NHL Projected Giveaways Today

A few leagues subtract points for giveaways. Our projection multiplies each player's giveaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward his position's average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. The list opens with the players projected to commit the most giveaways: usually puck-carrying defensemen with big minutes.

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Sunday, Oct 4

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 4:36 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 210 players

Rate

giveaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two. Home-game counts are divided by that rink's scorer factor, because some arenas record far more giveaways than others.

Shrinkage

the rate is pulled toward the position average with the weight of about 415 minutes for forwards and 910 for defensemen, so a hot or cold week moves it only a little.

Projected giveaways = rate × projected ice time ÷ 60.

Recording change

from 2024-25 the NHL's scorers record roughly twice as many giveaways as before, so compare players within a season, not across eras.

Track record

in our 2025-26 backtest the projection beat a naive per-game rate at every cutoff, with the top three deciles within 3% of actual totals.

💡

Pro Tip: Giveaways follow puck touches. The defensemen who lead in giveaways usually lead in assists and ice time too: the penalty rarely outweighs what they add.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Giveaways

200 players

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Skaters100 of 200

Player	Team	Pos	Opp	Rost%	GV^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	TK^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Moritz Seider	DET	D	vs WPG	99.7%	1.29	0.10	0.60	0.70	2.50	2.10	2.10	0.70	0.03	0.21	0.24	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.38	0.05	25:24	28.61	8.20
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	@ NYR	98.3%	1.29	0.10	0.50	0.60	1.60	0.80	1.50	0.40	0.03	0.18	0.21	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.38	0.31	24:36	29.73	6.10
MacKenzie Weegar	UTA	D	@ NYR	92.5%	1.27	0.00	0.20	0.30	1.40	2.60	2.00	0.60	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.36	0.30	23:12	31.49	4.40
Seth Jones	FLA	D	@ ANA	79.8%	1.26	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.10	0.80	1.10	0.30	0.04	0.18	0.22	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.37	-0.14	24:36	27.47	5.60
Josh Morrissey	WPG	D	@ DET	98.9%	1.25	0.10	0.40	0.60	1.70	0.50	1.20	0.40	0.03	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	-0.10	24:18	27.40	5.90
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	vs LV	90.8%	1.25	0.10	0.50	0.60	1.50	1.30	1.30	0.40	0.02	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	-0.26	24:18	27.85	5.60
Shea Theodore	LV	D	@ VAN	91.5%	1.24	0.10	0.70	0.90	2.20	0.10	1.30	0.40	0.02	0.19	0.21	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.34	0.11	22:54	27.95	8.00
Rasmus Andersson	LV	D	@ VAN	93.7%	1.23	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.10	0.50	2.00	0.80	0.02	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.33	0.12	23:24	32.47	5.80
Jackson LaCombe	ANA	D	vs FLA	97.6%	1.22	0.10	0.50	0.60	1.80	1.10	2.00	0.40	0.03	0.16	0.19	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.43	0.06	23:36	26.74	6.40
Vladislav Gavrikov	NYR	D	vs UTA	41.0%	1.21	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.00	0.50	1.70	0.50	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	-0.23	23:06	27.00	4.00
Brandon Montour	SEA	D	vs CGY	82.8%	1.20	0.20	0.40	0.50	2.90	1.50	1.50	0.90	0.05	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	0.47	22:48	23.88	6.40
Adam Fox	NYR	D	vs UTA	99.0%	1.19	0.10	0.60	0.70	1.40	0.30	1.60	0.40	0.03	0.23	0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.37	-0.21	23:18	26.99	7.00
Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	@ DET	99.4%	1.18	0.30	0.50	0.90	1.70	0.50	0.50	0.60	0.07	0.14	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	7.25	7.85	48.0%	0.37	-0.08	20:54	21.32	6.90
