NHL Projected Goal Scorers Today
Which players are most likely to light the lamp tonight? Our goal-scoring projections identify the NHL players with the best chances to find the back of the net in today's games. Perfect for fantasy hockey managers chasing the goals category or DFS players looking for ceiling plays.
Thursday, Apr 16
Thursday, April 16, 2026
Updated: 1:18 AM UTC(hourly)
6 games • 264 players
What drives goal scoring? Goals are the most valuable fantasy stat but also the most volatile. Our projections analyze multiple factors to identify tonight's best scoring opportunities.
Key factors
- Line placement: Top-6 forwards get more offensive zone time - Power play role: PP1 triggers score most goals - Opponent goalie: Backup goalies allow more goals on average - Shot volume: More shots = more goal opportunities - Shooting percentage: Hot shooters often stay hot short-term
League averages
The average NHL goal scorer has a 10-12% shooting percentage. Elite finishers exceed 15%.
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Pro Tip: Target players facing backup goalies with sub-.900 save percentages this season—goal projections spike in these matchups.
Sorted by Projected Goals
264 playersShowing 100 of 264 players
| Player | Team | Pos | Opp | Rost% | G ↓ | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SHG | SHA | FOW | FOL | TK | GV | +/- | TOI | SFT | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jason Robertson | DAL | LW | @ BUF | 87.8% | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 4.10 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 20.90 | 21.00 | 12.50 |
Dylan Larkin | DET | C | @ FLA | 86.1% | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.60 | 8.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.20 | 24.20 | 11.20 |
Mark Stone | LV | RW | vs SEA | 81.8% | 0.70 | 0.60 | 1.30 | 2.70 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 19.00 | 22.30 | 11.90 |
Fabian Zetterlund | OTT | RW | vs TOR | 22.6% | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.70 | 18.60 | 6.50 |
Wyatt Johnston | DAL | C | @ BUF | 87.9% | 0.60 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 2.90 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 20.10 | 20.80 | 9.10 |
Macklin Celebrini | SJ | C | @ CHI | 87.9% | 0.60 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.50 | 7.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 21.70 | 21.70 | 12.10 |
Justin Faulk | DET | D | @ FLA | 59.8% | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 20.90 | 26.50 | 8.10 |
Nikita Kucherov | TB | RW | vs NYR | 87.7% | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 20.70 | 22.20 | 10.50 |
William Nylander | TOR | RW | @ OTT | 85.7% | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 2.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 20.90 | 22.70 | 8.20 |
Alex DeBrincat | DET | LW | @ FLA | 87.1% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 3.30 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 18.60 | 21.90 | 9.40 |
Ilya Mikheyev | CHI | RW | vs SJ | 5.1% | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.50 | 20.60 | 6.30 |
Brandon Hagel | TB | LW | vs NYR | 85.6% | 0.50 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 3.60 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 20.80 | 23.70 | 9.80 |
Tim Stutzle | OTT | C | vs TOR | 86.8% | 0.50 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 19.40 | 24.30 | 10.30 |
Shane Pinto | OTT | C | vs TOR | 48.4% | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.70 | 26.10 | 7.30 |
Cole Reinhardt | FLA | LW | vs DET | 1.0% | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 2.70 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 11.80 | 15.00 | 5.00 |
Jake Sanderson | OTT | D | vs TOR | 85.0% | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 2.90 | 0.30 | 1.80 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 25.30 | 29.70 | 10.90 |
Gabriel Perreault | NYR | RW | @ TB | 28.7% | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.90 | 19.80 | 5.70 |
Igor Chernyshov | SJ | LW | @ CHI | 26.9% | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.80 | 16.90 | 6.70 |
David Perron | DET | RW | @ FLA | 5.8% | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 14.10 | 19.30 | 4.90 |
Jack Eichel | LV | C | vs SEA | 87.6% | 0.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 3.60 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | 8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 20.50 | 23.30 | 12.20 |
Patrick Kane | DET | RW | @ FLA | 59.2% | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 2.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.90 | 21.30 | 9.10 |
John Tavares | TOR | C | @ OTT | 85.5% | 0.40 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | 8.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 19.00 | 21.20 | 6.30 |
Alex Tuch | BUF | RW | vs DAL | 85.0% | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 19.20 | 25.50 | 8.20 |
Jake Guentzel | TB | LW | vs NYR | 87.0% | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.90 | 3.00 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 21.40 | 23.10 | 8.50 |
Tage Thompson | BUF | C | vs DAL | 87.9% | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.30 | 4.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 19.20 | 22.50 | 7.30 |
Anthony Cirelli | TB | C | vs NYR | 52.1% | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 1.60 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.70 | 9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 17.70 | 22.80 | 6.60 |
Brady Tkachuk | OTT | LW | vs TOR | 85.4% | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 4.10 | 2.80 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 16.30 | 22.60 | 11.00 |
