NHL Projected Takeaways Next Week

Takeaways count in some fantasy leagues. Our projection multiplies each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes, adjusted for home-rink scorer bias and shrunk toward the league average, by LineupExperts' projected ice time. Players with big minutes and a steady takeaway habit lead (Oct 19-25 (Week 4)). (Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Updated 7:27 PM ET(hourly)

2 games • 700 players

Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history.

How the model works

Sorted by Projected Takeaways(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

644 players

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Player	Team	Pos	Rost%	TK^† ↓	G	A	PTS	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	PPG^†	PPA^†	PPP^†	SHG^†	SHA^†	SHP^†	GWG^†	FOW^†	FOL^†	FO%^†	GV^†	+/-^†	TOI	SFT^†	FPTS
Jackson LaCombe	ANA	D	97.5%	1.79	0.50	2.30	2.80	6.80	3.40	6.20	1.20	0.18	0.92	1.10	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	-	5.04	-0.10	95:48	108.73	26.00
Devon Toews	COL	D	72.7%	1.72	0.40	1.70	2.10	6.60	1.90	4.60	1.40	0.09	0.43	0.52	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	4.80	1.67	93:54	111.63	24.10
Quinn Hughes	MIN	D	99.9%	1.63	0.80	3.90	4.70	10.10	0.60	3.20	1.20	0.27	1.62	1.89	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.15	0.00	0.00	-	5.68	-0.19	108:30	94.99	37.30
Matthew Boldy	MIN	RW	100.0%	1.60	1.70	1.80	3.50	13.80	3.70	3.20	1.90	0.46	0.56	1.03	0.07	0.03	0.11	0.31	3.03	3.70	-	4.13	-0.14	84:00	82.93	37.30
Cale Makar	COL	D	100.0%	1.59	1.30	3.20	4.50	11.10	1.70	6.00	1.00	0.50	1.41	1.91	0.01	0.04	0.06	0.23	0.00	0.00	-	5.06	1.61	99:54	103.47	42.10
Brock Faber	MIN	D	88.3%	1.56	0.50	1.40	1.90	8.20	1.90	6.40	1.60	0.06	0.20	0.26	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	5.23	-0.20	101:54	108.98	24.50
Macklin Celebrini	SJS	C	100.0%	1.55	1.90	2.90	4.80	14.00	2.30	2.60	1.90	0.44	0.90	1.34	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.23	29.73	30.67	49.2%	5.11	-1.36	82:48	84.26	40.30
Auston Matthews	TOR	C	99.1%	1.49	2.70	3.00	5.60	15.30	2.80	4.40	0.80	0.74	0.90	1.64	0.08	0.04	0.12	0.50	37.84	28.31	57.2%	3.85	0.21	84:30	93.14	50.70
William Nylander	TOR	RW	99.0%	1.48	2.10	3.20	5.30	11.90	0.90	1.10	0.70	0.59	0.98	1.57	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.39	2.53	3.24	-	3.84	0.20	79:54	89.62	39.70
Alexander Wennberg	SJS	C	20.0%	1.40	0.50	1.40	1.80	4.60	1.30	3.80	0.60	0.12	0.34	0.45	0.03	0.04	0.06	0.06	30.84	33.82	47.7%	3.41	-1.27	77:48	88.76	15.00
Matthew Schaefer	NYI	D	99.9%	1.38	0.60	1.70	2.30	8.90	1.50	3.80	1.30	0.22	0.66	0.87	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	3.93	0.33	74:24	80.27	24.80
Kirill Marchenko	TOR	RW	98.0%	1.35	1.30	2.20	3.60	10.10	3.20	1.70	2.00	0.36	0.73	1.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.24	0.31	0.37	-	3.85	0.19	75:36	82.51	31.40
Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	99.9%	1.35	2.10	4.10	6.20	17.20	2.30	1.90	2.00	0.62	1.30	1.91	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.38	35.62	35.31	50.2%	5.39	1.40	89:00	95.04	52.00
Martin Necas	COL	RW	99.9%	1.33	1.80	2.80	4.60	10.80	3.70	1.10	1.00	0.57	0.94	1.51	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.32	1.12	1.15	-	4.37	1.24	80:54	84.50	37.90
Mason Marchment	SJS	LW	41.0%	1.30	0.90	1.20	2.10	7.20	5.20	1.50	2.60	0.17	0.23	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	1.00	1.31	-	3.53	-1.10	65:18	76.89	18.70
Jonas Brodin	MIN	D	5.0%	1.26	0.20	0.70	0.90	5.00	1.60	7.10	1.70	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	4.41	-0.17	86:30	98.53	17.00