Noah Hanifin	LV	D	@ VAN	52.7%	1.17	0.10	0.40	0.50	2.10	0.60	1.70	0.20	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	0.12	22:06	27.65	6.30
Aaron Ekblad	FLA	D	@ ANA	49.6%	1.16	0.10	0.40	0.40	1.50	1.00	1.10	0.60	0.03	0.13	0.16	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	-	0.31	-0.14	22:54	28.16	4.80
Jack Eichel	LV	C	@ VAN	98.9%	1.16	0.50	1.00	1.50	3.80	0.50	0.70	0.20	0.13	0.37	0.50	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.05	7.72	8.35	48.0%	0.37	0.09	21:06	22.81	12.70
Neal Pionk	WPG	D	@ DET	32.3%	1.16	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.30	2.10	1.20	0.70	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	-0.10	22:30	27.69	4.00
Simon Edvinsson	DET	D	vs WPG	42.3%	1.14	0.10	0.30	0.40	1.40	1.40	1.80	1.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	0.05	21:42	26.04	5.20
Mitch Marner	LV	RW	@ VAN	98.8%	1.13	0.40	0.90	1.30	2.20	0.40	0.60	0.30	0.10	0.30	0.40	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.04	1.49	2.00	42.7%	0.38	0.09	20:54	22.82	9.70
Justin Faulk	DET	D	vs WPG	55.0%	1.13	0.10	0.30	0.40	2.10	1.10	1.50	0.50	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	0.05	22:18	27.30	5.40
Marcus Pettersson	NYR	D	vs UTA	6.6%	1.13	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.70	0.80	2.10	0.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	-0.23	21:36	25.41	3.40
Vince Dunn	SEA	D	vs CGY	89.4%	1.13	0.20	0.50	0.70	2.30	0.50	1.30	0.90	0.06	0.19	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	0.43	21:48	24.19	6.80
Dylan DeMelo	WPG	D	@ DET	5.7%	1.12	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.70	1.40	1.10	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.32	-0.10	21:36	27.25	2.80
Kevin Bahl	CGY	D	@ SEA	4.8%	1.12	0.00	0.10	0.20	0.70	1.60	1.10	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.35	-0.43	21:42	29.59	2.30
Gustav Forsling	FLA	D	@ ANA	41.5%	1.12	0.10	0.30	0.40	2.00	0.60	1.10	0.40	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.34	-0.15	22:54	27.36	5.30
Mario Ferraro	WPG	D	@ DET	14.6%	1.10	0.00	0.10	0.20	0.90	1.60	1.60	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.33	-0.10	21:12	22.77	2.90
Dylan Samberg	WPG	D	@ DET	4.0%	1.09	0.00	0.20	0.20	1.10	0.90	1.40	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.33	-0.10	21:30	26.32	3.70
John Marino	UTA	D	@ NYR	17.7%	1.09	0.00	0.30	0.30	0.60	0.40	0.90	0.20	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.29	0.29	20:36	27.86	3.50
Parker Wotherspoon	LV	D	@ VAN	20.2%	1.09	0.00	0.20	0.30	0.90	2.10	1.40	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.29	0.10	19:12	21.80	3.10
Ben Chiarot	DET	D	vs WPG	13.3%	1.07	0.10	0.10	0.20	1.40	2.20	1.80	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	0.05	21:06	26.34	3.70
Niko Mikkola	FLA	D	@ ANA	4.9%	1.07	0.00	0.20	0.20	1.30	1.40	1.10	0.60	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	-0.14	20:12	26.49	3.40
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	vs UTA	98.3%	1.07	0.20	0.40	0.70	2.10	0.80	0.70	0.20	0.06	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	6.95	6.25	52.7%	0.35	-0.18	19:54	24.21	5.90
Vincent Trocheck	UTA	C	@ NYR	88.5%	1.07	0.20	0.30	0.60	1.60	3.10	0.80	0.50	0.04	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	9.76	7.38	56.9%	0.35	0.26	20:54	24.81	5.10
Brayden McNabb	LV	D	@ VAN	23.8%	1.05	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.30	1.90	2.50	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	0.30	0.11	20:24	26.16	5.80
Adam Larsson	SEA	D	vs CGY	22.6%	1.05	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.40	1.70	2.30	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.29	0.49	21:18	23.93	5.10
Yan Kuznetsov	CGY	D	@ SEA	7.2%	1.04	0.00	0.10	0.20	1.00	1.60	1.40	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	-0.40	20:12	28.41	2.70
Zeev Buium	VAN	D	vs LV	73.0%	1.04	0.10	0.30	0.30	1.20	0.40	0.80	0.40	0.03	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	-0.21	19:24	22.04	2.90
