Edgehalla

NHL Assists Projections Today

Projected assists for every skater playing tonight, with his chance of 1+ and 2+ assists, fair odds and his power-play role. Projections, not picks.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 80 players

Chance of an assist tonight, every skater

75 skaters
Chance of an assist tonight, every skater. Columns: Proj A, the chance of each line, and fair odds.
Fair odds (1+ A)
Nathan MacKinnonPP1C · COL vs DAL0.9059%23%-1461.69
Cale MakarPP1D · COL vs DAL0.7050%16%-1011.99
Lane HutsonPP1D · MTL @ WSH0.7050%16%-1011.99
Mikko RantanenPP1RW · DAL @ COL0.7050%16%-1011.99
Nick SuzukiPP1C · MTL @ WSH0.7050%16%-1011.99
Dylan StromePP1C · WSH vs MTL0.6045%12%+1222.22
Jason RobertsonPP1LW · DAL @ COL0.6045%12%+1222.22
Martin NecasPP1RW · COL vs DAL0.6045%12%+1222.22
Miro HeiskanenPP1D · DAL @ COL0.6045%12%+1222.22
Cole HutsonD · WSH vs MTL0.5039%9%+1542.54
Jakob ChychrunPP1D · WSH vs MTL0.5039%9%+1542.54
Juraj SlafkovskyPP1RW · MTL @ WSH0.5039%9%+1542.54
Ryan LeonardRW · WSH vs MTL0.5039%9%+1542.54
Tom WilsonPP1RW · WSH vs MTL0.5039%9%+1542.54
Alex OvechkinPP1LW · WSH vs MTL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Alex TuchRW · WSH vs MTL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Aliaksei ProtasLW · WSH vs MTL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Cole CaufieldPP1LW · MTL @ WSH0.4033%6%+2033.03
Devon ToewsD · COL vs DAL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Jordan KyrouRW · WSH vs MTL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Nazem KadriPP1C · COL vs DAL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Noah DobsonD · MTL @ WSH0.4033%6%+2033.03
Roope HintzPP1C · DAL @ COL0.4033%6%+2033.03
Alexandre TexierLW · MTL @ WSH0.3026%4%+2863.86
Artturi LehkonenLW · COL vs DAL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Boone JennerC · WSH vs MTL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Brent BurnsD · COL vs DAL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Brock NelsonC · COL vs DAL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Chris KreiderPP1LW · MTL @ WSH0.3026%4%+2863.86
Gabriel LandeskogLW · COL vs DAL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Ilya ProtasLW · WSH vs MTL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Jamie BennLW · DAL @ COL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Josh MansonD · COL vs DAL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Justin SourdifC · WSH vs MTL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Thomas HarleyD · DAL @ COL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Tyler SeguinRW · DAL @ COL0.3026%4%+2863.86
Alex NewhookLW · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Alexandre CarrierD · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Anthony BeauvillierRW · WSH vs MTL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Brett KulakD · COL vs DAL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Esa LindellD · DAL @ COL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Ethen FrankRW · WSH vs MTL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Fedor SvechkovC · COL vs DAL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Florian XhekajLW · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Jaden SchwartzLW · COL vs DAL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Jake EvansC · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Justin HryckowianC · DAL @ COL0.2018%2%+4525.52
Kaiden GuhleD · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Kirby DachC · MTL @ WSH0.2018%2%+4525.52
Martin FehervaryD · WSH vs MTL0.2018%2%+4525.52

Assists per game follow a Poisson distribution at the projected mean (2025-26 backtest: 1+ assist within about 1-3 points per bucket). PP1 is the top power-play unit over recent games. Projections, not picks.