Mitch Marner	VGK	RW	98.9%	1.26	0.90	2.20	3.10	6.10	1.10	2.00	0.70	0.28	0.84	1.12	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.19	3.77	5.06	-	3.69	-0.04	62:06	67.01	24.00
Morgan Rielly	TOR	D	75.5%	1.25	0.30	1.60	1.90	5.80	2.00	5.40	1.20	0.06	0.38	0.44	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	4.39	0.23	83:36	111.30	17.90
Quinton Byfield	LAK	C	82.1%	1.24	0.90	1.20	2.10	6.90	2.30	1.30	1.40	0.21	0.29	0.50	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.15	19.55	21.70	47.4%	2.90	0.43	58:54	68.86	18.30
Chandler Stephenson	SEA	C	24.0%	1.24	0.40	1.70	2.10	2.90	0.70	1.70	1.30	0.08	0.47	0.55	0.02	0.04	0.05	0.08	29.13	26.00	52.8%	2.65	-0.07	56:42	72.58	14.40
Chris Tanev	TOR	D	5.1%	1.24	0.10	0.70	0.80	2.30	1.10	7.50	1.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	4.05	0.23	78:18	113.33	15.20
Joel Eriksson Ek	MIN	C	77.8%	1.24	1.00	1.30	2.30	11.70	6.10	2.20	1.40	0.26	0.39	0.65	0.03	0.02	0.06	0.18	38.85	39.51	49.6%	3.48	-0.13	78:42	82.01	28.70
Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	98.3%	1.23	2.80	2.40	5.20	13.60	2.20	1.60	1.10	0.79	0.67	1.46	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.51	0.27	0.33	-	4.58	-0.15	88:48	84.17	46.20
Beckett Sennecke	ANA	RW	95.4%	1.23	1.30	1.80	3.10	9.80	4.40	1.40	2.90	0.35	0.53	0.87	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.17	0.16	0.19	-	4.10	-0.07	71:36	83.61	25.70
Thomas Harley	DAL	D	83.2%	1.22	0.30	1.00	1.30	6.00	1.80	5.40	1.10	0.05	0.18	0.23	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.70	-0.24	71:06	74.95	18.50
Nazem Kadri	COL	C	69.5%	1.22	1.00	1.70	2.80	11.00	2.30	1.80	1.50	0.27	0.56	0.83	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.18	23.55	26.65	46.9%	3.96	1.21	76:18	88.72	25.50
Mikael Granlund	ANA	C	63.7%	1.21	0.80	2.00	2.90	7.20	1.90	2.70	0.90	0.24	0.70	0.94	0.05	0.05	0.10	0.10	24.17	25.39	48.8%	3.87	-0.08	77:18	93.47	24.20
Brandon Montour	SEA	D	85.0%	1.21	0.30	1.40	1.80	7.00	3.10	4.10	3.00	0.07	0.38	0.45	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	3.60	-0.09	70:06	71.28	18.00
Lane Hutson	MTL	D	99.0%	1.21	0.30	2.30	2.70	5.20	1.10	4.10	1.10	0.11	0.86	0.97	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	3.74	0.67	72:06	73.39	22.00
Jake McCabe	TOR	D	27.4%	1.19	0.10	0.80	1.00	3.60	6.30	7.50	2.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	4.67	0.25	86:06	114.03	15.80
Jaden Schwartz	COL	LW	30.3%	1.18	0.90	1.10	2.00	6.50	2.10	2.10	1.00	0.14	0.20	0.34	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.16	1.68	1.79	-	3.28	1.16	66:48	85.65	19.00
Artturi Lehkonen	COL	LW	75.9%	1.18	1.40	1.20	2.60	7.90	2.60	2.20	0.90	0.26	0.22	0.48	0.07	0.03	0.10	0.25	0.44	0.56	-	3.69	1.34	77:36	95.62	26.50
Dmitry Orlov	SJS	D	25.2%	1.18	0.20	1.40	1.60	4.40	5.70	3.30	1.60	0.04	0.31	0.34	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	4.39	-1.46	81:48	91.38	14.10
Thomas Chabot	OTT	D	87.9%	1.18	0.30	1.20	1.50	6.50	2.40	6.80	1.30	0.11	0.45	0.55	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	3.78	0.11	73:24	85.94	22.10
Brock Nelson	COL	C	86.6%	1.17	1.30	1.40	2.70	8.80	1.70	2.90	1.20	0.28	0.34	0.62	0.07	0.04	0.12	0.23	34.14	33.88	50.2%	3.50	1.29	75:48	94.13	26.40
Adam Fox	NYR	D	99.0%	1.17	0.30	2.30	2.60	4.60	1.50	4.60	1.40	0.10	0.91	1.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.61	0.98	69:18	78.79	22.70
Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	99.3%	1.17	1.40	1.60	2.90	8.00	1.70	2.00	2.10	0.41	0.54	0.94	0.08	0.04	0.12	0.13	0.95	1.17	-	2.98	-0.07	62:00	70.88	26.60