Sean Durzi	NYR	D	vs UTA	38.3%	1.02	0.10	0.30	0.40	1.10	0.50	1.80	0.70	0.02	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	-0.19	19:36	25.02	4.30
J.T. Miller	NYR	C	vs UTA	91.8%	1.01	0.20	0.40	0.70	1.70	1.60	0.70	0.60	0.05	0.11	0.16	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	7.91	5.72	58.0%	0.31	-0.17	19:12	25.02	5.50
Clayton Keller	UTA	LW	@ NYR	99.9%	1.01	0.30	0.60	0.90	2.20	0.10	0.40	0.40	0.07	0.20	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.18	0.22	-	0.31	0.23	19:06	22.76	7.20
Tyson Hinds	ANA	D	vs FLA	4.8%	1.01	0.00	0.10	0.10	1.30	1.20	1.70	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.28	0.06	19:18	24.15	3.50
Tristan Luneau	ANA	D	vs FLA	30.8%	1.01	0.10	0.20	0.20	1.30	0.90	1.20	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	0.06	19:18	21.35	3.60
William Wallinder	DET	D	vs WPG	-	1.00	0.00	0.10	0.10	1.20	0.50	0.70	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.28	0.05	19:18	23.48	2.40
Braden Schneider	NYR	D	vs UTA	19.6%	1.00	0.00	0.10	0.20	1.00	1.60	2.00	0.30	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	-0.19	18:54	23.68	3.80
Ryan Lindgren	SEA	D	vs CGY	0.1%	0.99	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.80	0.90	1.80	0.70	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	-	0.26	0.43	18:54	23.74	3.60
Simon Nemec	CGY	D	@ SEA	62.0%	0.99	0.10	0.30	0.40	1.50	0.40	1.10	0.50	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.28	-0.35	18:36	20.70	3.70
Nick Jensen	ANA	D	vs FLA	0.1%	0.98	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.70	0.80	1.40	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.06	18:54	26.05	3.00
Brock Boeser	VAN	RW	vs LV	63.9%	0.98	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.00	0.70	0.40	0.10	0.07	0.12	0.20	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.65	0.84	-	0.28	-0.19	18:42	21.73	5.40
Mark Stone	LV	RW	@ VAN	93.4%	0.98	0.40	0.70	1.10	2.20	0.70	0.80	0.20	0.11	0.23	0.35	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	0.10	0.12	-	0.33	0.09	19:24	21.73	9.50
Jamie Oleksiak	VAN	D	vs LV	7.1%	0.97	0.10	0.10	0.20	0.80	1.20	1.30	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	-0.21	18:00	21.45	3.10
Zach Whitecloud	CGY	D	@ SEA	7.3%	0.97	0.00	0.10	0.20	0.90	1.80	1.60	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.25	-0.37	18:54	23.53	3.00
Andrew Peeke	UTA	D	@ NYR	6.5%	0.97	0.00	0.10	0.20	0.90	1.70	1.70	0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.26	18:42	23.74	3.10
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	@ NYR	93.8%	0.97	0.30	0.40	0.70	2.00	0.30	0.60	0.20	0.08	0.11	0.18	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	4.70	5.19	47.5%	0.36	0.23	19:12	23.47	6.20
Jacob Middleton	CGY	D	@ SEA	5.7%	0.97	0.00	0.10	0.20	0.90	1.50	1.50	1.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	-0.39	19:30	23.12	3.10
Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	@ ANA	99.5%	0.97	0.50	0.50	0.90	2.70	0.90	0.60	0.20	0.18	0.20	0.38	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.09	1.58	2.01	44.0%	0.31	-0.11	21:06	24.17	8.30
Beckett Sennecke	ANA	RW	vs FLA	93.7%	0.97	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.30	1.30	0.40	0.80	0.04	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.03	0.04	-	0.30	0.05	17:24	21.05	5.20
Kyle Connor	WPG	LW	@ DET	99.2%	0.97	0.40	0.50	0.80	2.60	0.30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.14	0.23	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.02	0.02	-	0.32	-0.08	21:06	22.34	7.40
Matthew Tkachuk	FLA	RW	@ ANA	99.7%	0.96	0.30	0.70	1.00	3.00	1.00	0.20	0.80	0.12	0.29	0.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.12	0.14	-	0.28	-0.09	18:18	20.44	8.40
Mikael Granlund	ANA	C	vs FLA	52.1%	0.96	0.20	0.40	0.50	1.70	0.70	0.80	0.30	0.05	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	5.91	5.93	49.9%	0.31	0.05	19:12	22.71	4.90
Ryker Evans	SEA	D	vs CGY	13.7%	0.96	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.00	1.20	1.40	0.60	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.27	0.42	18:48	21.27	3.60
