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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

Name: Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws) (2025-26)
Creator: Edgehalla

2025-265-on-5Through 82 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2025-26: Claude Giroux (OTT), +0.140 DrEq/100.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 All situations

160 qualified

Show

Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2025-26, 5-on-5
#	Player	Team		Draws			OZ+DZ draws
1	Claude GirouxFOTT	OTT	+0.140	462	+0.65	60.0%	377	30%▲20
2	Mark KastelicFBOS	BOS	+0.139	381	+0.53	62.5%	249	13%▲12
3	Jonathan ToewsFWPG	WPG	+0.131	802	+1.05	62.8%	538	0.3%
4	J.T. MillerFNYR	NYR	+0.129	641	+0.83	62.4%	442	92%▲7.9
5	Aatu RätyFVAN	VAN	+0.117	603	+0.71	60.2%	451	10%▲10
6	Tim WasheFANA	ANA	+0.109	312	+0.34	61.5%	220	4.0%▲4
7	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	+0.101	814	+0.83	59.7%	538	99%
8	Tomas HertlFVGK	VGK	+0.101	884	+0.89	58.4%	616	83%▲2.9
9	Jack DruryFCOL	COL	+0.100	748	+0.74	60.7%	488	5.6%▲5.4
10	Roope HintzFDAL	DAL	+0.097	510	+0.50	58.2%	333	85%▲7.6
11	Justin HryckowianFDAL	DAL	+0.091	283	+0.26	58.0%	175	18%▲17
12	Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI	NYI	+0.088	770	+0.68	58.6%	515	12%▲11
13	Steven StamkosFNSH	NSH	+0.086	420	+0.36	57.6%	290	94%▼3.7
14	Vincent TrocheckFNYR	NYR	+0.085	728	+0.62	57.3%	491	88%▼5.5
15	Colton SissonsFVGK	VGK	+0.084	455	+0.38	57.8%	269	3.3%▲3.1
16	Kevin StenlundFUTA	UTA	+0.080	718	+0.58	56.1%	500	0.1%
17	Anze KopitarFLAK	LAK	+0.075	870	+0.65	55.5%	621	0.5%
18	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	+0.072	934	+0.68	56.0%	652	82%▲10
19	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	+0.072	1,040	+0.75	57.9%	711	96%▲9.3
20	Christian DvorakFPHI	PHI	+0.072	849	+0.61	55.7%	565	16%▲13
21	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	+0.071	1,014	+0.72	56.4%	626	20%▲13
22	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	+0.069	1,281	+0.88	55.7%	853	98%▲3
23	Phillip DanaultFLAK/MTL	LAK/MTL	+0.066	780	+0.52	55.5%	511	4.9%▲4.5
24	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	+0.065	795	+0.52	56.9%	516	5.7%▲5.5
25	Morgan FrostFCGY	CGY	+0.065	827	+0.53	55.7%	572	23%▲17
26	Elias LindholmFBOS	BOS	+0.065	859	+0.55	55.1%	604	43%▲4.6
27	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	+0.064	772	+0.49	55.3%	507	91%▲1.7
28	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	+0.064	784	+0.50	55.9%	540	100%
29	Cody GlassFNJD	NJD	+0.062	790	+0.49	53.9%	512	4.9%▲4.5
30	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	+0.062	865	+0.53	55.8%	543	84%▲5.1
31	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	+0.060	807	+0.48	54.6%	547	9.2%▲7.2
32	Sam CarrickFBUF/NYR	BUF/NYR	+0.059	473	+0.28	55.6%	294	0.1%
33	Noel AcciariFPIT	PIT	+0.058	354	+0.20	54.8%	265	3.3%▲3.1
34	Ridly GreigFOTT	OTT	+0.057	373	+0.21	53.1%	238	15%▲13
35	Nico SturmFMIN	MIN	+0.053	273	+0.15	54.9%	202	0.1%
36	Adam HenriqueFEDM	EDM	+0.053	426	+0.23	55.4%	280	0.5%
37	Nick PaulFTBL	TBL	+0.052	418	+0.22	54.1%	278	8.1%▲7.7
38	Ty DellandreaFSJS	SJS	+0.050	369	+0.18	53.9%	255	3.2%▲3.1
39	Radek FaksaFDAL	DAL	+0.049	306	+0.15	55.9%	189	0.1%
40	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	+0.049	587	+0.29	55.2%	354	0.1%
41	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	+0.048	753	+0.36	54.2%	505	77%▲12
42	Scott LaughtonFLAK/TOR	LAK/TOR	+0.048	580	+0.28	55.5%	371	5.6%▲5.5
43	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	+0.048	575	+0.28	56.0%	328	5.7%▲5.2
44	Rodrigo AbolsFPHI	PHI	+0.046	293	+0.13	52.2%	158	0.0%
45	Joseph VelenoFMTL	MTL	+0.043	274	+0.12	52.9%	185	3.3%▲3.1
46	Marco KasperFDET	DET	+0.042	404	+0.17	53.2%	270	28%▲27
