Edgehalla

NHL Projected Takeaways for Today

Takeaways count in some fantasy leagues. Our projection multiplies each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward the league average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Players with big minutes and a steady takeaway habit lead.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Updated (hourly)
2 games • 80 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Takeaways

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PlayerTeamPosOppRost%TK† ↓GAnytime%APTSSOGHITBLKPIMPPG†PPA†PPP†SHG†SHA†SHP†GWG†FOW†FOL†FO%†GV†+/-†TOISFT†FPTS
Devon ToewsCOLDvs DAL72.7%0.430.087.9%0.400.481.470.501.300.400.020.100.120.000.010.010.010.000.00-1.200.3822:5827.945.90
Alex TuchWSHRWvs MTL93.8%0.410.4032.8%0.400.802.530.901.200.500.060.070.130.020.020.040.050.770.93-0.92-0.0219:0924.648.09
Thomas HarleyDALD@ COL83.2%0.410.087.3%0.300.381.630.501.700.300.010.050.070.000.000.010.010.000.00-1.23-0.1823:5124.985.56
Lane HutsonMTLD@ WSH99.0%0.400.1615.1%0.700.861.740.401.300.400.060.260.320.000.000.000.020.000.00-1.24-0.0325:4024.437.38
Cale MakarCOLDvs DAL100.0%0.400.2522.2%0.700.952.600.401.700.300.100.310.400.000.010.010.040.000.00-1.270.3725:0025.899.90
Miro HeiskanenDALD@ COL98.1%0.380.1412.6%0.600.741.930.301.400.400.040.220.260.000.010.020.020.000.00-1.31-0.1826:0325.446.71
Noah DobsonMTLD@ WSH93.8%0.370.1210.9%0.400.521.660.901.700.400.020.070.090.000.010.010.020.000.00-1.22-0.0320:0927.185.69
Mikko RantanenDALRW@ COL98.8%0.350.3428.7%0.701.042.300.700.400.900.090.230.320.000.000.000.050.900.99-1.08-0.1421:4121.718.13
Jakob ChychrunWSHDvs MTL99.0%0.350.3126.8%0.500.712.500.701.500.800.100.160.260.000.010.010.040.000.00-1.23-0.0325:0322.638.47
Kaiden GuhleMTLD@ WSH17.9%0.340.055.2%0.200.250.992.001.500.700.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-1.05-0.0318:3923.793.72
Nick SuzukiMTLC@ WSH99.9%0.340.4033.1%0.701.102.490.900.600.300.110.230.340.010.010.020.058.938.6950.7%1.09-0.0221:5722.409.01
Nathan MacKinnonCOLCvs DAL99.9%0.340.6044.9%0.901.503.280.600.500.600.180.280.460.000.000.010.118.888.8150.2%1.350.3220:4123.7112.88
Martin NecasCOLRWvs DAL99.9%0.330.4838.1%0.601.182.440.900.300.300.150.200.350.000.000.010.090.280.29-1.090.2821:3621.109.48
Esa LindellDALD@ COL31.8%0.320.065.6%0.200.260.830.401.900.200.000.020.020.000.010.010.010.000.00-1.21-0.1820:3424.294.34
Jason RobertsonDALLW@ COL99.1%0.320.4737.5%0.601.073.280.700.300.300.130.200.340.000.000.000.060.030.04-1.02-0.1321:1420.119.32
Nazem KadriCOLCvs DAL69.5%0.300.2017.8%0.400.602.600.600.500.500.050.130.190.000.000.000.035.906.6746.9%0.990.2820:0022.215.78
Alexandre CarrierMTLD@ WSH13.3%0.300.098.7%0.200.290.810.701.700.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.96-0.0318:1824.604.15
Jaden SchwartzCOLLWvs DAL30.3%0.300.2119.0%0.200.511.260.500.600.300.030.040.070.000.000.000.040.420.45-0.820.2712:5121.414.57
Artturi LehkonenCOLLWvs DAL75.9%0.300.3328.2%0.300.631.870.600.600.300.060.050.120.020.010.020.060.110.14-0.920.3119:3923.916.69
Juraj SlafkovskyMTLRW@ WSH97.5%0.290.3529.3%0.500.752.391.400.700.500.100.160.270.000.000.000.050.290.40-0.96-0.0218:5320.177.08
Brock NelsonCOLCvs DAL86.6%0.290.3327.8%0.300.631.850.400.800.400.070.070.140.020.010.030.068.518.4550.2%0.870.2918:3923.476.45
Tom WilsonWSHRWvs MTL94.2%0.290.4032.9%0.500.901.992.600.901.100.090.110.200.020.020.040.060.180.22-0.99-0.0219:4023.087.79
Cole CaufieldMTLLW@ WSH99.9%0.280.6447.5%0.400.943.010.600.200.200.190.140.330.000.000.000.090.110.13-0.83-0.0219:1920.959.16
