17.4 | 4-on-3 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 @ NSH | Rebound | — | 2* | 6.1 | rebound | |
| Jan 20, 2026 @ NSH | Cycle | — | 2 | 28.6 | — | |
| Dec 29, 2025 @ STL | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 65.1 | one-timer | |
| Dec 23, 2025 @ OTT | Deflection | — | 0 | 31.6 | deflection | |
| Dec 18, 2025 vs PHI | Forecheck turnover | carry | 2* | 57.6 | 4-on-2 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 @ SEA | Odd-man rush | carry | 2* | 64.1 | 3-on-1, one-timer | |
| Nov 17, 2025 vs EDM | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 52.7 | — | |
| Nov 17, 2025 vs EDM | Cycle | — | 3 | 19.3 | — | |
| Nov 4, 2025 vs UTA | Odd-man rush | carry | 2 | 17.0 | 2-on-1 |
* includes a royal-road (cross-slot) pass. Derived from NHL EDGE puck and player tracking.
Linemates
2026-27 · 5v5 time together and how each pairing performs with and without Ostlund
| Teammate | Pos | GP | Share | CF% together | GF% together | CF% Ostlund apart | CF% mate apart | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Benson | LW | 2 | 26:09 | 94% | 71.2% | 67% (2-1) | 75.0% 1:45 | 66.7% 3:37 |
| Jack Quinn | RW | 2 | 25:32 | 92% | 73.5% | 67% (2-1) | 57.1% 2:22 | 83.3% 3:51 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | D | 2 | 12:50 | 46% | 79.2% | — (0-0) | 65.6% 15:04 | 57.1% 28:42 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | D | 2 | 12:27 | 45% | 83.3% | — (0-0) | 62.5% 15:27 | 44.4% 26:11 |
| Owen Power | D | 2 | 11:41 | 42% | 52.4% | 50% (2-2) | 82.9% 16:13 | 64.6% 29:48 |
| Louis Crevier | D | 2 | 8:10 | 29% | 58.8% | 67% (2-1) | 76.9% 19:44 | 60.0% 20:44 |
| Olen Zellweger | D | 1 | 4:02 | 14% | 66.7% | — (0-0) | 73.1% 11:11 | 66.7% 10:41 |
| Zach Metsa | D | 2 | 3:16 | 12% | 81.8% | 100% (1-0) | 68.9% 24:38 | 52.4% 15:05 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | D | 1 | 3:00 | 11% | 100.0% | — (0-0) | 66.7% 9:41 | 30.0% 10:21 |
Linemate and opposition quality
2025-26 · 5v5 · 730 min on ice · ranked against 510 forwards · last season, until this season has enough games to rank
teammates' average xGF%
68th percentile · higher = stronger linemates
opponents' average ice-time share
45th percentile · higher = faces more top-line minutes
Plays with stronger-than-usual linemates.
QoT averages the season xGF% of Ostlund's 5v5 teammates; QoC averages how much of their team's ice time Ostlund's opponents get, so a high QoC means facing top lines. Both are weighted by time shared on the ice, lean on last season for small samples, and are ranked within forwards or defence.
Usage by score state
2026-27, 2 games, topped up with last season.
- Leading
- 14.0
- min per 60
- Tied
- 14.3
- min per 60
- Trailing
- 14.2
- min per 60
Ostlund's ice time barely changes with the score. Power play: 1.5 min per 60 trailing, against 1.2 leading. On the ice for 43% of the team's 6-on-5 time (2:16 of 5:15).
Garbage time: 0 of 2 points (0%) came with the team up or down 3+. League garbage-time table
Next game vs MIN (2026-10-06): team win probability ≈55%, projected 14:19 TOI. Game-script forecast
- Model rating
- 37.5%
- 90%: 34.1%–41.0% vs an average centre
- 2026-27
- —
- 9 of 22 so far: too early for a percentage
- Next game
- 3.7 FOW
- 2026-10-06 vs MIN: 9 draws at 40.9%, range 1–6
Rating adjusts for opponents, home ice and dot side. All faceoff leaders
Game log
2 games in 2026-27, newest first
| Date | Opp | Result | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | HIT | BLK | EV | PP | PK | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs CHI | W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27% | 17:23 | 15:44 | 1:33 | 0:06 |
| Oct 1 | @ CBJ | L 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55% | 16:42 | 13:22 | 2:11 | 0:35 |
Season splits by strength
2026-27 regular season · on-ice numbers from shift and play-by-play data
| Strength | GP | TOI/GP | SA | GF | GA | GF% | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All situations | 2 | 34:05 | 17:03 | 44 | 21 | 67.7% | 66.7% | 19 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 2.0 | 2.1 | 86% |
| Even strength | 2 | 29:06 | 14:33 | 41 | 17 | 70.7% | 71.1% | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 1.8 | 1.2 | 86% |
| 5v5 | 2 | 27:54 | 13:57 | 40 | 16 | 71.4% | 72.1% | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 1.7 | 1.1 | 100% |
| Power play | 2 | 3:44 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Penalty kill | 2 | 0:41 | 0:21 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| 5v4 | 2 | 3:44 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
Career by season
Seasons in Edgehalla's data (2025-26 is being backfilled; earlier seasons follow)
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | HIT | BLK | TOI/GP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | BUF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 17:03 |
| 2025-26Playoffs | BUF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 4 | 25.0% | 0 | 1 | 11:31 |
| 2025-26 | BUF | 60 | 11 | 16 | 27 | +11 | 14 | 60 | 18.3% | 5 | 30 | 13:58 |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 2 | 4 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 | 10:33 |
Noah Ostlund news
- Noah Ostlund News: Two helpers in loss to JacketsRotoWire
- Sabres' Noah Ostlund: Two helpers in loss to JacketsCBS Sports
- 'He's just getting started' | The making of Noah OstlundNHL.com
- Sabres Announce the 2026-27 Opening Night RosterThe Hockey Writers
- NHL Injuries: Sabres, Stars, Red Wings, Wild, Devils, Islanders, Senators, Penguins, Capitals, and the IRNHLRumors.com
- Noah Ostlund, Zach Benson team on second line to help Sabres break through against Blue JacketsBuffalo News
- Why Noah Ostlund's versatility is a sound investment for Sabres: 'He's just a tool that you can use, anywhere'buffalonews.com
- Sabres Extended Ostlund for Potential, Not His Limited NHL ExperienceThe Hockey Writers
Headlines via LineupExperts. Links open the original publisher.
On-ice and deployment numbers are derived by Edgehalla from NHL play-by-play and shift data. Tracking percentiles are from NHL EDGE. Data updates after every game.