Sorted by Projected Assists

76 players
🔗 Check Availability
Show

Skaters76 of 76

PlayerTeamPosOppRost%A ↓GAnytime%PTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†TK†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Nathan MacKinnonCOLCvs DAL99.9%0.900.6044.9%1.503.280.600.500.600.180.280.460.000.000.010.118.888.8150.2%0.341.350.3220:4123.7112.88
Mikko RantanenDALRW@ COL98.8%0.700.3428.7%1.042.300.700.400.900.090.230.320.000.000.000.050.900.99-0.351.08-0.1421:4121.718.13
Cale MakarCOLDvs DAL100.0%0.700.2522.2%0.952.600.401.700.300.100.310.400.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.401.270.3725:0025.899.90
Nick SuzukiMTLC@ WSH99.9%0.700.4033.1%1.102.490.900.600.300.110.230.340.010.010.020.058.938.6950.7%0.341.09-0.0221:5722.409.01
Lane HutsonMTLD@ WSH99.0%0.700.1615.1%0.861.740.401.300.400.060.260.320.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.401.24-0.0325:4024.437.38
Dylan StromeWSHCvs MTL81.0%0.600.2018.2%0.801.790.200.700.400.050.170.220.000.000.000.038.937.2455.2%0.260.88-0.0217:2920.406.61
Martin NecasCOLRWvs DAL99.9%0.600.4838.1%1.182.440.900.300.300.150.200.350.000.000.010.090.280.29-0.331.090.2821:3621.109.48
Miro HeiskanenDALD@ COL98.1%0.600.1412.6%0.741.930.301.400.400.040.220.260.000.010.020.020.000.00-0.381.31-0.1826:0325.446.71
Jason RobertsonDALLW@ COL99.1%0.600.4737.5%1.073.280.700.300.300.130.200.340.000.000.000.060.030.04-0.321.02-0.1321:1420.119.32
Tom WilsonWSHRWvs MTL94.2%0.500.4032.9%0.901.992.600.901.100.090.110.200.020.020.040.060.180.22-0.290.99-0.0219:4023.087.79
Jakob ChychrunWSHDvs MTL99.0%0.500.3126.8%0.712.500.701.500.800.100.160.260.000.010.010.040.000.00-0.351.23-0.0325:0322.638.47
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW@ WSH97.5%0.500.3529.3%0.752.391.400.700.500.100.160.270.000.000.000.050.290.40-0.290.96-0.0218:5320.177.08
Ryan LeonardWSHRWvs MTL67.2%0.500.2622.9%0.761.961.800.400.700.060.130.190.000.000.000.040.060.07-0.220.72-0.0214:2817.536.76
Cole HutsonWSHDvs MTL87.4%0.500.1514.1%0.651.651.000.800.500.040.140.170.000.000.000.020.000.00-0.261.00-0.0219:2822.966.02
Nazem KadriCOLCvs DAL69.5%0.400.2017.8%0.602.600.600.500.500.050.130.190.000.000.000.035.906.6746.9%0.300.990.2820:0022.215.78
Alex OvechkinWSHLWvs MTL92.2%0.400.2925.4%0.692.421.500.200.200.090.130.220.000.000.000.040.020.02-0.230.80-0.0215:2619.756.55
Alex TuchWSHRWvs MTL93.8%0.400.4032.8%0.802.530.901.200.500.060.070.130.020.020.040.050.770.93-0.410.92-0.0219:0924.648.09
Roope HintzDALC@ COL83.0%0.400.2824.2%0.782.251.000.400.300.080.120.190.000.000.010.047.465.8556.0%0.250.85-0.1217:5121.076.86
Devon ToewsCOLDvs DAL72.7%0.400.087.9%0.481.470.501.300.400.020.100.120.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.431.200.3822:5827.945.90
Jordan KyrouWSHRWvs MTL69.0%0.400.1917.4%0.591.720.300.400.200.040.090.130.000.000.000.030.120.16-0.280.84-0.0213:0820.665.65
Noah DobsonMTLD@ WSH93.8%0.400.1210.9%0.521.660.901.700.400.020.070.090.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.371.22-0.0320:0927.185.69
Cole CaufieldMTLLW@ WSH99.9%0.400.6447.5%0.943.010.600.200.200.190.140.330.000.000.000.090.110.13-0.280.83-0.0219:1920.959.16
Aliaksei ProtasWSHLWvs MTL52.3%0.400.2320.7%0.631.690.400.600.200.010.010.020.010.020.030.030.380.43-0.280.87-0.0216:0021.246.00
Josh MansonCOLDvs DAL36.0%0.300.077.0%0.271.312.001.401.000.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.250.980.3118:2322.964.74
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLWvs DAL46.7%0.300.2118.6%0.612.051.400.600.700.050.070.120.000.000.000.042.171.8454.0%0.250.790.2517:1220.135.93
Boone JennerWSHCvs MTL23.1%0.300.2219.9%0.521.771.901.000.500.010.010.020.010.010.020.034.233.5254.6%0.250.82-0.0215:1321.165.53
Jamie BennDALLW@ COL19.0%0.300.2119.1%0.511.161.300.300.700.020.040.060.000.000.000.031.381.39-0.210.69-0.1112:3619.733.77
Tyler SeguinDALRW@ COL18.2%0.300.2522.2%0.551.720.600.200.200.040.050.090.000.000.000.033.503.2352.0%0.230.75-0.1215:5319.855.11
Chris KreiderMTLLW@ WSH61.6%0.300.2521.8%0.551.601.100.300.300.070.090.170.000.000.010.030.290.35-0.260.77-0.0214:3521.144.47
Brock NelsonCOLCvs DAL86.6%0.300.3327.8%0.631.850.400.800.400.070.070.140.020.010.030.068.518.4550.2%0.290.870.2918:3923.476.45
Brent BurnsCOLDvs DAL46.7%0.300.1110.2%0.311.690.201.100.400.000.010.020.000.010.010.020.000.00-0.271.060.3518:1525.074.74
Artturi LehkonenCOLLWvs DAL75.9%0.300.3328.2%0.631.870.600.600.300.060.050.120.020.010.020.060.110.14-0.300.920.3119:3923.916.69
Alexandre TexierMTLLW@ WSH4.9%0.300.1312.6%0.431.421.100.300.400.020.050.070.000.000.000.020.090.12-0.210.59-0.0213:2216.624.01
Thomas HarleyDALD@ COL83.2%0.300.087.3%0.381.630.501.700.300.010.050.070.000.000.010.010.000.00-0.411.23-0.1823:5124.985.56
Justin SourdifWSHCvs MTL15.4%0.300.1615.1%0.461.221.300.500.400.010.020.030.000.000.010.023.934.3447.5%0.220.71-0.0213:2619.124.38
Ilya ProtasWSHLWvs MTL40.4%0.300.1110.6%0.411.210.600.500.300.020.070.090.000.000.000.024.175.1344.8%0.230.73-0.0213:0717.713.57
Brett KulakCOLDvs DAL4.3%0.200.021.6%0.220.950.301.500.300.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.990.3418:3823.213.60
Phillip DanaultMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.200.098.5%0.291.160.800.500.300.000.010.010.010.010.020.017.506.4853.7%0.240.77-0.0215:0621.523.23