Mikhail Sergachev	UTA	D	98.3%	1.17	0.40	1.90	2.40	6.20	2.20	4.80	1.90	0.16	0.85	1.01	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	3.88	-0.16	72:12	87.99	23.30
Evan Bouchard	EDM	D	99.9%	1.16	0.90	2.30	3.20	8.60	1.30	3.70	1.00	0.34	1.06	1.40	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.00	-	4.03	-0.69	73:36	79.50	31.50
Luke Hughes	NJD	D	83.0%	1.16	0.40	1.40	1.80	6.80	0.80	2.30	1.30	0.13	0.51	0.63	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	3.57	-0.17	67:00	72.50	16.80
Leo Carlsson	ANA	C	94.9%	1.16	1.70	2.40	4.10	9.90	0.80	1.90	1.10	0.51	0.99	1.50	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.22	21.97	26.55	45.3%	3.52	-0.07	72:12	84.04	34.30
Filip Forsberg	NSH	LW	99.1%	1.16	1.00	1.30	2.40	8.90	4.40	1.40	1.30	0.30	0.44	0.73	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.15	0.46	0.60	-	3.39	-0.41	57:30	66.89	21.70
John Tavares	TOR	C	95.0%	1.16	1.50	1.90	3.40	9.50	3.80	1.50	1.50	0.43	0.59	1.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.28	38.19	29.11	56.8%	3.76	0.18	72:42	84.47	26.90
K'Andre Miller	CAR	D	60.3%	1.15	0.30	0.90	1.30	5.00	4.00	3.10	1.50	0.06	0.19	0.25	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.01	-	3.46	-0.04	66:54	78.74	13.40
Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	98.1%	1.15	0.30	1.80	2.10	6.20	1.10	4.50	1.30	0.09	0.66	0.75	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.93	-0.24	76:48	76.31	21.30
Luca Cagnoni	SJS	D	61.9%	1.14	0.20	0.70	0.80	6.10	3.40	4.10	2.30	0.06	0.25	0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.99	-1.27	76:54	81.06	12.90
Blake Coleman	MIN	RW	41.3%	1.14	0.90	0.90	1.90	9.10	8.90	2.60	3.30	0.13	0.14	0.26	0.06	0.03	0.08	0.16	1.11	1.39	-	3.74	-0.13	68:36	89.10	20.60
Darnell Nurse	SJS	D	62.6%	1.14	0.30	0.80	1.20	8.50	6.80	6.80	3.70	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	4.58	-1.63	85:54	101.92	19.30
Jack Hughes	NJD	C	99.4%	1.13	1.40	2.50	3.80	11.90	0.30	1.60	0.60	0.34	0.87	1.21	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.13	9.78	14.97	39.5%	3.95	-0.16	63:30	64.68	34.00
Tyson Hinds	ANA	D	4.8%	1.13	0.20	0.40	0.50	5.30	3.60	5.40	0.40	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.87	-0.09	74:36	100.31	12.70
Connor McDavid	EDM	C	99.7%	1.12	1.50	3.60	5.20	10.40	2.10	1.20	1.40	0.41	1.48	1.89	0.06	0.05	0.10	0.26	17.41	17.81	49.4%	3.73	-0.63	69:06	71.78	40.90
Noah Dobson	MTL	D	93.8%	1.12	0.40	1.20	1.60	6.50	2.90	5.30	1.30	0.07	0.22	0.29	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	3.67	0.70	68:12	81.67	17.70
Nick Schmaltz	UTA	RW	97.1%	1.12	1.20	1.30	2.60	8.00	1.30	1.70	0.80	0.44	0.43	0.87	0.04	0.02	0.07	0.13	13.64	15.41	47.0%	2.83	-0.12	57:24	70.67	22.80
Jacob Trouba	SJS	D	70.1%	1.12	0.30	1.00	1.30	7.10	7.30	7.60	2.30	0.03	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	4.55	-1.62	87:06	105.37	19.00
Noah Hanifin	VGK	D	47.5%	1.12	0.30	0.80	1.10	4.70	1.20	5.40	0.40	0.02	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	3.57	-0.05	65:42	81.69	15.10
Seth Jones	FLA	D	75.6%	1.12	0.40	1.70	2.10	6.80	3.30	3.00	0.90	0.17	0.85	1.03	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.00	-	3.83	-0.05	74:24	81.83	19.20
Gustav Forsling	FLA	D	37.3%	1.12	0.30	0.60	0.90	5.30	2.20	3.10	1.50	0.04	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.00	-	3.34	-0.05	68:00	81.69	13.50
Darren Raddysh	TOR	D	97.3%	1.11	0.50	2.30	2.80	8.90	3.20	4.60	2.00	0.21	1.01	1.22	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.00	-	4.45	0.21	84:42	90.63	25.80