47	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	+0.042	821	+0.34	54.4%	540	8.3%▲7
48	Alex TurcotteFLAK	LAK	+0.037	459	+0.17	53.2%	298	8.8%▲8.8
49	Dylan CozensFOTT	OTT	+0.037	680	+0.25	52.8%	369	90%▲3.6
50	Lars EllerFOTT	OTT	+0.035	538	+0.19	53.7%	345	0.2%
51	Michael McCarronFMIN/NSH	MIN/NSH	+0.034	752	+0.25	52.9%	483	7.3%▲6.9
52	Luke GlendeningFNJD/PHI	NJD/PHI	+0.034	469	+0.16	53.7%	313	0.0%
53	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	+0.034	743	+0.25	52.4%	452	45%▲30
54	Shane PintoFOTT	OTT	+0.033	597	+0.20	51.3%	299	37%▲22
55	Sidney CrosbyFPIT	PIT	+0.033	1,073	+0.35	52.7%	667	100%▲2.4
56	Boone JennerFCBJ	CBJ	+0.032	317	+0.10	52.1%	221	21%▲16
57	Ben MeyersFSEA	SEA	+0.032	300	+0.09	55.3%	169	0.0%
58	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	+0.032	865	+0.27	53.6%	550	98%▲1.1
59	Chandler StephensonFSEA	SEA	+0.030	940	+0.28	51.7%	634	17%▲13
60	Nic DowdFVGK/WSH	VGK/WSH	+0.028	716	+0.20	51.5%	434	3.2%▲3.1
61	Mark JankowskiFCAR	CAR	+0.028	618	+0.17	52.3%	397	0.2%
62	Sean MonahanFCBJ	CBJ	+0.026	891	+0.23	52.3%	595	19%▲13
63	Sean KuralyFBOS	BOS	+0.026	497	+0.13	52.5%	291	0.1%
64	Charlie CoyleFCBJ	CBJ	+0.026	918	+0.23	52.7%	602	48%▼12
65	Matt DucheneFDAL	DAL	+0.024	397	+0.10	50.9%	257	62%▼17
66	Jack McBainFUTA	UTA	+0.023	563	+0.13	52.8%	361	18%▲15
67	Jason DickinsonFCHI/EDM	CHI/EDM	+0.021	705	+0.15	50.8%	444	3.2%▲3
68	Blake LizotteFPIT	PIT	+0.020	338	+0.07	53.0%	217	0.1%
69	Brayden SchennFNYI/STL	NYI/STL	+0.019	687	+0.13	52.5%	463	29%▲8.7
70	Nicolas RoyFCOL/TOR	COL/TOR	+0.019	584	+0.11	52.2%	365	4.9%▲4.7
71	Zack OstapchukFSJS	SJS	+0.019	377	+0.07	53.3%	207	3.2%▲3.1
72	Brock NelsonFCOL	COL	+0.018	998	+0.18	50.6%	669	87%▼4
73	Barrett HaytonFUTA	UTA	+0.018	633	+0.11	52.3%	428	11%▲11
74	J.T. CompherFDET	DET	+0.016	847	+0.13	52.7%	567	4.0%▲3.9
75	David KampfFVAN/WSH	VAN/WSH	+0.015	450	+0.07	53.3%	286	0.0%
76	Brett HowdenFVGK	VGK	+0.010	424	+0.04	50.7%	262	15%▲15
77	Dominic JamesFTBL	TBL	+0.010	262	+0.03	48.5%	151	5.6%▲5.5
78	Marco RossiFMIN/VAN	MIN/VAN	+0.009	496	+0.05	50.6%	341	58%▲12
79	Nick SuzukiFMTL	MTL	+0.009	982	+0.09	51.4%	612	100%
80	Dylan LarkinFDET	DET	+0.008	972	+0.08	51.3%	651	96%
81	Morgan BarronFWPG	WPG	+0.008	390	+0.03	48.5%	236	4.8%▲4.7
82	Mikael BacklundFCGY	CGY	+0.008	985	+0.08	50.8%	649	14%▲9.3
83	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	+0.007	912	+0.07	50.5%	623	99%▲0.9
84	Luke KuninFFLA	FLA	+0.007	365	+0.03	50.7%	241	0.0%
85	Tim StützleFOTT	OTT	+0.007	516	+0.03	52.3%	314	100%▲0.8
86	Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR	CAR	+0.006	258	+0.02	48.4%	163	3.2%▲3.1
87	Max DomiFTOR	TOR	+0.006	384	+0.02	50.8%	276	5.8%▲4.6
88	Noah LabaFNYR	NYR	+0.005	579	+0.03	50.9%	351	11%▲11
89	Jack FinleyFSTL/TBL	STL/TBL	+0.002	327	+0.01	49.8%	210	3.2%▲3.2
90	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	+0.001	777	+0.01	49.7%	484	100%▲1.5
91	Ryan PoehlingFANA	ANA	+0.001	743	+0.00	51.4%	473	6.7%▲5.2
92	Ryan McLeodFBUF	BUF	+0.000	842	+0.00	49.2%	569	26%▲20
93	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	−0.000	751	−0.00	50.5%	532	93%▲20
94	Josh NorrisFBUF	BUF	−0.001	462	−0.00	50.0%	313	39%▲32
95	Nathan MacKinnonFCOL	COL	−0.005	1,096	−0.06	49.4%	717	100%▲0.8
96	Nick FolignoFCHI/MIN	CHI/MIN	−0.005	309	−0.02	49.5%	202	4.1%▲3.6
97	Fraser MintenFBOS	BOS	−0.007	715	−0.05	49.9%	424	45%▲35
98	Jake GuentzelFTBL	TBL	−0.008	250	−0.02	50.0%	164	100%
99	Adam FantilliFCBJ	CBJ	−0.008	939	−0.07	49.9%	595	92%▲9.9
100	Mikael GranlundFANA	ANA	−0.009	537	−0.05	49.9%	380	51%▼13

Minimum sample: 246 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 395 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

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