Esa LindellDALD@ COL31.8%0.200.065.6%0.260.830.401.900.200.000.020.020.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.321.21-0.1820:3424.294.34
Jaden SchwartzCOLLWvs DAL30.3%0.200.2119.0%0.511.260.500.600.300.030.040.070.000.000.000.040.420.45-0.300.820.2712:5121.414.57
Alexandre CarrierMTLD@ WSH13.3%0.200.098.7%0.290.810.701.700.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.300.96-0.0318:1824.604.15
Anthony BeauvillierWSHRWvs MTL4.1%0.200.1311.8%0.331.271.100.500.200.000.010.010.000.000.010.020.380.43-0.210.62-0.0212:0618.003.75
Nicolas RoyCOLCvs DAL12.1%0.200.1211.1%0.320.890.900.600.500.010.010.020.010.010.010.024.984.5252.4%0.250.750.2412:0219.092.81
Sam SteelDALC@ COL5.8%0.200.1816.2%0.481.260.800.400.300.010.010.010.010.010.020.021.871.8051.0%0.230.72-0.1216:2118.973.46
Martin FehervaryWSHDvs MTL25.1%0.200.066.1%0.260.931.602.200.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.240.99-0.0322:0622.294.38
Kirby DachMTLC@ WSH10.5%0.200.1211.1%0.320.901.500.600.700.020.030.040.000.000.010.021.401.58-0.210.68-0.029:0017.422.81
Timothy LiljegrenWSHDvs MTL4.8%0.200.054.9%0.250.940.901.800.400.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.261.01-0.0318:3723.173.30
Jake EvansMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.200.1412.8%0.340.961.200.700.300.000.000.000.020.010.030.027.106.0853.9%0.260.72-0.0213:0819.863.12
Parker KellyCOLLWvs DAL17.7%0.200.2320.3%0.431.152.000.900.400.000.000.010.020.010.030.041.531.9144.5%0.210.660.2212:5318.264.36
Alex NewhookMTLLW@ WSH24.6%0.200.2824.1%0.481.571.100.400.300.040.030.070.020.010.030.043.833.7950.3%0.230.73-0.0215:5219.724.15
Kaiden GuhleMTLD@ WSH17.9%0.200.055.2%0.250.992.001.500.700.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.341.05-0.0318:3923.793.72
Nils LundkvistDALD@ COL5.6%0.200.055.0%0.250.920.500.800.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.190.80-0.1216:5718.953.21
Florian XhekajMTLLW@ WSH7.3%0.200.087.6%0.281.100.800.300.200.000.000.010.000.000.000.010.170.21-0.160.49-0.019:4812.732.37
Fedor SvechkovCOLCvs DAL8.8%0.200.098.7%0.290.940.700.600.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.023.244.1244.1%0.200.630.2212:3515.822.45
Zachary BolducMTLLW@ WSH24.3%0.200.2018.2%0.401.452.000.400.300.040.040.070.000.000.000.030.180.22-0.200.74-0.0213:5715.974.21
Sam MalinskiCOLDvs DAL44.2%0.200.087.6%0.281.650.501.300.300.010.020.020.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.270.860.2917:4320.865.08
Justin HryckowianDALC@ COL15.3%0.200.1614.6%0.261.131.600.500.400.020.020.040.010.000.010.022.351.9654.5%0.230.59-0.1014:1417.522.85
Ethen FrankWSHRWvs MTL0.1%0.200.1412.9%0.341.040.800.700.200.030.040.060.000.000.000.020.040.05-0.180.55-0.019:3415.964.03
T.J. HughesCOLRWvs DAL22.6%0.200.1311.8%0.331.780.700.400.300.060.100.160.000.000.000.021.391.51-0.170.500.1214:2911.522.96
Josh AndersonMTLRW@ WSH11.1%0.100.2018.0%0.301.301.800.401.100.000.000.000.020.010.020.030.220.23-0.210.66-0.0213:1618.943.19
Radek FaksaDALC@ COL0.1%0.100.055.3%0.250.741.200.600.300.000.000.000.010.010.010.014.344.0951.5%0.200.54-0.1010:2917.372.42
Tyler MyersDALD@ COL3.3%0.100.021.5%0.220.901.101.400.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.271.02-0.1614:5024.062.79
Kyle CapobiancoDALD@ COL0.1%0.100.011.3%0.110.440.300.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.180.63-0.108:0214.721.88
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLDvs DAL0.1%0.100.022.2%0.120.562.001.300.500.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.230.790.2513:1821.262.24
Justin HollWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.100.000.0%0.100.601.101.300.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.220.77-0.0214:5418.132.30
Colin BlackwellDALRW@ COL0.1%0.100.065.8%0.160.821.400.400.400.000.000.000.000.000.010.011.842.0547.4%0.200.53-0.099:4715.991.66
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DALDALLW@ COL0.1%0.100.109.9%0.200.901.300.400.200.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.150.17-0.180.59-0.0911:3016.902.73
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLLWvs DAL11.2%0.100.109.8%0.201.202.500.601.000.000.000.010.010.010.020.020.080.09-0.190.600.2112:1816.882.82
Vincent DesharnaisWSHDvs MTL4.2%0.100.032.5%0.130.731.901.600.800.000.000.000.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.220.94-0.0219:1020.653.05
Oskar BackDALLW@ COL0.2%0.100.087.8%0.280.720.400.500.100.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.650.66-0.200.57-0.1012:4616.372.29
Lian BichselDALD@ COL20.2%0.100.066.1%0.060.682.800.800.800.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.210.76-0.1215:4218.121.88
Owen BeckMTLC@ WSH8.0%0.100.087.3%0.180.931.600.500.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.012.212.0352.1%0.150.47-0.019:1512.742.16
Arber XhekajMTLD@ WSH8.6%0.100.021.9%0.120.522.400.601.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.170.65-0.029:5415.631.41
Adam EngstromMTLD@ WSH6.4%0.100.021.9%0.120.790.500.600.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.260.99-0.0212:0825.392.32
Arttu HyryDALC@ COL4.0%0.100.1412.7%0.141.231.500.400.100.000.000.000.020.010.030.024.913.9155.7%0.180.56-0.1013:0615.922.12
Dylan McIlrathWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.000.011.4%0.010.401.800.300.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.130.47-0.019:1212.630.49