Jordan KyrouWSHRWvs MTL69.0%0.280.1917.4%0.400.591.720.300.400.200.040.090.130.000.000.000.030.120.16-0.84-0.0213:0820.665.65
Aliaksei ProtasWSHLWvs MTL52.3%0.280.2320.7%0.400.631.690.400.600.200.010.010.020.010.020.030.030.380.43-0.87-0.0216:0021.246.00
Brent BurnsCOLDvs DAL46.7%0.270.1110.2%0.300.311.690.201.100.400.000.010.020.000.010.010.020.000.00-1.060.3518:1525.074.74
Sam MalinskiCOLDvs DAL44.2%0.270.087.6%0.200.281.650.501.300.300.010.020.020.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.860.2917:4320.865.08
Tyler MyersDALD@ COL3.3%0.270.021.5%0.100.220.901.101.400.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-1.02-0.1614:5024.062.79
Adam EngstromMTLD@ WSH6.4%0.260.021.9%0.100.120.790.500.600.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.99-0.0212:0825.392.32
Jake EvansMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.260.1412.8%0.200.340.961.200.700.300.000.000.000.020.010.030.027.106.0853.9%0.72-0.0213:0819.863.12
Cole HutsonWSHDvs MTL87.4%0.260.1514.1%0.500.651.651.000.800.500.040.140.170.000.000.000.020.000.00-1.00-0.0219:2822.966.02
Timothy LiljegrenWSHDvs MTL4.8%0.260.054.9%0.200.250.940.901.800.400.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-1.01-0.0318:3723.173.30
Chris KreiderMTLLW@ WSH61.6%0.260.2521.8%0.300.551.601.100.300.300.070.090.170.000.000.010.030.290.35-0.77-0.0214:3521.144.47
Brett KulakCOLDvs DAL4.3%0.260.021.6%0.200.220.950.301.500.300.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.990.3418:3823.213.60
Dylan StromeWSHCvs MTL81.0%0.260.2018.2%0.600.801.790.200.700.400.050.170.220.000.000.000.038.937.2455.2%0.88-0.0217:2920.406.61
Josh MansonCOLDvs DAL36.0%0.250.077.0%0.300.271.312.001.401.000.000.010.010.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.980.3118:2322.964.74
Boone JennerWSHCvs MTL23.1%0.250.2219.9%0.300.521.771.901.000.500.010.010.020.010.010.020.034.233.5254.6%0.82-0.0215:1321.165.53
Gabriel LandeskogCOLLWvs DAL46.7%0.250.2118.6%0.300.612.051.400.600.700.050.070.120.000.000.000.042.171.8454.0%0.790.2517:1220.135.93
Roope HintzDALC@ COL83.0%0.250.2824.2%0.400.782.251.000.400.300.080.120.190.000.000.010.047.465.8556.0%0.85-0.1217:5121.076.86
Nicolas RoyCOLCvs DAL12.1%0.250.1211.1%0.200.320.890.900.600.500.010.010.020.010.010.010.024.984.5252.4%0.750.2412:0219.092.81
Martin FehervaryWSHDvs MTL25.1%0.240.066.1%0.200.260.931.602.200.400.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.000.00-0.99-0.0322:0622.294.38
Phillip DanaultMTLC@ WSH4.9%0.240.098.5%0.200.291.160.800.500.300.000.010.010.010.010.020.017.506.4853.7%0.77-0.0215:0621.523.23
Tyler SeguinDALRW@ COL18.2%0.230.2522.2%0.300.551.720.600.200.200.040.050.090.000.000.000.033.503.2352.0%0.75-0.1215:5319.855.11
Alex OvechkinWSHLWvs MTL92.2%0.230.2925.4%0.400.692.421.500.200.200.090.130.220.000.000.000.040.020.02-0.80-0.0215:2619.756.55
Ilya ProtasWSHLWvs MTL40.4%0.230.1110.6%0.300.411.210.600.500.300.020.070.090.000.000.000.024.175.1344.8%0.73-0.0213:0717.713.57
Sam SteelDALC@ COL5.8%0.230.1816.2%0.200.481.260.800.400.300.010.010.010.010.010.020.021.871.8051.0%0.72-0.1216:2118.973.46
Alex NewhookMTLLW@ WSH24.6%0.230.2824.1%0.200.481.571.100.400.300.040.030.070.020.010.030.043.833.7950.3%0.73-0.0215:5219.724.15
Noah JuulsenNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLDvs DAL0.1%0.230.022.2%0.100.120.562.001.300.500.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.790.2513:1821.262.24
Justin HryckowianDALC@ COL15.3%0.230.1614.6%0.200.261.131.600.500.400.020.020.040.010.000.010.022.351.9654.5%0.59-0.1014:1417.522.85
