NHL Projected Goals Against Average Today

Goals-against average is a standard goalie category in Yahoo and ESPN leagues. This page ranks goalies by projected GAA, lowest first: LineupExperts' projected goals against divided by our projected minutes, per 60. Only goalies with at least one projected start are ranked (five for the rest of the season).

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Sunday, Oct 4

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Updated: 4:27 PM UTC(hourly)

5 games • 10 players

GAA = 60 × projected goals against ÷ projected minutes.

Goals against come from LineupExperts' projection for the goalie's projected starts.

Minutes are an Edgehalla estimate: projected starts × minutes per start (about 60, shrunk toward the league average for each goalie, so overtime and early hooks are included). When LineupExperts projects a goalie for far fewer shots per game than his team allows, his appearances are treated as partial games and his minutes scale down with them.

Ranking rule

goalies need at least one projected start (today, this week, next week) or five (rest of season) to be ranked, so a one-period relief appearance cannot top the list.

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Pro Tip: GAA rewards goalies on strong defensive teams as much as good goaltending. Pair it with save percentage to separate the two.

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Goaltending Goals Against Average

10 players

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Goalies10 of 10

Player	Team	Pos	Opp	Rost%	GAA^† ↑	GS	W	L	OTL	SV	GA	SA	SV%	MIN^†	FPTS
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	G	@ NYR	98.3%	2.01	1.00	0.40	0.50	0.10	20.9	2.0	22.2	94.1%	59:50	9.10
Joey Daccord	SEA	G	vs CGY	53.8%	2.11	1.00	0.60	0.50	0.10	26.4	2.1	27.1	97.4%	59:51	12.60
Lukas Dostal	ANA	G	vs FLA	80.7%	2.40	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.10	24.8	2.4	26.8	92.3%	59:56	10.40
Stuart Skinner	WPG	G	@ DET	42.3%	2.81	1.00	0.50	0.40	0.10	21.5	2.8	22.5	95.8%	59:51	7.30
John Gibson	DET	G	vs WPG	71.5%	2.82	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	30.9	2.8	34.0	90.7%	59:32	13.00
Igor Shesterkin	NYR	G	vs UTA	93.3%	3.11	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	30.3	3.1	34.8	87.0%	59:52	11.80
Jacob Markstrom	FLA	G	@ ANA	89.1%	3.20	1.00	0.50	0.50	0.10	19.9	3.2	22.0	90.7%	59:57	5.30
Carter Hart	LV	G	@ VAN	86.6%	3.31	1.00	0.40	0.30	0.10	20.1	3.3	22.8	88.4%	59:50	4.20
Dustin Wolf	CGY	G	@ SEA	66.0%	3.42	1.00	0.40	0.60	0.10	23.3	3.4	26.6	87.7%	59:43	5.90
Kevin Lankinen	VAN	G	vs LV	31.7%	3.92	1.00	0.50	0.60	0.10	30.7	3.9	34.7	88.4%	59:40	9.00

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

Goals against totals

Projected goals against before dividing by minutes.

Goals Against

Save percentage

The other rate stat for goalies, less tied to team defence.

Save Percentage

Confirm starters

A GAA projection only matters if the goalie starts.

Starting Goalies

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Projected goals against (from LineupExperts) times 60, divided by projected minutes. Minutes are projected starts times about 60 minutes per start, scaled down for goalies projected to make partial appearances.

A goalie needs at least one projected start (five for rest of season) to be ranked. Below that, a single short appearance would make GAA meaningless.

For the GAA category, yes. But a goalie with few starts helps a category league less in wins and saves, so weigh volume too.

Goals against is a total, which rises with starts. GAA is a rate per 60 minutes, which compares goalies with different workloads.