Lucas Raymond	DET	RW	vs WPG	95.6%	0.95	0.40	0.70	1.10	2.70	0.60	0.30	0.30	0.10	0.21	0.31	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.06	0.02	0.02	-	0.31	0.04	18:48	22.26	8.30
Zayne Parekh	CGY	D	@ SEA	68.5%	0.94	0.10	0.30	0.40	1.40	0.50	0.70	0.40	0.03	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.25	-0.30	17:12	21.47	3.20
Pavel Mintyukov	ANA	D	vs FLA	30.8%	0.94	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.10	1.00	1.90	0.40	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.05	18:12	24.00	4.10
Matthew Beniers	SEA	C	vs CGY	49.6%	0.94	0.30	0.50	0.90	2.00	0.60	1.00	0.30	0.07	0.12	0.19	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.05	6.45	6.94	48.2%	0.31	0.37	18:54	22.36	7.10
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	vs LV	87.4%	0.94	0.20	0.50	0.80	1.70	1.10	1.20	0.20	0.05	0.15	0.20	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	8.71	9.39	48.1%	0.33	-0.19	18:54	23.03	6.30
Radko Gudas	FLA	D	@ ANA	24.5%	0.93	0.00	0.20	0.20	1.10	2.30	1.50	0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	-0.12	18:00	23.61	3.30
Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	@ SEA	13.7%	0.93	0.10	0.20	0.30	2.00	0.50	0.30	0.30	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	9.05	9.11	49.8%	0.31	-0.35	18:18	24.39	3.70
Nate Schmidt	UTA	D	@ NYR	4.9%	0.92	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.70	1.10	1.00	0.20	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	0.25	18:06	25.31	3.30
Logan Cooley	UTA	C	@ NYR	93.9%	0.92	0.30	0.40	0.70	1.50	1.10	0.50	0.40	0.07	0.10	0.17	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.04	5.21	5.94	46.8%	0.32	0.21	17:42	22.18	5.80
Dmitry Kulikov	FLA	D	@ ANA	3.2%	0.92	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.90	1.10	1.00	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.26	-0.12	17:30	23.10	3.00
Alex DeBrincat	DET	LW	vs WPG	99.7%	0.91	0.50	0.50	1.10	3.80	0.50	0.50	0.30	0.14	0.14	0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.30	0.37	-	0.34	0.04	18:12	21.12	9.70
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	vs CGY	16.9%	0.90	0.20	0.50	0.70	1.30	0.40	0.80	0.30	0.05	0.13	0.18	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	9.44	8.81	51.7%	0.34	0.38	19:12	24.17	5.30
Sam Bennett	FLA	C	@ ANA	83.8%	0.90	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.60	1.50	0.50	0.90	0.06	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	6.33	6.87	48.0%	0.29	-0.10	17:48	21.44	5.90
Jeremy Lauzon	LV	D	@ VAN	23.7%	0.89	0.00	0.10	0.20	1.30	3.90	1.40	1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.23	0.09	17:24	23.74	3.20
Gabriel Vilardi	WPG	RW	@ DET	80.0%	0.88	0.30	0.30	0.60	1.50	0.30	0.50	0.30	0.08	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.75	0.76	-	0.27	-0.07	18:30	19.79	5.40
Ivan Barbashev	LV	LW	@ VAN	67.8%	0.88	0.30	0.50	0.80	1.70	2.00	0.50	0.30	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.25	0.34	-	0.26	0.09	16:30	20.04	6.50
Leo Carlsson	ANA	C	vs FLA	94.2%	0.88	0.40	0.40	0.80	2.60	0.30	0.60	0.40	0.10	0.12	0.22	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.08	5.60	6.77	45.3%	0.31	0.04	17:42	20.94	7.50
Tom Willander	VAN	D	vs LV	24.9%	0.87	0.10	0.30	0.40	0.80	0.50	1.10	0.30	0.02	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	-0.19	17:12	22.69	2.80
Dylan Guenther	UTA	RW	@ NYR	99.2%	0.87	0.40	0.40	0.80	2.80	1.00	0.40	0.30	0.12	0.13	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.33	0.40	-	0.28	0.20	17:18	21.55	7.80
Anton Lundell	FLA	C	@ ANA	45.5%	0.87	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.20	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.06	0.14	0.20	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	7.87	7.20	52.2%	0.26	-0.10	17:30	22.23	5.90
Carter Verhaeghe	FLA	LW	@ ANA	72.1%	0.86	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.40	0.70	0.30	0.30	0.05	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.59	0.70	-	0.30	-0.10	18:06	21.76	5.60
Jack St. Ivany	WPG	D	@ DET	3.2%	0.86	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.50	2.40	0.90	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	-0.08	16:24	18.95	1.90