Justin SourdifWSHCvs MTL15.4%0.220.1615.1%0.300.461.221.300.500.400.010.020.030.000.000.010.023.934.3447.5%0.71-0.0213:2619.124.38
Vincent DesharnaisWSHDvs MTL4.2%0.220.032.5%0.100.130.731.901.600.800.000.000.000.000.010.010.000.000.00-0.94-0.0219:1020.653.05
Ryan LeonardWSHRWvs MTL67.2%0.220.2622.9%0.500.761.961.800.400.700.060.130.190.000.000.000.040.060.07-0.72-0.0214:2817.536.76
Justin HollWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.220.000.0%0.100.100.601.101.300.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.77-0.0214:5418.132.30
Jamie BennDALLW@ COL19.0%0.210.2119.1%0.300.511.161.300.300.700.020.040.060.000.000.000.031.381.39-0.69-0.1112:3619.733.77
Kirby DachMTLC@ WSH10.5%0.210.1211.1%0.200.320.901.500.600.700.020.030.040.000.000.010.021.401.58-0.68-0.029:0017.422.81
Alexandre TexierMTLLW@ WSH4.9%0.210.1312.6%0.300.431.421.100.300.400.020.050.070.000.000.000.020.090.12-0.59-0.0213:2216.624.01
Josh AndersonMTLRW@ WSH11.1%0.210.2018.0%0.100.301.301.800.401.100.000.000.000.020.010.020.030.220.23-0.66-0.0213:1618.943.19
Anthony BeauvillierWSHRWvs MTL4.1%0.210.1311.8%0.200.331.271.100.500.200.000.010.010.000.000.010.020.380.43-0.62-0.0212:0618.003.75
Parker KellyCOLLWvs DAL17.7%0.210.2320.3%0.200.431.152.000.900.400.000.000.010.020.010.030.041.531.9144.5%0.660.2212:5318.264.36
Lian BichselDALD@ COL20.2%0.210.066.1%0.100.060.682.800.800.800.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.76-0.1215:4218.121.88
Radek FaksaDALC@ COL0.1%0.200.055.3%0.100.250.741.200.600.300.000.000.000.010.010.010.014.344.0951.5%0.54-0.1010:2917.372.42
Zachary BolducMTLLW@ WSH24.3%0.200.2018.2%0.200.401.452.000.400.300.040.040.070.000.000.000.030.180.22-0.74-0.0213:5715.974.21
Colin BlackwellDALRW@ COL0.1%0.200.065.8%0.100.160.821.400.400.400.000.000.000.000.000.010.011.842.0547.4%0.53-0.099:4715.991.66
Fedor SvechkovCOLCvs DAL8.8%0.200.098.7%0.200.290.940.700.600.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.023.244.1244.1%0.630.2212:3515.822.45
Oskar BackDALLW@ COL0.2%0.200.087.8%0.100.280.720.400.500.100.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.650.66-0.57-0.1012:4616.372.29
Zachary L'HeureuxNew team · 4 GP with COLCOLLWvs DAL11.2%0.190.109.8%0.100.201.202.500.601.000.000.000.010.010.010.020.020.080.09-0.600.2112:1816.882.82
Nils LundkvistDALD@ COL5.6%0.190.055.0%0.200.250.920.500.800.400.000.010.010.000.000.000.010.000.00-0.80-0.1216:5718.953.21
Joel KivirantaNew team · 2 GP with DALDALLW@ COL0.1%0.180.109.9%0.100.200.901.300.400.200.000.000.000.010.010.010.010.150.17-0.59-0.0911:3016.902.73
Ethen FrankWSHRWvs MTL0.1%0.180.1412.9%0.200.341.040.800.700.200.030.040.060.000.000.000.020.040.05-0.55-0.019:3415.964.03
Arttu HyryDALC@ COL4.0%0.180.1412.7%0.100.141.231.500.400.100.000.000.000.020.010.030.024.913.9155.7%0.56-0.1013:0615.922.12
Kyle CapobiancoDALD@ COL0.1%0.180.011.3%0.100.110.440.300.700.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.63-0.108:0214.721.88
Arber XhekajMTLD@ WSH8.6%0.170.021.9%0.100.120.522.400.601.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.65-0.029:5415.631.41
T.J. HughesCOLRWvs DAL22.6%0.170.1311.8%0.200.331.780.700.400.300.060.100.160.000.000.000.021.391.51-0.500.1214:2911.522.96
Florian XhekajMTLLW@ WSH7.3%0.160.087.6%0.200.281.100.800.300.200.000.000.010.000.000.000.010.170.21-0.49-0.019:4812.732.37
Owen BeckMTLC@ WSH8.0%0.150.087.3%0.100.180.931.600.500.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.012.212.0352.1%0.47-0.019:1512.742.16
Dylan McIlrathWSHDvs MTL0.1%0.130.011.4%0.000.010.401.800.300.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.47-0.019:1212.630.49