Jack Eichel	VGK	C	99.9%	1.11	1.40	2.40	3.70	9.60	1.00	2.00	0.60	0.41	1.06	1.47	0.06	0.06	0.11	0.30	22.78	25.34	47.3%	3.56	-0.04	63:48	66.91	33.00
Jaccob Slavin	CAR	D	21.5%	1.11	0.10	0.80	0.90	4.20	0.80	4.80	0.20	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.12	-0.04	65:12	75.66	14.30
Mathew Barzal	NYI	RW	81.4%	1.11	0.70	2.10	2.80	6.90	1.30	2.00	1.40	0.17	0.62	0.80	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.08	7.97	10.23	43.8%	3.13	0.27	61:48	64.28	23.50
Brent Burns	COL	D	46.7%	1.10	0.30	1.10	1.50	7.30	0.90	4.00	1.30	0.01	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	4.24	1.51	79:18	100.40	19.00
Sam Malinski	COL	D	44.2%	1.10	0.40	1.00	1.40	7.50	2.10	4.70	1.00	0.03	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	3.46	1.27	67:48	83.70	20.70
Travis Sanheim	PHI	D	65.3%	1.09	0.30	0.90	1.20	3.90	2.40	5.70	1.40	0.03	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	4.05	-0.48	74:36	89.71	12.90
Filip Hronek	VAN	D	93.2%	1.09	0.20	1.60	1.80	4.60	4.70	4.90	1.10	0.05	0.54	0.60	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.83	-0.71	73:06	83.54	17.20
John Carlson	TBL	D	97.9%	1.09	0.50	1.50	2.00	5.80	1.30	4.30	1.00	0.21	0.62	0.83	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.01	-	3.74	-0.08	69:30	72.72	20.30
Moritz Seider	DET	D	98.9%	1.09	0.30	1.60	1.80	6.50	5.90	6.10	1.60	0.10	0.66	0.77	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	3.87	-0.39	76:12	85.70	21.60
Charlie McAvoy	BOS	D	95.5%	1.08	0.40	1.70	2.10	5.00	3.70	5.30	2.50	0.13	0.62	0.75	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	3.75	0.76	72:48	81.50	20.70
Igor Chernyshov	SJS	LW	51.7%	1.08	0.90	1.20	2.10	6.70	2.30	1.70	0.80	0.14	0.20	0.34	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.11	0.04	0.04	-	2.90	-1.04	60:06	74.48	19.50
Olli Maatta	MIN	D	0.2%	1.08	0.10	0.90	1.00	3.10	1.10	5.30	0.70	0.01	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	4.14	-0.15	76:18	88.97	12.70
Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	81.0%	1.08	0.80	1.40	2.20	5.30	0.70	2.40	0.90	0.23	0.46	0.69	0.06	0.05	0.10	0.12	27.36	22.79	54.6%	2.64	-0.44	60:18	71.39	17.50
Sean Walker	CAR	D	63.0%	1.08	0.20	1.40	1.60	5.00	4.10	4.40	1.90	0.03	0.25	0.29	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.20	-0.04	60:18	74.02	16.20
Jared Spurgeon	MIN	D	52.4%	1.08	0.30	1.20	1.50	4.80	3.50	6.20	0.80	0.06	0.25	0.30	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	4.09	-0.16	82:12	100.83	19.00
Mike Matheson	MTL	D	78.8%	1.07	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.70	2.20	5.20	1.50	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	3.82	0.80	73:54	80.44	13.80
Tristan Luneau	ANA	D	35.2%	1.07	0.20	0.80	1.10	4.80	2.70	4.00	1.10	0.02	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	4.12	-0.09	78:24	97.21	13.20
Drew Helleson	ANA	D	8.8%	1.06	0.20	0.60	0.80	3.30	4.90	4.70	2.10	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.29	-0.08	64:48	87.92	11.40
Collin Graf	SJS	LW	24.5%	1.06	0.70	0.80	1.50	5.60	4.30	2.10	0.70	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.07	0.04	0.10	0.08	1.19	1.62	-	2.86	-1.21	64:18	78.59	14.50
Mario Ferraro	WPG	D	13.4%	1.06	0.20	0.40	0.60	2.90	4.30	5.40	1.20	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	3.33	0.21	63:24	69.58	10.00
Hampus Lindholm	BOS	D	19.3%	1.05	0.20	1.00	1.20	4.10	0.80	3.60	1.40	0.04	0.20	0.23	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.41	0.72	64:00	77.88	14.10
Mikko Rantanen	DAL	RW	98.8%	1.05	1.00	2.10	3.10	7.50	2.20	1.40	2.90	0.26	0.69	0.95	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	2.70	2.98	-	3.23	-0.19	63:06	65.25	25.50