Kiefer Sherwood | SJ | RW | @ CHI | 58.0% | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 2.20 | 5.50 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 17.20 | 20.50 | 4.50 |
Carter Verhaeghe | FLA | LW | vs DET | 67.7% | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 18.80 | 20.70 | 5.20 |
Will Cuylle | NYR | LW | @ TB | 57.1% | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 2.10 | 5.30 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 15.70 | 20.70 | 5.40 |
Mavrik Bourque | DAL | RW | @ BUF | 23.8% | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 17.00 | 19.70 | 6.60 |
Pavel Dorofeyev | LV | RW | vs SEA | 82.0% | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 2.80 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.20 | 20.60 | 7.20 |
Bobby McMann | SEA | LW | @ LV | 37.8% | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.40 | 21.80 | 5.80 |
Sam Bennett | FLA | C | vs DET | 70.4% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 3.00 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.20 | 7.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 18.90 | 21.80 | 6.00 |
Mikko Rantanen | DAL | RW | @ BUF | 87.0% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 1.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.10 | 20.90 | 7.70 |
Jordan Eberle | SEA | RW | @ LV | 40.8% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.80 | 22.50 | 5.40 |
Reilly Smith | LV | RW | vs SEA | 5.8% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.80 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 13.10 | 17.60 | 3.50 |
Jason Zucker | BUF | LW | vs DAL | 32.1% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 15.80 | 19.00 | 6.40 |
Claude Giroux | OTT | RW | vs TOR | 33.5% | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.60 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 15.60 | 23.60 | 6.30 |
Rasmus Andersson | LV | D | vs SEA | 81.5% | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 2.70 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.80 | 34.20 | 8.60 |
Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | RW | vs DET | 79.3% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 2.80 | 1.30 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 18.50 | 20.80 | 8.00 |
Tyler Bertuzzi | CHI | LW | vs SJ | 59.5% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 19.30 | 19.50 | 5.30 |
Frederick Gaudreau | SEA | C | @ LV | 1.0% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | 7.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.20 | 21.80 | 4.10 |
Ivan Barbashev | LV | LW | vs SEA | 53.6% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 16.20 | 20.80 | 6.80 |
Michael Amadio | OTT | RW | vs TOR | 3.3% | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 16.90 | 24.30 | 4.80 |
Adam Gaudette | SJ | C | @ CHI | 3.3% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.30 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 11.00 | 14.70 | 3.50 |
Rasmus Dahlin | BUF | D | vs DAL | 86.7% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 23.40 | 26.50 | 7.90 |
Brett Howden | LV | LW | vs SEA | 4.9% | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.50 | 3.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 15.80 | 22.40 | 3.40 |
Drake Batherson | OTT | RW | vs TOR | 82.3% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 16.80 | 21.70 | 7.40 |
Adam Fox | NYR | D | @ TB | 86.2% | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 24.10 | 26.00 | 9.50 |
Eetu Luostarinen | FLA | LW | vs DET | 10.1% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.40 | 5.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.80 | 21.20 | 5.80 |
Joshua Norris | BUF | C | vs DAL | 42.3% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 6.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 15.80 | 20.40 | 6.80 |
Ryan McLeod | BUF | C | vs DAL | 24.9% | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 7.40 | 7.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 17.40 | 23.20 | 5.20 |
Darren Raddysh | TB | D | vs NYR | 75.3% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 2.80 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 22.00 | 21.50 | 8.50 |
Nicholas Robertson | TOR | LW | @ OTT | 10.6% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 13.00 | 16.80 | 3.90 |
Alexis Lafreniere | NYR | RW | @ TB | 55.9% | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 18.30 | 20.90 | 5.60 |
Dylan Cozens | OTT | C | vs TOR | 77.0% | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.70 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 16.90 | 23.10 | 7.80 |
Jack Quinn | BUF | RW | vs DAL | 32.7% | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 2.70 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 16.00 | 19.80 | 5.60 |
Ryan Greene | CHI | C | vs SJ | 7.3% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 1.60 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.40 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 16.20 | 21.00 | 4.10 |
Pavol Regenda | SJ | C | @ CHI | 9.5% | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 12.90 | 16.70 | 4.20 |
Josh Doan | BUF | RW | vs DAL | 47.4% | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 15.00 | 19.80 | 5.30 |
Matthew Knies | TOR | LW | @ OTT | 82.0% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 19.00 | 21.80 | 5.70 |
Matthew Samoskevich | FLA | LW | vs DET | 25.2% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 15.90 | 19.00 | 5.40 |
Will Smith | SJ | RW | @ CHI | 74.1% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.50 | 19.80 | 6.20 |
Easton Cowan | TOR | RW | @ OTT | 23.5% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 17.00 | 19.60 | 4.40 |