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What makes a great playmaker? Assists often outnumber goals for elite players. The best playmakers create scoring chances through vision, passing, and power play quarterbacking.

Types of assists

- Primary assists: The pass directly before the goal (most valuable) - Secondary assists: The pass before the primary assist - Power play assists: Assists on man-advantage goals (high-volume for PP QBs)

Key factors

- Linemates: Playing with elite finishers = more assist opportunities - PP role: PP1 quarterbacks (usually D-men or centers) lead in assists - Ice time: More minutes = more chances to set up goals

💡
Pro Tip: Target players centering elite goal scorers. If Draisaitl scores, McDavid likely gets the assist—and vice versa.

PP1 Playmakers Tonight

Power play assists drive elite fantasy value. Cross-reference with line combinations to identify Tonight's PP1 quarterbacks.

Line Combinations

Assists from Defensemen

D-men often lead teams in assists due to PP quarterbacking. Check defensemen projections for playmaking blueliners.

Defensemen Projections

Stack Playmakers with Finishers

In DFS, pair high-assist playmakers with goal-scoring linemates for correlated upside.

Goals Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Projected assists come straight from LineupExperts' projection, a licensed provider; we show their numbers as published and do not adjust them. Our model splits them into power-play and shorthanded assists.
Connor McDavid, Nikita Kucherov, Nathan MacKinnon, and defensemen like Cale Makar and Adam Fox consistently lead in assists due to their elite vision and PP1 roles.
Generally yes. Elite playmakers accumulate assists more consistently than goal scorers because they can influence multiple scoring chances per game through their passing.
In most formats, they're equally weighted. However, assists are slightly more consistent while goals have higher variance. Playmakers often provide better floor, while goal scorers offer higher ceiling.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see today player projections