Kiefer Sherwood	SJS	RW	55.2%	1.05	0.80	0.70	1.60	7.20	18.90	1.40	2.30	0.12	0.11	0.23	0.05	0.02	0.07	0.10	1.00	1.23	-	3.24	-1.10	63:00	79.17	15.00
Dylan Samberg	WPG	D	5.8%	1.05	0.10	0.70	0.80	3.70	2.70	5.30	1.00	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.28	0.21	65:00	79.45	13.40
Michael Kesselring	SJS	D	7.3%	1.05	0.20	0.60	0.70	5.20	3.70	3.40	3.70	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.62	-1.28	67:00	87.04	10.90
Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	98.2%	1.04	0.80	1.80	2.50	7.70	3.80	2.10	0.60	0.23	0.58	0.81	0.04	0.03	0.07	0.06	21.64	18.97	53.3%	3.28	0.84	60:48	73.18	22.10
Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	93.4%	1.04	0.50	1.80	2.30	5.90	4.50	3.60	0.50	0.13	0.56	0.68	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.07	25.68	28.59	47.3%	2.75	-0.53	57:12	68.73	20.30
Tim Stutzle	OTT	C	99.7%	1.03	1.40	2.10	3.40	6.70	5.70	1.90	1.30	0.44	0.80	1.24	0.09	0.05	0.14	0.32	13.35	12.02	52.6%	3.26	0.09	62:18	78.71	27.60
Kaiden Guhle	MTL	D	17.9%	1.03	0.20	0.70	0.90	3.70	6.30	4.80	2.20	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	3.13	0.67	61:24	71.25	12.50
Philip Broberg	STL	D	59.7%	1.03	0.20	1.20	1.40	4.20	1.60	4.00	0.80	0.02	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.53	-0.48	65:24	76.30	15.90
Brett Kulak	COL	D	4.3%	1.03	0.10	0.90	1.10	4.50	1.20	5.40	1.10	0.01	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-	3.95	1.49	78:18	92.71	14.00
Kris Letang	PIT	D	56.6%	1.03	0.10	0.80	0.90	4.50	3.60	3.90	1.80	0.02	0.19	0.21	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-	3.72	0.41	65:48	71.10	12.10
Colton Parayko	STL	D	36.3%	1.03	0.20	0.70	0.80	4.40	3.70	6.90	0.80	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.52	-0.51	68:18	85.35	15.10
Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	98.7%	1.02	1.10	2.00	3.20	5.80	1.30	1.70	1.50	0.25	0.53	0.77	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.38	21.66	23.85	47.6%	3.51	0.18	62:30	64.00	23.60
Roman Josi	NSH	D	98.3%	1.02	0.50	1.60	2.20	7.40	1.40	4.60	1.20	0.18	0.71	0.88	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.00	-	3.97	-0.57	75:18	80.27	21.60
Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	99.9%	1.02	1.20	2.30	3.60	7.10	2.80	2.00	0.80	0.32	0.77	1.09	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.21	26.76	26.02	50.7%	3.27	0.57	62:54	67.10	28.40
Nick BlankenburgNew team · 2 GP with TOR	TOR	D	4.9%	1.02	0.40	0.90	1.30	5.80	4.90	5.00	0.90	0.08	0.19	0.27	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.07	0.04	0.05	-	3.65	0.20	70:24	90.68	15.90
Will Smith	SJS	RW	94.5%	1.02	1.20	1.90	3.10	9.20	1.00	0.90	0.80	0.31	0.53	0.84	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.14	2.88	3.28	-	3.57	-1.11	69:06	75.59	24.70
Erik Karlsson	PIT	D	95.0%	1.02	0.30	1.90	2.20	6.10	0.80	2.60	0.70	0.11	0.80	0.91	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-	3.91	0.41	71:00	73.20	18.90
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	TOR	D	32.9%	1.02	0.20	0.90	1.10	4.20	4.50	2.60	3.20	0.02	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.00	-	4.20	0.22	76:12	106.59	11.80
Josh Manson	COL	D	36.0%	1.01	0.30	1.10	1.40	5.90	8.40	4.90	3.20	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	-	3.92	1.37	71:42	91.98	19.30
Alex DeBrincat	DET	LW	98.7%	1.01	1.50	1.40	2.90	10.60	1.60	1.40	1.00	0.48	0.42	0.90	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.18	0.86	1.05	-	2.81	-0.26	55:30	63.47	27.40