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is a takeaway? A takeaway occurs when a player gains possession of the puck directly from an opponent through stick work, positioning, or anticipation—without a hit or blocked shot.

Takeaway factors

- Two-way skill: Elite defensive players read plays better - Active stick: Players with quick hands force more turnovers - PK role: Penalty killers pressure puck carriers - Ice time: More minutes = more takeaway opportunities

How we project it

takeaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two, with each rink's takeaway count corrected for its scorers' tendencies, shrunk toward the position average, times projected ice time. Scorer generosity varies a lot between rinks, which is why the adjustment matters.

Variance

takeaways are a moderately repeatable stat (about 0.4 year to year).

💡
Pro Tip: Ice time drives volume. A takeaway-prone forward who is moving up the lineup gains in this projection immediately.

Two-Way Forwards Tonight

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with defensive excellence, including takeaways. Target responsible two-way centers.

Forwards Projections

Active Stick D-Men

Puck-moving defensemen with quick hands accumulate takeaways. Check D-men projections for defensive playmakers.

Defensemen Projections

Takeaways + Plus/Minus

Elite defensive players often post positive plus/minus alongside high takeaway totals. Stack these categories.

Plus/Minus Projections

Related Projections

Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes (rink-adjusted, recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time. We do not adjust for the opponent.
Selke-caliber two-way forwards and active-stick defensemen lead in takeaways. Players like Mark Stone, Mika Zibanejad, and puck-moving D-men excel in this category.
In leagues that count takeaways, they're valuable but often overlooked. Two-way players who rack up takeaways often contribute across multiple categories.
Puck-moving defensemen with active sticks can accumulate significant takeaways. However, two-way forwards typically lead due to their forechecking role.

Projections by Category

Find projected leaders for specific stats

Scoring Projections

Goals, assists, and points leaders

Peripheral Stats

SOG, hits, blocks, ice time, giveaways and shifts

Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

Goalie Projections

Starts, wins, losses, saves, SV% and GAA

Fantasy Points

Standard, DraftKings, and FanDuel

NHL Team Projections

Click a team to see today player projections