Joel Hanley	CGY	D	@ SEA	0.0%	0.86	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.50	0.70	1.00	0.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.23	-0.33	16:24	24.68	1.90
Jared McCann	SEA	LW	vs CGY	71.6%	0.86	0.40	0.60	1.00	2.70	0.80	0.50	0.30	0.11	0.18	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.59	0.70	-	0.27	0.32	16:54	21.78	8.00
Alexis Lafreniere	NYR	RW	vs UTA	81.8%	0.85	0.20	0.30	0.60	1.70	0.90	0.50	0.30	0.05	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.22	0.29	-	0.30	-0.15	17:18	21.18	4.90
Axel Sandin Pellikka	DET	D	vs WPG	37.9%	0.84	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.30	0.30	0.80	0.30	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	0.03	16:18	20.62	3.20
Cutter Gauthier	ANA	LW	vs FLA	98.2%	0.84	0.40	0.30	0.70	3.50	1.10	0.40	0.40	0.10	0.08	0.18	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.97	1.10	-	0.26	0.04	15:48	19.18	7.70
Marco Rossi	VAN	C	vs LV	59.7%	0.83	0.30	0.40	0.70	1.50	0.70	0.50	0.30	0.06	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.05	5.56	5.79	49.0%	0.28	-0.18	17:36	20.49	5.30
Albert Johansson	DET	D	vs WPG	4.8%	0.83	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.90	0.90	1.10	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.24	0.04	16:12	21.91	2.20
Brady Tkachuk	FLA	LW	@ ANA	99.6%	0.83	0.30	0.40	0.70	3.90	2.30	0.30	1.10	0.10	0.15	0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	2.55	2.32	52.4%	0.27	-0.09	17:48	24.22	8.10
Jordan Eberle	SEA	RW	vs CGY	30.3%	0.83	0.40	0.40	0.80	2.30	0.60	0.60	0.40	0.10	0.11	0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.17	0.21	-	0.29	0.34	17:42	21.38	6.90
Alex Killorn	ANA	RW	vs FLA	5.1%	0.82	0.20	0.20	0.30	1.60	1.00	0.40	0.60	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	0.51	0.69	-	0.27	0.05	17:06	22.46	3.50
Matthew Coronato	CGY	RW	@ SEA	40.0%	0.81	0.20	0.30	0.50	2.20	0.40	0.30	0.40	0.05	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	1.08	1.33	-	0.27	-0.29	17:00	21.12	4.40
William Karlsson	LV	C	@ VAN	24.2%	0.80	0.30	0.30	0.60	2.10	0.40	0.80	0.20	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	7.62	5.81	56.7%	0.28	0.09	17:00	21.21	6.40
Andrew Copp	DET	C	vs WPG	9.2%	0.80	0.20	0.40	0.60	1.60	0.50	0.70	0.30	0.03	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	6.39	5.68	53.0%	0.25	0.03	15:48	20.93	4.90
Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	RW	vs UTA	92.5%	0.79	0.30	0.30	0.60	2.50	0.30	0.50	0.30	0.09	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.03	0.03	-	0.27	-0.14	17:00	19.39	6.30
Dmitriy Simashev	UTA	D	@ NYR	20.1%	0.79	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.80	0.80	0.90	0.40	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.21	0.21	15:12	20.19	1.60
Yegor Sharangovich	CGY	LW	@ SEA	7.8%	0.79	0.10	0.20	0.30	1.60	0.30	0.30	0.10	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.95	1.08	-	0.26	-0.30	16:24	20.88	2.90
Luke Schenn	VAN	D	vs LV	7.3%	0.79	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.70	2.50	1.10	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.21	-0.18	14:54	20.62	2.00
Haydn Fleury	WPG	D	@ DET	0.1%	0.78	0.00	0.10	0.10	0.60	1.40	1.10	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	0.22	-0.07	15:00	19.45	1.50

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Takeaways

The positive side of puck battles, projected the same way.

Takeaway Projections

Puck-moving defensemen

The players with the most giveaways are often the ones driving offence from the back.

Defensemen Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's rink-adjusted giveaway rate per 60 minutes (recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time.

From 2024-25 the NHL records roughly twice as many giveaways a season as it did before. The projection uses recent rates, so it already reflects the new recording.

Those are the players who cost the most in leagues that subtract for giveaways. Players with few projected minutes give the puck away least simply because they barely play, so a fewest-first list is not useful. Click the column to flip it.