† Edgehalla model: derived from LineupExperts' goals, assists and ice-time projection plus NHL history. +/-, shorthanded goals, assists and points are high-variance: the projections are small expected values ranked mostly by ice-time role, and actual totals swing a lot. How the model works

What is a takeaway? A takeaway occurs when a player gains possession of the puck directly from an opponent through stick work, positioning, or anticipation—without a hit or blocked shot.

Takeaway factors

- Two-way skill: Elite defensive players read plays better - Active stick: Players with quick hands force more turnovers - PK role: Penalty killers pressure puck carriers - Ice time: More minutes = more takeaway opportunities

How we project it

takeaways per 60 minutes over this season and (weighted less) the last two, with each rink's takeaway count corrected for its scorers' tendencies, shrunk toward the position average, times projected ice time. Scorer generosity varies a lot between rinks, which is why the adjustment matters.

Variance

takeaways are a moderately repeatable stat (about 0.4 year to year).

💡

Pro Tip: Ice time drives volume. A takeaway-prone forward who is moving up the lineup gains in this projection immediately.

Two-Way Forwards Next Week

Selke-caliber forwards combine offensive production with defensive excellence, including takeaways. Target responsible two-way centers.

Forwards Projections

Active Stick D-Men

Puck-moving defensemen with quick hands accumulate takeaways. Check D-men projections for defensive playmakers.

Defensemen Projections

Takeaways + Plus/Minus

Elite defensive players often post positive plus/minus alongside high takeaway totals. Stack these categories.

Plus/Minus Projections

Related Projections

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Frequently Asked Questions

Each player's takeaway rate per 60 minutes (rink-adjusted, recent seasons weighted, shrunk toward the position average) times LineupExperts' projected ice time. We do not adjust for the opponent.

Selke-caliber two-way forwards and active-stick defensemen lead in takeaways. Players like Mark Stone, Mika Zibanejad, and puck-moving D-men excel in this category.

In leagues that count takeaways, they're valuable but often overlooked. Two-way players who rack up takeaways often contribute across multiple categories.

Puck-moving defensemen with active sticks can accumulate significant takeaways. However, two-way forwards typically lead due to their forechecking role.

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Faceoff & Physical

Faceoffs won, lost and FO%, PIM, takeaways and +/-

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NHL Projected Takeaways Next Week

Sorted by Projected Takeaways(Oct 19-25 (Week 4))

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Takeaway factors

How we project it

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Takeaways + Plus/Minus

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