Anton Frondell | CHI | C | vs SJ | 35.2% | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 3.10 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.30 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 18.30 | 21.90 | 7.80 |
Corey Perry | TB | RW | vs NYR | 10.5% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.20 | 15.60 | 3.70 |
Max Domi | TOR | C | @ OTT | 9.9% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.20 | 5.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 15.00 | 19.70 | 3.40 |
Teuvo Teravainen | CHI | LW | vs SJ | 23.1% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 18.40 | 21.00 | 4.00 |
John Klingberg | SJ | D | @ CHI | 28.3% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 20.50 | 21.70 | 4.80 |
Tomas Nosek | FLA | C | vs DET | 0.1% | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 13.20 | 17.80 | 1.80 |
Vincent Trocheck | NYR | C | @ TB | 77.5% | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.90 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.10 | 6.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 19.80 | 22.30 | 5.70 |
Tyler Toffoli | SJ | RW | @ CHI | 50.2% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 2.30 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 13.90 | 16.70 | 5.30 |
Colton Sissons | LV | C | vs SEA | 0.1% | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 13.60 | 19.30 | 2.70 |
Adam Larsson | SEA | D | @ LV | 27.0% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.70 | 23.80 | 4.80 |
J.T. Miller | NYR | C | @ TB | 77.2% | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | 19.30 | 24.40 | 5.90 |
Nick Paul | TB | C | vs NYR | 7.6% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.70 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 13.70 | 17.80 | 3.30 |
Mika Zibanejad | NYR | C | @ TB | 84.4% | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.50 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 20.80 | 24.00 | 7.00 |
Morgan Rielly | TOR | D | @ OTT | 70.9% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 21.00 | 28.40 | 4.50 |
Chandler Stephenson | SEA | C | @ LV | 20.7% | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.40 | 8.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 18.60 | 23.50 | 4.80 |
Brandon Montour | SEA | D | @ LV | 76.4% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 22.50 | 24.20 | 4.90 |
A.J. Greer | FLA | LW | vs DET | 9.2% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 14.00 | 18.10 | 4.20 |
Adam Erne | DAL | LW | @ BUF | 0.1% | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.40 | 14.40 | 3.10 |
Mitch Marner | LV | RW | vs SEA | 85.8% | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 20.20 | 22.80 | 7.50 |
Ryan Donato | CHI | LW | vs SJ | 25.0% | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 15.30 | 17.90 | 3.60 |
J.T. Compher | DET | C | @ FLA | 3.5% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.70 | 6.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 16.30 | 21.20 | 3.70 |
Sam Steel | DAL | C | @ BUF | 5.7% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 16.10 | 20.40 | 4.00 |
Michael Bunting | DAL | LW | @ BUF | 9.4% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.90 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 14.50 | 17.80 | 3.80 |
Steven Lorentz | TOR | LW | @ OTT | 0.2% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.10 | 2.70 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.60 | 17.20 | 3.70 |
Cole Schwindt | FLA | C | vs DET | 0.1% | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.40 | 16.30 | 3.10 |
Cole Smith | LV | LW | vs SEA | 0.1% | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.30 | 2.40 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 12.40 | 17.20 | 2.40 |
William Eklund | SJ | LW | @ CHI | 65.1% | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 17.90 | 19.90 | 5.80 |
Moritz Seider | DET | D | @ FLA | 87.0% | 0.20 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 26.50 | 28.90 | 10.60 |
Ridly Greig | OTT | C | vs TOR | 16.6% | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 17.70 | 25.40 | 6.00 |
Jordan Spence | OTT | D | vs TOR | 21.5% | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 20.20 | 26.60 | 4.90 |
Lucas Raymond | DET | RW | @ FLA | 84.7% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.90 | 22.70 | 7.20 |
Matthew Beniers | SEA | C | @ LV | 43.3% | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 1.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | 7.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 19.30 | 23.00 | 5.00 |
Frank Nazar | CHI | C | vs SJ | 49.1% | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 1.90 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 17.70 | 19.00 | 5.40 |
Marco Kasper | DET | C | @ FLA | 36.6% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.90 | 2.10 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 13.00 | 17.80 | 4.00 |
Shane Wright | SEA | C | @ LV | 29.0% | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.10 | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 13.90 | 18.70 | 4.20 |
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Our goal projections combine historical scoring rates, opponent goaltender stats, power play time, line placement, shot volume trends, and game-time factors to predict each player's likelihood of scoring tonight.
Elite goal scorers like Auston Matthews, Leon Draisaitl, Alex Ovechkin, and David Pastrnak consistently lead projections. However, matchup-dependent streamers often offer better value on any given night.
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Goals are high-variance but high-reward. In category leagues, streaming goal scorers against weak goaltending can swing close matchups. In points leagues, consistent goal scorers provide elite value.
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